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Everything posted by LastOnePicked
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The Twins Underrated Path to Contention
LastOnePicked replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Baseball is still a beautiful game, regardless of where our Twins land. If I have hope, it's for tighter play on the field and feistier lineup.- 60 replies
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- royce lewis
- cole sands
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The Pohlads Set Derek Falvey Up To Fail
LastOnePicked replied to Eric Blonigen's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Perhaps the biggest problem of the Falvey era wasn't payroll, but style of play on the field. Falvey should have addressed that earlier. Ownership is at fault in all kinds of ways, but a parting with Falvey was called for.- 51 replies
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- tom pohlad
- joe pohlad
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I still lament that Royce Lewis was popped back into CF immediately after his return from an ACL tear. I don't know if that was Falvey, but I'm guessing it was his decision. Sure, players can get injured anywhere, but dealing with a wall seemed to add a dimension of injury chance. Correa's second signing also seems like a blunder. Two teams tore up contract offers after reviewing his physicals, and it looks like they may have suspected future foot or leg issues. Correa had a nice 2023 season and excelled in the playoffs, so not a total loss. But beyond that, not much for a lot of money that could have been used in better ways. And bringing Rocco back for 2025 was a massive blunder. It signaled an era of no accountability and no expectation for success. The team looked deflated from Day One, and though they put together a nice little early win streak, they were a lifeless, rudderless club overall. Good work, Nick. A balanced look back at the Falvey era. We'll see if Zoll is worth all the hype Pohlad gave him in his Zoom press conference.
- 60 replies
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- derek falvey
- pablo lopez
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Can't speak for everyone, but here's the concern: Pohlad should have been calling for Falvey's job because Falvey's claim of "we'll compete in 2026" was looking more and more ridiculous. It was time to rebuild. Instead, Pohlad seems to think this pitiful team should see itself in "win-now" mode. Which is even more insane. In short, glad that ownership made a FO change, yes, but frustrated that they're taking even a longer detour into delusional thinking.
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No. Sports are always secondary to larger issues, but winning brings people together. Winning heals. Winning inspires. Difficult times call for everyone to conduct themselves with integrity and dignity. Owners and fans alike can and should reach out to legislators as they see fit. Making a show of quitting and stepping away from responsibilities does nothing and solves nothing.
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There's the narrative about all this that I want to be true ... and then there's the mounting evidence against that narrative. I really, really wanted this to be about Tom Pohlad waking up, realizing that Falvey's insistence that this team was on the cusp of contention was nonsense. Maybe he looked at the Vegas odds (Twins as a bottom-5 club in MLB). Maybe he read Keith Law's farm system ranking (Twins organization ranked 21st). Maybe he saw the moves that other clubs were making and realized that this team, again, was just sort of foolishly trying to nibble their way forward. I wanted to believe that he realized that there was no path to a championship with Falvey's way of thinking. Because there isn't. But then I read Tom's comments, I don't know if it's delusion or deception, but the idea that this team will "compete" for anything other than the cellar in 2026 is ridiculous and insulting. These are the AL Pirates with a worse farm system. Free agency has dwindled to a trickle. Teams are prepping ST rosters. I don't like being lied to. I like clear-eyed honesty from leadership. It's increasingly clear to me that instead we just have another inept, out-of-touch Pohlad at the helm.
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Aside from the timing, no one should be surprised. One of the most disappointing teams in MLB, hundreds of millions of dollars in debt and a very low ranked farm system according to Keith Law's new ranking. The business side is a disaster and so is the overall roster. It's long past time to clean house.
- 71 replies
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- derek falvey
- tom pohlad
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Here's what makes me doubt this - Pohlad was the only one who mentioned tearing things down, and Falvey, by his own admission, talked him out it by showing him the early FG projections. I'm guessing that the more Tom has gotten involved, the more he's realized that Falvey's been misleading him and the team is in far worse shape than he realized,
- 71 replies
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- derek falvey
- tom pohlad
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Why a Twins Rebuild Was Never the Only Answer
LastOnePicked replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Using FanGraphs as evidence that the status quo was the right choice this offseason is really a stretch, Scratch that - using a Fangraphs projection that has the Twins in the bottom half of all MLB teams is really, really, really a stretch. Look, for folks who wanted the status quo in 2026, you can relax. You won. The FO and ownership have agreed. The Twins will run it all out again, nibble at the fringes of the roster and see if they get a different result. Yes, they do have a new manager. No, he didn't seem to have an impact on a similarly-run franchise in Pittsburgh. All of this reminds me of my mother's garage sales. She inevitably prices everything far too high, because she believes that all of her things have great value and she really doesn't want to part with her stuff. So she expends a lot of energy for very little reward, and she ultimately has to just give things away a year or two later to clear space. This is not a good baseball team. This is not a team on the cusp of contention. Watching last year's playoffs was a stark reminder that the Twins aren't really even playing the same sport as their competition. I thought it was finally time to stop fooling ourselves and make wholesale changes. But apparently, that time is not now. So, enjoy. We'll revisit all of this in the 2025 offseason. Maybe even sooner.- 50 replies
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- bryon buxton
- pablo lopez
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How the Twins Are Building a Matchup Machine
LastOnePicked replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Sure, the platoon matchups unlocked with these specific marginal free agents could potentially boost this club from being a 70-win team to being a 72-win team. Is this exciting? It doesn't feel exciting. I mean, these things are important and Cody does seem to have sussed out Falvey and Zoll's plan, but does any of it move the needle? Just feels like more obsessive nibbling on the fringes of the 40-man roster.- 46 replies
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- josh bell
- victor caratini
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Opportunity Season Isn't Over Yet for Twins
LastOnePicked replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
"I still see a clear opportunity to be opportunistic," said the timid lion, who hasn't scored a real kill in well over three decades.- 17 replies
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- derek falvey
- jeremy zoll
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Why Didn't the Twins Go Full Sell-Off?
LastOnePicked replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
This is the definition of counting chickens before eggs hatch. None of us have any idea how these guys will perform at the big league level. Neither do the Twins. That's what a rebuild is for - to let a young core get through their lumps together, figure out what you have as an organization and then patch gaps with free agents and savvy deadline trades when a contention window re-opens. But if you do things in half measures, young players stumble while wasting the prime years of established players. You end up with no value returned for what you either signed or developed. That's foolish. There's no other word for it. This team clearly isn't "going for it" in 2026. They've done next to nothing to improve the roster. Joe Ryan could have another very good year and it would do nothing to improve this team's chances. If they want to build a REAL contender (and that's a big IF), a team like the Twins cannot afford to stand pat and lose potential future value. Cleveland, Tampa and Milwaukee realize this, but the Twins don't.- 82 replies
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- eric orze
- ryan jeffers
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Why Didn't the Twins Go Full Sell-Off?
LastOnePicked replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Not me. This offense isn't nearly good enough to build consistent leads.- 82 replies
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- eric orze
- ryan jeffers
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Why Didn't the Twins Go Full Sell-Off?
LastOnePicked replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
They had the 23rd ranked bullpen last year, and that was including the pre-deadline contributions of Duran and others. They have added only Rogers thus far. There is every chance they will have one of the worst bullpens again in 2026.- 82 replies
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- eric orze
- ryan jeffers
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Why Didn't the Twins Go Full Sell-Off?
LastOnePicked replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
"Instead, they chose to keep these players, to the delight of fans, as they announced their intention to contend in 2026." I'm fine if I'm in the minority on this, but I'm a fan, and I am not delighted. I want ownership that can make hard, unpopular decisions for the good of the team. Not for the good of their finances. Not for their short-term positive PR. For the good of their ability to win a championship. Keeping Ryan, Buxton and Lopez hurts that goal. They will almost certainly receive less in trade returns at the deadline than they would have received in the offseason. And with this team's injury luck, they may get nothing at all. Nibbling along the fringes of the 40-man roster is not a winning strategy for a 90-loss club. Cleveland and Detroit are far better organizations with better farm systems. This was the time to rebuild everything and emerge from the CBA year leaner, smarter and with a clearer vision for winning in '28 and beyond. Plus, I'm not delighted for Lopez, Buxton or Ryan. I like these guys a lot, and I want them to have a chance to compete while they have something to offer. They have no chance for that here this year.- 82 replies
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- eric orze
- ryan jeffers
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1) I'm guessing the Twins won't even get within 10 wins of this range. Terrible defense, slow on the bases, patchwork bullpen, light offense, plenty of injury question marks in the rotation. 2) Everyone seems to continue to ignore CLE, a far better team with a better farm system and a much stronger track record with regard to player development.
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This could be nuts, but I'm starting to wonder if Falvey is anticipating an MLB Expansion Draft in the next few years. The last draft in 1997 had these rules: 1) For the first round, 15 players from the rosters of their entire organization—both their 40-man roster, plus all minor league affiliates. 2) Each team could add three more players to its protected list after each round. 3) All players in an organization were eligible to be drafted, except those with no prior major league experience who had less than three years service if signed at age 19 or older, or had less than four years of service if signed at age 18 or younger. 4) Players who were free agents after the end of the 1997 season need not be protected. It's the bolded provision that makes me wonder if Falvey is signing all these low-cost utility players to essentially block pathways to the big leagues for a number of Twins prospects, attempting to assure that they would not need to be protected in an upcoming expansion draft. I just could not understand why the Twins were refusing to commit to a youth movement in 2026, but this could be why. OR, this FO continues to be absolutely addicted to signing and trading for marginal veterans. That could just be the case, too.
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This is a great list of questions, but they are not the questions that teams poised to win a playoff spot are usually asking of themselves. There are a lot of "who will avoid further regression" and "who will pitch in the 7th, 8th and 9th innings" type questions here, not "who has the best chance of earning MVP votes" and "who will build on their career best numbers" questions. A clear sign of the overall condition of this ballclub going into 2026.
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2026 Minnesota Twins International Signings
LastOnePicked replied to Sherry Cerny's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
May a big league callup be in the future for every one of these young guys.- 42 replies
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- enmanuel merlo
- abel sosa
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Plus, fans haven't been showing up even with Ryan, Lopez, Buxton and Jeffers on the roster. The Twins don't have a must-see player. Their only hope to get fans back is to build a sustainable winner.
- 35 replies
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- pablo lopez
- joe ryan
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I'm genuinely surprised that anyone thought they were going to bolster the roster. This is an organization in free-fall. They made a big show about keeping Lopez, Ryan and Buxton merely to avoid headlines that might further tank season ticket sales. The plan is to kick the can right into 2027. And it's an awful plan.
- 35 replies
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- pablo lopez
- joe ryan
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