tony&rodney
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Everything posted by tony&rodney
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Well, despite my support via comments on Twins Daily for all four of the players you name, they are all actually AAA players and not ready to play at the level we see from Max Kepler at this time. We may see Lee for Farmer at some point but even that is a tough decision because Miranda has placed himself into the everyday lineup, Santana continues to perform, Lewis will get at bats for sure, Larnach has shown his worth, and Castro is critical to the team. Tough to see a change right now without an injury.
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Week in Review: Winning Out West
tony&rodney replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
A very successful week and a tough week ahead. Keep pitching and the bats will find a way.- 47 replies
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- byron buxton
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Twins (Ryan) vs Mariners (Castillo): 6/30/24, 3:10pm
tony&rodney replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
Off day tomorrow so it was pretty much a given that Correa gets the day in the dugout. Time for a few of the pups (Larnach, Lewis, & Martin) to have a strong showing. Ryan is usually pretty solid. It has been a decent road trip and a win today would top off the travel. -
We can all agree that Max Kepler is inconsistent, often frustrating, and seldom confused for Juan Soto in the batter's box. It is fun to dream about the possibilities of the Twins AAA players, but those who believe Kepler can be replaced this season by a player in the organization are dreaming indeed. The Twins will be in a competition all season for a playoff position and moving a player that is penned into the lineup for a wish and a hope is just not good baseball management and it won't happen. We may or may not see Kepler repeat his performance from the second half of 2023 but those odds are more favorable than expecting a miracle from a AAA player.
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Watching Wallner's at bats with the Saints in a more critical fashion in the last two weeks alone makes this an easy no. Big Matt has a couple of big holes to exploit. I'm not seeing how he manages to find success at the MLB level. You are correct that Max is gone after this season but the value has already been received. We need to enjoy Kepler for the player he is in the next three plus months.
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Twins fans hope that Royce Lewis is a force in the lineup on a regular basis. Although totally different players and not as physically talented from a visual standpoint, there was also great hope in April for the potential contributions from Julien and Wallner. As those two have found out, it is tough to excel at the MLB level. The book is still out on Lewis, but everyone will know more by the end of this year. I sure hope Lewis can be a consistent performer for the Twins. The post suggests a quick contract extension for Lewis and I would be shocked if the Twins were even having internal conversations about such a move at this time. Lewis is still getting his feet wet as a major league player. So while I and others (Twins fans) hope that Royce Lewis plays baseball at an All Star level on a consistent basis, we probably should wait to see how Lewis performs over a longer stretch before talking numbers on any long term contract.
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- royce lewis
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Yes, I don't disagree with you because none of the Atlanta players are clean comparisons. The Twins will sign a contract that easily benefits them but Lewis would not sign a 6/@$60M deal. Then again, Lewis hasn't proven anything to deserve a contract to this point in his career. The Twins have some big contracts on the books and arbitration coming for a host of players. Until the budget pushes upward toward $170-200 million, there will be difficult decisions made on who to keep, trade, or offer long term positions.
- 63 replies
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- royce lewis
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I understand what your frame of thought is on barely qualifying for the playoffs with a mediocre team and then watching that team get pummeled in the playoffs. It is worth remembering though that both Arizona and Texas were mediocre going into last year's playoffs. The first goal is always to get to the playoffs. Some of the deadline pickups who have made a difference were not exactly noteworthy either before or after their playoff performances. There are some decent baseball players within the Twins organization and perhaps one of these may provide a dose of magic as opposed to picking up scrap that then performs as scrap. The weeks before the trade deadline are always interesting with speculation.
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Sorry, I wasn't real clear. I was more thinking along the lines of the Acuna or Murphy contracts, maybe Albies. I just don't see the Twins going much beyond $160 million in roster payroll unless they draw at least 2.5 million in attendance and sign a rich media contract. I question what the Minnesota market has as a financial ceiling.
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- royce lewis
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The paper napkin tells us that arbitration and rising costs are coming for the Twins roster. Perhaps the budget increases but adding another big contract seems unlikely, no matter how much one might believe in a player. Lewis banked a lifetime of bonus money when he signed out of high school, which usually means no discounts in future deals. The Twins may sign a player or two to long term contracts if the terms are heavily in their favor, similar to what the Atlanta organization has completed with several players. Additionally, I would add that Lewis only has about a half of one season worth of plate appearances thus far in his MLB career. Reality suggests year to year for Royce.
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- royce lewis
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Always interesting to see what ideas people have for additions to the Twins roster. The guesses are difficult and we still have yet to see names worth adding above those already within the organization.
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- thairo estrada
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Twins (Festa) @ Diamondbacks (Montgomery); 6/27 @ 2:40pm CT
tony&rodney replied to Squirrel's topic in Archived Game Threads
An addendum ..... While I was never remotely interested in the Twins adding Jordan Montgomery, mostly because of a cost/benefit ratio, perhaps people can now see how dominant or not the lefty is as a top of the line starting pitcher. Keep in mind that every pitcher gets owned at some moments, but Montgomery just doesn't have the stuff to consider handing out a huge contract. -
Twins (Festa) @ Diamondbacks (Montgomery); 6/27 @ 2:40pm CT
tony&rodney replied to Squirrel's topic in Archived Game Threads
Festa looked decent but the Diamondbacks took some very effective swings against him in the 4th inning. It is always difficult to know if a pitcher loses their edge when they have a huge lead. I'm not sure what to say about Correa being HBP but hopefully he is ok because Carlos is easily the Twins MVP; nobody else even is close in value to C4. -
Canterino is mostly a myth unfortunately. He is currently (recently) down with a shoulder hurting.
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I, too, have watched a number of Nowlin's starts in the last two years. Good article and yes, Nowlin has improved with his command and control. Pitching requires so much expertise to put all of your pitches in the specific location demanded by the plan and repeating a delivery to maximize your talent is difficult. If Nowlin can continue to refine his mechanics he has a chance to play in the majors. Several times this year the lefty has shown real potential with his talent. Good luck to Jaylen.
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Really? Cleveland has some talent on their roster. I really like Kansas City but feel that Cleveland has the edge in pitching and in the field. It should be interesting. I am still expecting the Twins to win the division by a game.
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Love Royce Lewis and the enthusiasm he brings to the team along with the loud contact. Some people will look at contracts as a comparison for best or other designation. If we are picking a team for right now and I don't need to worry about a budget, I'll take Carlos Correa as my first pick among Twins players. He plays a good shortstop and has a decent bat as well. There is a pretty significant drop off if anyone else plays at SS.
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Delusions of Grandeur
tony&rodney commented on Fire Dan Gladden's blog entry in Blog Fire Dan Gladden
Seems odd to assume the team would be better if they had signed players who made more money. Did people want Joey Gallo back? The 2024 Twins are a better team, via their record, than the 2023 Twins team. I cannot imagine anyone is satisfied with how the Twins have fared versus the Yankees, Cleveland, and Baltimore. Still the team is heading to the half way point of the season above expectations and there is a possibility that some players will be more solid contributors in the second half. If you do not like the roster, that is on Falvey. The amount of money budgeted for players is sufficient. I agree that the TV debacle is an embarassment for the franchise. I will point out that MLB under Manfred has stumbled in more than a few areas. -
Is Royce Lewis really THIS good?
tony&rodney commented on Eric Blonigen's blog entry in Eric’s deep dive corner
Royce has been hot and we all hope he is the MVP of the World Series, etc. Maybe it makes sense to wait until he has played a full year or two before we weigh him down with a crown. -
I have no idea how Jax might react to a role change. Langin (Driveline) seems to suggest that Jax is nowhere near the guy he was previously because of changes to his pitching technique not because of being a relief pitcher. We have seen many guys pick up velocity with a change to the bullpen and if Jax lost speed it would likely affect all of his pitches. I just found it a plausible argument.
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Personally, I am a big fan of both Festa and Matthews. They still have some tuning to do before getting their MLB opportunity, but the talent is already present. Currently, my feeling is that the Twins have a solid set of starters in Lopez, Ryan, Ober, Woods Richardson, and Paddack with Varland, Festa, and Matthews waiting their turn. The post posits that Jax with his much improved and wider assortment may be fit for a move to a rotation. That sure seems plausible but also unlikely to occur in a Twins uniform. Maybe there is a team (Baltimore?) that is willing to match up talents in an exchange that results in Jax becoming a starting pitcher next season. The discussion of Duran as a starter have been in Twins Daily posts in the past. Duran depends more on velocity and does not have the array of offerings of Jax, although I believe he is a better reliever. My thought is that Duran could not make the exchange from closer to starting pitcher. Others disagree, which is an interesting part of these comment boards. The Twins have received some decent bullpen work from Jax and Duran thus far. We should expect they will both will be critical to the team in September and October.
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We may not want to see our most consistent reliever moved out of the bullpen, but the argument by Langin is very well constructed with enough specific evidence to believe that the move would be quite successful. Despite my decades of coaching and playing, I find it easy to defer to the expertise of individuals such as Langin. It seems unlikely that the Twins would make this move without an arm or two to fill in for Jax in the bullpen. Perhaps Jax becomes a starting pitcher once he has moved on to another team. Jax is under team control for 3.5 more years, which means the opportunity would need to come with the Twins or via a trade. One can wonder what value another team places on Jax because of the possibilities. Jax is a totally different pitcher than when he was a starter with his mix, stuff, and experience. I believe he would be a very good starting pitcher. Will he get the opportunity? Who would replace him in the bullpen? Jax is not going to switch this season in any event. Relief pitchers are fairly fungible. Guys like Sands, Winder, Varland, others, and even Balazovic can develop as effective one inning relievers similar to Jax. Not all pitchers can develop more than two pitches. Paddack seems like a good bullpen guy but the Twins may be reticent to put his $7.5 million contract for next season in the pen, although it may be the best use for the team. Moving Jax into the rotation is an interesting idea and one to watch.

