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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    Colome has to be the unluckiest pitcher on the planet. He always seems to be on the mound when the other team is scoring runs.
  2. ashbury
    Yeah, I don't think this award is meant to crown the best prospect, but merely to reflect in absolute terms who had the best year.
  3. ashbury
    If he's raised his trade value then he's also made his case to stay on the team. He now has 3 consecutive months with OPS in the low 800s. That's above-average hitting across the entire league. But 1B and especially DH demand something a little higher than that, to be an actual asset at those spots in the lineup; it's not above-average among those players. You can live with Average-ish at any given position, but to be competitive you want something more than that for several of your players. Otherwise you are looking at a .500 team (if your pitching can also achieve Average-ish). His salary isn't outrageous, but also is not an inducement for a team to take him on. So, no, I wouldn't say Sano has any particular trade value. What team will say, yeah, that's the guy who can help solidify our .500 aspirations, so let's give up some elite prospects to nab him? But he's at the cusp of having value, if he could turn it up a notch, to say a .900 OPS. That's why two months of Nelson Cruz brought back something of value at the deadline. And again, that would be an asset you wouldn't trade away, unless looking at a lost season. It's somewhat counter-intuitive just how nonlinear are the calculations of player valuation.
  4. ashbury
    Expected salary through arbitration was the drag on Rosario's trade value. An Eddie Rosario being paid what Brent Rooker will make would be a much different matter.
  5. ashbury
    Depth arms need to still have a minor-league option remaining, and not have sufficient service time to refuse a demotion. Pitchers who lack the flexibility to be sent down must be viewed in other terms than "depth", i.e. are they actually good. Maybe you can put up with one pitcher who must be up all season, in a long-man role, but even that's very far from ideal. I'm really at a loss to how to manage this ragtag assortment, which seems to need a 50-man roster and infinite options to burn.
  6. ashbury
    Probably you or I wouldn't use Colome in the ninth, regardless of how long Ryan went.
  7. ashbury
    Don't you think if Ryan goes that extra inning, Minaya is the one who is bypassed, and the late innings are covered exactly the same as it played out?
  8. ashbury
    I want to believe this would help, but I think the FO has a philosophy in place for both hitting and pitching, and a coach who tries to go against it wouldn't last very long. It goes beyond any one coach.
  9. ashbury
    I clicked Like even though I didn't like any of these outcomes. Please bring us better news next time.
  10. ashbury
    At first I was guessing this was purely an artifact of his era. If so, expect the record to be broken within a few short years, by someone already well on his way. Perfect use for baseball-reference.com's Stathead tool. So I asked for a list of active players with 1000 or fewer SO, to see who might be a candidate. Everyone near the top of that sorted list already had more than the 660 games Sano has. So then I asked it to show me such candidates who also had fewer than that number of games. Joey Gallo has 868 SO in 613 games - he's not going to make it at that rate. Aaron Judge has 772 in 558 - slightly better rate but that's not going to cut it. Yoan Moncada with 671/525 - nope. The tool doesn't (to my knowledge) let me sort by a ratio, but a quick scan of the list sorted by SO doesn't reveal a viable candidate with any kind of track record. As with any negative milestone of counting stats (e.g. 20 losses by a starting pitcher) you have to be pretty good to achieve it. The truly bad never make it that far. Congratulations, Miguel. Your record may stand a while.
  11. ashbury
    Kudos. I whiffed on that'un.
  12. ashbury
    Opening sentence from the Twins' orthopedic team physician Michael Knudsen's upcoming book, Byron Buxton's Bees: "Look, to be honest, until I saw it for myself, I never thought it possible that a massive series of bee stings could even cause an ACL to spontaneously rupture."
  13. ashbury
    And yet, even in this very sentence, you did not.
  14. ashbury
    Moran's two major league games had pitch counts of 37 and 34 respectively. In the minors this year he had 9 games with pitch counts higher than 37, completing 2 or more innings of work except for one 1.2 inning stint where he seemed to have control issues. He has gone 2 or more innings in 12 additional games where he needed fewer pitches than 37. Three times all year was his work confined to a single inning. He faced 9 or more batters, i.e. at least through the batting order, 13 times in the minors, and now once with the Twins. All of this in relief, just to be clear. Similar profile in 2018-2019, I might add. He's been groomed for exactly this role. We were clamoring to see him promoted, to have a look and to get him a taste of the majors. Why change his role now? And if he proves out... having a lefty arm in the bullpen who can go two, especially if a couple of the staff's righty starters are prone to short appearances, wouldn't be the worst thing in the world. "Hey, Opposing Manager, you loaded up on lefty bats today? Pick your poison for innings 5 and 6, because this guy's going through your entire lineup."
  15. ashbury
    This thread isn't about Story so this isn't the hill I want to die on, but I quoted his road OPS. That's not where I would invest that kind of money.
  16. ashbury
    The pundits all said the record would stand until it was broken, and that's exactly how it worked out.
  17. ashbury
    Whatever deep pockets team gets Trevor Story will be disappointed in the .750 OPS he puts up once outside the warm embrace of Coors Field.
  18. ashbury
    No better than Polanco at shortstop, maybe even a little less range. If we had an opening at 3B then maybe, but we don't. I don't dislike him as a bounceback candidate with the bat, but we have nowhere to put him. Pass, on investing resources to get Gleyber.
  19. ashbury
    Cedar Rapids: I always enjoy an X-to-X game. You never know what to expect.
  20. ashbury
    At the moment I see the trade as win-win for both teams. Starters are more valuable but a good reliever with longevity is not chopped liver. While I agree with those who say that purpose of trading is not to "win" them each and every time, I do think that retrospectives like this are valuable - you want your team to do good stewardship of its resources, and constantly overpaying even for good talent in return will eventually take its toll. Graterol for Maeda looks equitable; Gil for Cave, for example, does not.
  21. ashbury
    With that as the criterion, the Twins haven't contended since 2014 when they signed Hughes and Nolasco 1991 when they signed Morris.
  22. ashbury
  23. ashbury
    I want to see some extended video of him from the other direction. It's got to be that he's mastered the art of delivering all his pitches from one or maybe two release points? Not enough to have stuff, you have to have command and also deception. Twins coaching staff, don't tinker with this guy, in pursuit of one or two additional MPH or spin rates or whatnot, unless you know for sure how to maintain the deception.
  24. ashbury
    Great satire of the optimistic spirit we all sometimes fall prey to. Keep 'em coming!
  25. ashbury
    Okay, I'll bite - when did the Twins ever sign Worley as a free agent?
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