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tony&rodney

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Everything posted by tony&rodney

  1. tony&rodney
    HaHa! I actually thought that right after I hit submit.
  2. tony&rodney
    Agree too. I'll miss JD because he is a real professional ballplayer who takes good at bats, fields well, and despite leg issues is adept on the bases.
  3. tony&rodney
    Polanco, Donaldson, and Buxton were our best players last season. We still have two of them, at least right now.
  4. tony&rodney
    Via baseballprospectus.com TWINS PAYROLLS Year Opening Day 26-man Year End 40-man CB Tax 40-man 2022 $000,000,000 (00) $000,000,000 (00) $000,000,000 (00) 2021 $125,277,666 (16) $125,983,176 (17) $145,511,247 (16) 2020 $ 45,620,603 (18) $ 52,627,942 (19) $168,319,022 (16) 2019 $119,651,933 (18) $125,205,980 (18) $139,483,897 (18) 2018 $128,713,226 (18) $131,186,562 (19) $143,820,218 (18) It is noteworthy that the last two years were tough financially, yet this must be balanced against large profits for all of the previous years. Also to be noted is that the books are private and so all figures are rough estimates. The figure repeatedly referenced in trading Josh Donaldson is a savings of $50 million. That doesn't account for the roughly $14-15 million cost of taking on a utility infielder and a DH with enormous power but a bat with many more holes than we ever saw from Miguel Sano. It also neglects the loss of a decent shortstop and a catcher with potential. Many have stated that the Twins wanted to clear money to trade for pitchers. There aren't any pitchers making more than $10 million to acquire (Montas - $5.2, Manaea - $10, Castillo - $8.0, Mahle - $5.0, Lopez - $3.75). Adding any two of these pitchers in trades and signing Trevor Story would still leave the Twins around last years budget. So there is work to be done and we are hoping the final roster gets straightened out. The angst about JD's contract and the budget are only relevant if the Twins are trending toward roster budgets much lower than seen in the Falvey era.
  5. tony&rodney
    A couple of simple observations, but in consideration that further moves may obliterate the views. The Twins stated that trading Garver would strengthen their infield dramatically and Rortvedt as a 2nd catcher is vastly superior defensively. Whoops, that got blown up. The Twins have stated that they will absolutely be competitive in 2022. So far this is difficult to see. The Twins may be signing a free agent today but they just traded the only expensive free agent they have ever signed. It seems like agents and players might be aware of the Twins past and present policies. Looking at the roster today compared to last year: weaker at SP, questions galore with RP, weaker behind the plate, Sano is poor at 1B, Polanco = awesome, weaker at 3B, weaker at SS (seems impossible), LF is unknown but Kirilloff is better at 1B and all current options are plodders defensively, Buxton = awesome (crossed fingers), Kepler - hopeful of bat revival but great defensively, and weaker at DH. A March 14, 11:15 am review puts the team in rough shape. There are certainly major moves to be made still, but along with the biggest initial issue, starting pitching, there are huge concerns with this team's defensive skills. Falvey must have at least three or four moves planned. So we wait to read and hear what is next.
  6. tony&rodney
    I guess I am way off on the Twins. The AL Central isn't that terrific and I believed that a budget of $120 million would bring the Twins to a position of contention. My figure is below what Twins Daily had suggested and well below what the market can bear, especially in light of the new CBA and emerging revenue streams. JD is a professional player in my opinion. I don't know him personally. I am not aware of any issues he had either, but it is very difficult to see where the team is going when it chooses mediocrity. Urshela is a decent, albeit expensive, utility player and Sanchez is a DH only with mighty issues. Signings like Bundy, Happ, or Pineda are not helpful looking back or going forward. But maybe Bundy wins a Cy Young. The future is unpredictable. I'm not down on Rocco in any way but he is among the most inexperienced managers in baseball and he had Cruz, JD, Adrianza, and Hill as well as some solid assistants now gone to pave the way in the past few years. Obviously, time will tell how the changes play out. I hope everything works out.
  7. tony&rodney
    Petty has enormous upside if he develops command and can avoid all arm problems. The best way to sustain excellence in baseball is to develop players, especially pitching. However, it is imperative that there are experienced pitchers on the staff to lead/help the prospects learn the skills needed for MLB. The Dodgers do this well. Cleveland also mixes in a few guys each year. The idea of just throwing the prospects out without any veterans to steady the course doesn't work. In the past five years the Twins have not developed any pitchers to move up the ladder. Berrios took his lumps earlier but was then traded. No use to complain about past problems but there are a ton of pitchers ready to be mixed in with vets. However, the Twins need two or three guys at the top. Gray is one and the cost was substantial. Now, the team needs at least one more, hopefully two. No, Pineda and Happ do not count as staff leaders. The team needs to shoot higher. There are bodies to trade. This is the way to set a path for Ober, Ryan, Balazovic, Winder, and others to succeed.
  8. tony&rodney
    No idea what is next. Something must be happening tomorrow. Urshela, however, is a good bench player although at a higher salary for a typical utility infielder. He is NOT a shortstop. You were kind in your description of Sanchez. Actually he is about as poor with a glove as a catcher can be. He can throw and when he hits the ball it is scary, but he is more erratic than Sano has ever been.
  9. tony&rodney
    I know you are being funny, but still, while the prediction of a WS is a little crazy and those signing won't happen ..... those contracts would all fit within a $160 million budget. Actually affordable with revenue from fans in the stands too. Isn't that crazy?
  10. tony&rodney
    Best analysis and article on this so far - very fair. Synopsis - we won't know anything until the envelopes are all opened. Anything could happen but it is a strange March. The Twins are thin at catcher, need a shortstop, leftfielder, and some relief pitching. Oh, and there is still the most glaring hole - starting pitching. Hold on for the ride. This Yankee trade was crazy by itself.
  11. tony&rodney
    Urshela is a good utility infielder, not a shortstop. The Yankees used him at short in desperation and because they could score 10 runs per game. Urshela would actually be a really good player to have as a bench player. I'm not sure how that affects others, like Arraez or Miranda. Arraez may be the new third base fielder.
  12. tony&rodney
    "Donaldson's presence and salary both looked like odd fits with the Twins seemingly entering a transitional year. Shipping him to the Yankees makes sense in terms of their contention status and spending capabilities. Donaldson also feels like a proper personality fit in the Bronx." - Nick Nelson What does this mean? Dis Donaldson do something wrong? Are the Twins going below $100 million for their roster budgets? Is their roster incapable of competing in the AL Central? JD competes, he is a winner. Are these qualities anathema in Minnesota? I'm very confused by this paragraph Nick and I like your writing. I am waiting out the maneuvers currently in motion beneath the baton of Falvey, but it is clear that whatever notions Twins fans had in their collective heads, the FO had different ideas. Hopefully, all of these moves will result in a competitive team. While not enamored with the trade with Texas, I liked the trade with the Reds. This current trade is bewildering though. Sanchez can't catch or really hit too often and Urshela is a decent utility player. We shall see what happens but JD had star power and there isn't anyone like him available.
  13. tony&rodney
    Perhaps, but he just became the staff ace in Minnesota. Easily. One thing to consider is how much a veteran like Gray helps a pitcher like Ober or Ryan or any other inexperienced guy. It's huge. Now, one more addition. Mahle, Castillo, Montas, Manaea, Lopez, or any one guy with experience and talent. A pitcher like Cueto or Happ is a last resort. Gray suddenly becomes the first Twins pitcher generally acknowledged to be at least a #3 pitcher. Good move.
  14. tony&rodney
    Sort of funny in light of adding IK-F yesterday, but I was a big fan of adding Story and Starling Marte back in November. Now it is time to see the positive in the recent moves and there has just got to be one more big addition to the rotation and perhaps just one relief pitcher. I have thought since last November that the actual budget would be below $120 million, but if it goes higher a left fielder would be nice too.
  15. tony&rodney
    Hope. This trade raises my hopes. Petty was a big guy to lose, especially because he doesn't clog upthe 40 person. This is great news. I'm hoping for at least one more big addition.
  16. tony&rodney
    Yes, but .... Bassitt to NYM for Ginn (think Duran) and Oller (think Strotman) is gone and he would have been a decent guy to have in Target Field. Without Tortuga, the Twins are going to need pitching.
  17. tony&rodney
    Ted writes a nice summary that paints an optimistic picture. I hope those who like this trade are correct. It is noted above that the Twins value defense. I hope that is true, but the evidence is shaky. Sano, Arraez, Larnach, Rooker, etc. are not especially noteworthy with a glove. LF was pretty much a disaster last year. The ball is still in Falvey's court but the predictions for where the Twins finish in the AL Central may not be kind without significant trades in the next few days. Two more Dylan Bundy types are not my choices, but who knows, Bundy could win the Cy Young this summer. We need to stay positive I guess.
  18. tony&rodney
    Maybe, I don't know though. Can we compare the Twins to what the Tigers or White Sox do? Others? What is the ceiling for the Twins for a 2022 roster budget? Why does it seem like $100 million is more likely than $140 million? If the Twins spend 75% of the 2020 budget, will ticket prices, concessions, etc. all be reduced accordingly? I'm not expecting that at all, but I do wonder why the Twins are not expected to consider established players. It has been shown repeatedly that a couple of larger salaries fit within the past budgets, yet a very common refrain here on TD is that $20-25 million is too much to spend for a player. A large number of comments suggest that Josh Donaldson should be traded because he earns too much money. I'm just really interested to hear what everyone believes a reasonable number is for the Twins regarding their roster budget.
  19. tony&rodney
    A good shortstop is always a valuable part of any team. What totally confuses me is this - who is going to pitch? The posts on TD are using the prospects on the mound, which makes me think of a related question. If the Twins can just let the pitching prospects get their feet wet, why can't they let Palacios, Gordon, Lewis, or Martin get their feet wet? I'm not advocating for that policy but am bamboozled how it is possible to go forth without decent experienced pitchers at the front of the rotation. Still time for a few big trades though. Hope?
  20. tony&rodney
    Agreed, .... should not have used "wow" because it can easily be inferred in a negative manner. I am fully aware of Buxton's shortcomings and not blinded by his talent. Rather, count me as one person who believes that the past is gone and Byron will use the experience gained from everything to keep himself on the field and very productive this year. I could be wrong, that much is possible.
  21. tony&rodney
    Yes, you are correct and I agree. Why is it that the Twins pitching is in such poor shape? Why do so many TD fans seem content to run out AA and AAA pitching prospects with nobody above them to show the pups the ropes, which invariably leads to 90-110 losses? As much as I may like our young starting pitching prospects, the current guys are widely acknowledged by those outside the team to be either middle or below average compared to every other team. We could get lucky, yes. The Twins get more athletic with IK-F and that is good, but unless a minimum of two experienced starting pitchers worth watching are added via trades, this team is sunk. Why did they sign Buxton? I guess patience is in order because until Falvey declares the roster full and finished being constructed there is a chance.
  22. tony&rodney
    Oh my!
  23. tony&rodney
    The current team will struggle to avoid 100 losses. I'm hoping Falvey noticed that it is ok to sign and trade now. I will remain hopeful.
  24. tony&rodney
    Why does it seem like the next two months will determine whether the Twins become the Baltimore of the past five years or return to relevance? It should be an exciting time.
  25. tony&rodney
    Many, including Gleeman, have suggested the Twins could spend $40 million above their current level. I am curious what the budget actually is for 2022.
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