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Everything posted by LastOnePicked
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Opportunity Season Isn't Over Yet for Twins
LastOnePicked replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
"I still see a clear opportunity to be opportunistic," said the timid lion, who hasn't scored a real kill in well over three decades.- 17 replies
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- derek falvey
- jeremy zoll
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(and 1 more)
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Why Didn't the Twins Go Full Sell-Off?
LastOnePicked replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
This is the definition of counting chickens before eggs hatch. None of us have any idea how these guys will perform at the big league level. Neither do the Twins. That's what a rebuild is for - to let a young core get through their lumps together, figure out what you have as an organization and then patch gaps with free agents and savvy deadline trades when a contention window re-opens. But if you do things in half measures, young players stumble while wasting the prime years of established players. You end up with no value returned for what you either signed or developed. That's foolish. There's no other word for it. This team clearly isn't "going for it" in 2026. They've done next to nothing to improve the roster. Joe Ryan could have another very good year and it would do nothing to improve this team's chances. If they want to build a REAL contender (and that's a big IF), a team like the Twins cannot afford to stand pat and lose potential future value. Cleveland, Tampa and Milwaukee realize this, but the Twins don't.- 82 replies
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- eric orze
- ryan jeffers
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(and 1 more)
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Why Didn't the Twins Go Full Sell-Off?
LastOnePicked replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Not me. This offense isn't nearly good enough to build consistent leads.- 82 replies
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- eric orze
- ryan jeffers
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(and 1 more)
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Why Didn't the Twins Go Full Sell-Off?
LastOnePicked replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
They had the 23rd ranked bullpen last year, and that was including the pre-deadline contributions of Duran and others. They have added only Rogers thus far. There is every chance they will have one of the worst bullpens again in 2026.- 82 replies
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- eric orze
- ryan jeffers
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(and 1 more)
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Why Didn't the Twins Go Full Sell-Off?
LastOnePicked replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
"Instead, they chose to keep these players, to the delight of fans, as they announced their intention to contend in 2026." I'm fine if I'm in the minority on this, but I'm a fan, and I am not delighted. I want ownership that can make hard, unpopular decisions for the good of the team. Not for the good of their finances. Not for their short-term positive PR. For the good of their ability to win a championship. Keeping Ryan, Buxton and Lopez hurts that goal. They will almost certainly receive less in trade returns at the deadline than they would have received in the offseason. And with this team's injury luck, they may get nothing at all. Nibbling along the fringes of the 40-man roster is not a winning strategy for a 90-loss club. Cleveland and Detroit are far better organizations with better farm systems. This was the time to rebuild everything and emerge from the CBA year leaner, smarter and with a clearer vision for winning in '28 and beyond. Plus, I'm not delighted for Lopez, Buxton or Ryan. I like these guys a lot, and I want them to have a chance to compete while they have something to offer. They have no chance for that here this year.- 82 replies
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- eric orze
- ryan jeffers
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1) I'm guessing the Twins won't even get within 10 wins of this range. Terrible defense, slow on the bases, patchwork bullpen, light offense, plenty of injury question marks in the rotation. 2) Everyone seems to continue to ignore CLE, a far better team with a better farm system and a much stronger track record with regard to player development.
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This could be nuts, but I'm starting to wonder if Falvey is anticipating an MLB Expansion Draft in the next few years. The last draft in 1997 had these rules: 1) For the first round, 15 players from the rosters of their entire organization—both their 40-man roster, plus all minor league affiliates. 2) Each team could add three more players to its protected list after each round. 3) All players in an organization were eligible to be drafted, except those with no prior major league experience who had less than three years service if signed at age 19 or older, or had less than four years of service if signed at age 18 or younger. 4) Players who were free agents after the end of the 1997 season need not be protected. It's the bolded provision that makes me wonder if Falvey is signing all these low-cost utility players to essentially block pathways to the big leagues for a number of Twins prospects, attempting to assure that they would not need to be protected in an upcoming expansion draft. I just could not understand why the Twins were refusing to commit to a youth movement in 2026, but this could be why. OR, this FO continues to be absolutely addicted to signing and trading for marginal veterans. That could just be the case, too.
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This is a great list of questions, but they are not the questions that teams poised to win a playoff spot are usually asking of themselves. There are a lot of "who will avoid further regression" and "who will pitch in the 7th, 8th and 9th innings" type questions here, not "who has the best chance of earning MVP votes" and "who will build on their career best numbers" questions. A clear sign of the overall condition of this ballclub going into 2026.
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2026 Minnesota Twins International Signings
LastOnePicked replied to Sherry Cerny's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
May a big league callup be in the future for every one of these young guys.- 42 replies
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- enmanuel merlo
- abel sosa
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Plus, fans haven't been showing up even with Ryan, Lopez, Buxton and Jeffers on the roster. The Twins don't have a must-see player. Their only hope to get fans back is to build a sustainable winner.
- 35 replies
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- pablo lopez
- joe ryan
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I'm genuinely surprised that anyone thought they were going to bolster the roster. This is an organization in free-fall. They made a big show about keeping Lopez, Ryan and Buxton merely to avoid headlines that might further tank season ticket sales. The plan is to kick the can right into 2027. And it's an awful plan.
- 35 replies
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- pablo lopez
- joe ryan
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The logic seems pretty clear to me. 30 starts of a premium pitcher are far more valuable to a team that sees itself in need and potentially in the hunt than 5-10 starts. Plus, it potentially allows the other team to keep their pitching prospects a bit longer in their farm system, delaying their service time.
- 35 replies
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- pablo lopez
- joe ryan
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But isn't that also true for Ryan, Lopez and Buxton? That logic cuts both ways.
- 35 replies
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- pablo lopez
- joe ryan
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"It was a credit to them to hold onto core players such as Joe Ryan and Pablo López this winter" Was it, though? If they had no intention of bolstering the roster, all it did was leave trade value to rot on the roster while hoping fans were foolish enough to buy their rhetoric of "hope" and "relentless pursuits" of a championship.
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What Comes Next for Twins and Joe Ryan?
LastOnePicked replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Yes. Not out of malice - I like Ryan and I think he deserves the money - but the Twins are clearly not going for it this year, so they need to be pursuing future value at every opportunity. And I love seeing former Twins get a shot at a World Series run if they can't get a shot at one here. -
Fangraphs has them at 12th, with CLE and DET well ahead of them. I couldn't find any updated rankings that had them higher than 9th. Am I missing a more current ranking?
- 29 replies
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- bailey ober
- zebby matthews
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I think this is very much oversold. The Twins don't appear in any of the following "best of" categories: Best Farm System (DET is third) Best Use of the Draft (DET is fifth) Best Use of the International Market (CLE is fourth) Best at Developing Pitchers (CLE is fourth) Best at Developing Hitters (DET is third) If anything, the results of this poll make a pretty good case for firing Falvey and Zoll immediately. The Twins are simply not top-tier in anything.
- 29 replies
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- bailey ober
- zebby matthews
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"The decision to hold onto Ryan, Lopez and Buxton seems more motivated by preserving a semblance of fan favor as opposed to a baseball decision." This. And that's why I have little to no hope for the future under the new Pohlad. This offseason was the ideal time to make difficult decisions for the good of the club moving forward. Keeping these three (all of whom will see their trade value drop as the season progresses) without supplementing the roster in meaningful ways is simply kicking the can down the road - something we've seen this club do too often over the last three years. And it's also silly, because there are hardly any fans left to favor. Attendance is already below the Metrodome days, and that's with Lopez, Ryan and Buxton. Those three names won't make the Twins big again - only a championship run can do that.
- 39 replies
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- byron buxton
- joe ryan
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That's an awfully low bar. Fans should be able to expect that, at a bare minimum, evaluators and coaches for a major league baseball team "know what they're doing." The question raised by this article is whether or not they know what they're doing better than the competition. It'd be helpful to see what other teams with similar international draft pool money have been able to do. The Twins are not going to make themselves winners through free agency, so they will have to find a way to maximize the production from drafted players.
- 32 replies
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- emmanuel rodriguez
- danny de andrade
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This is what the relentless pursuit of a championship looks like.
- 61 replies
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- eric wagaman
- alex jackson
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Every team covets and protects MLB-ready starters with frontline potential. I'm just very skeptical about Abel and Bradley. I think their respective teams had seen enough to know they weren't losing much. If the Twins have some kind of magic formula for refurbishing young starters, great. Maybe they just need additional guidance and confidence. It will be hard to build that confidence with the league's worst defense behind them, though.
- 46 replies
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- taj bradley
- mick abel
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