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Dantes929

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Everything posted by Dantes929

  1. Dantes929
    Ringo Starr batting 9th?
  2. Dantes929
    I agree. I think Arraez scored before Adrianza was tagged but one could easily imagine him slowing down a bit knowing he was scoring and then not have that huge run count. Wasn't the only base running mistake. Not enough gain taking 3rd when a run likely scores him from 2nd anyway but compounded by Kepler not taking 2nd on the play. Given Adrianza's bad play, I don''t know how Kepler doesn't take the extra base.
  3. Dantes929
    Seeing him pitch I think Joel Zumaya, which is pretty good, but I hope for a longer and better career.
  4. Dantes929
    Tigers have a .667 winning record against the Yankees. Only conclusion I can draw is the Yankees have that lead only because they are lucky they don''t have to play the Tigers that often.
  5. Dantes929
    I have no problem with getting his feet wet for a couple games and then start upping the leverage. He will give up ruins. Everyone gives up runs but it would be nice to see him come up assimilate quickly.
  6. Dantes929
    Such is the nature of baseball. The difference between a .300 hitter and a .255 hitter is about 1 hit per week or 1 hit every 22 at bats. That's not a run per week. Just a hit per week. That puts a run per week into a little perspective.
  7. Dantes929
    686 innings is less than half a full season. If he were to stay healthy and do it over a full season that would be about 20 runs saved. I just pointed out statistically that is worth about 2 games a season. However, it is certainly conceivable that those 20 runs saved don't move the needle at all while also being conceivable that 20 runs saved could make the difference between winning and losing in 10 or more games. For example, Adrianza hit a solo homer earlier in the year. Statistically that doesn't amount to much but reality is that it was the only run off Verlander in a 1-0 win. I have argued that Buxton wasn't responsible for the 57-25 record because while the Twins were winning,EVERYONE was so stinking hot including starters and relievers. However, I won't downplay what 20 runs saved might mean to a season as well as what it might mean to how a pitcher feels about his defense.
  8. Dantes929
    I think its a little like relievers. You really only notice their bad outings. Here you notice when he would have caught balls others would not have but don't notice all the games where that doesn't happen. Then you have to consider in a best case scenario that even if he caught a ball the others missed and saved 3 runs many times it saves no runs or fewer runs and that statistically it takes about 10 runs to make a 1 game difference. I get it though. Many years back I watched the Rays sweep us at home and was pretty convinced that outfield defense was the difference in all three games. Rays were getting to balls I didn't think they had a chance at and we were not getting to balls that should have easily been outs. The difference there was our outfield defense was really bad and theirs was really good. Replacement left fielder probably would have made more of a difference over Willingham than Buxton makes over Cave. Did the Royals win that game? I would like to see a separate thread tracking it. I once watched a series with the similar goal to see how many runs Mauer contributed to without getting credit for a run scored or an RBI. I picked the right series because it was a lot. I don;'t pretend that it was representative of the whole season though.
  9. Dantes929
    Most definitely not wishing it on anyone and kind of hate to go here but if you like irony then maybe Lou Gehrig's disease would be the bet.
  10. Dantes929
    Joins Spinal Tap reunion tour as a drummer and spontaneously explodes during a show at a blues festival.
  11. Dantes929
    I am fine with Duffey being a reliever and think his stuff plays pretty well there. I disagree with the idea of his stuff not playing well as a starter. He was really good in 2015. Good command of the fastball and a really good, sharp breaking curve ball that was thrown at different speeds and angles. If he had continued to throw that well I believe he would have continued to succeed. If you can judge fairly accurately what you see on tv, in 2016 he did not have the same command as his fastball and his curveball was not as sharp. Kind of like Scot Diamond. Its not like the opposition figured him out. His stuff and command just wasn't as good. HIs mph has certainly improved lately which certainly helped. Pitchers aren't just static performers. Confidence, maturity, and experience matters. Those things come and go. Right now they are here for Duffey.
  12. Dantes929
    Huh? Are you lumping me or my comment with any of that? Who called him worthless? Who thinks hitting home runs alone will get it done? He's my favorite player and I have always been a defense value guy.. Twins are definitely better with him but they are not 57-25 with him 23-26 without him better. There are other players that affect those outcomes. He's not a 64 WAR per season player..... Who thinks hitting home runs alone will get it done? By the by, playoffs are won in every way possible. Home runs, average, OBP, defense, base running, walks, starting pitching, relief pitching, ump's calls and manager's decisions. Deficiencies in one area can be compensated for in others in a short series. It is a fallacy that offenses don't win championships. 4 years ago the Royals won with great defense, great relief, little power but still a high scoring offense. Three years ago the Cubs had the top defense but were third in offense. Two years ago Houson had the top offense and was 2nd in home runs. They were 11th in run prevention. Last year Boston had the top offense and were 8th in run prevention. 87 Twins were 21st in ERA but overcame it in the playoffs. Every part of the game is important. There is no definitive single common thread.
  13. Dantes929
    I think you are wrong here. I am pretty sure the Yankee, Cubs, Nats, Mets and Dodger fans are looking at their 2 dozen blown saves each and saying "No problem, the teams we have blown saves against during the regular season are better than the teams we will face in the playoffs." I'm not sure how but somehow it is only the Twins that have relief issues against the good teams. I am just as sure that those other teams fans say stuff like " Well, yes, the other team just scored the go ahead runs on us in the 7th inning but I think leaving the starter in was the right move" or "Well, yes, the other team just scored the go ahead runs on our relievers in the 6th inning after our starter threw 5 shutout innings but I still think it was the right move to take him out"
  14. Dantes929
    I believe that is the logic fallacy of post hoc ergo propter hoc. The Twins were 57-25 with him, not because of him. My favorite player. I hope he gets backk within the next couple weeks.
  15. Dantes929
    It is a fine line and old as the ages. The commentary here is much different and questioning if Duffey gives up runs also. No manager can overcome hindsight when things don't work out. It is quite possible that leaving Pineda in would be fine and replacing him would be fine. It is also possible that leaving Pineda in or replacing him would result in runs. Personally, I don't love relying on 5 pitchers (including the starter) being on. I would like some one like May (or Graterol) come in and if they look good keep them in for two innings. Also like it when Rogers comes in for two innings. Then you would have all the others ready if one of those two falter and if they don't falter then you have Duffey, Romo, Dyson and and Graterol the next night.
  16. Dantes929
    How about Ober and Graterol.
  17. Dantes929
    Wow. 10 of our 14 top hitters have OPS north of .800 and those that don't are not very far away. Last year Escobar was our top OPS guy and of the guys still here Rosario was top OPS of .803. Team OPS was .723 in 2018 and it is .838 so far this year. Of the 4 guys we added only Cruz has OPS over .800 (way over) which means that of the 10 guys with OPS over .800 this year 9 of them were in our system last year. Another way to look at it is our top returning OPS from last year would be 10th best this year. Just a nice rebuttal the next time someone says how can you keep the same guys and expect different results. Not saying the new guys haven't made a big difference. They have. But still.
  18. Dantes929
    Could be the bat that is getting dented in. Either way, it certainly looks squared up by Arraez. What a great picture.
  19. Dantes929
    "his stall-out doesn't spell doom for Romero. Twins fans know better by now than to form definitive conclusions about a talented young player who hasn't yet turned 25." Have they? Have they?
  20. Dantes929
    Great intro. Another note about that year. I often tout Shane Mack on here. In his 5 year Twins career he had a higher OPS than Kirby Puckett. Of course he did not have the same impact Puckett did but he was really really good and I always thought he was at least as deserving of the Twins HOF as many guys in there. When the strike shortened the season and ended Mack's Twins career, Mack was hitting .333 with a .966 OPS.
  21. Dantes929
    I hadn't thought about Kepler at 1st. I really like it when facing right handers, then give one of the three lefties a break when facing a lefty. Cave .825 OPS against righties. Cron .810 against lefties. I like platooning when it makes sense. 3 day rehab seems really short after a month off but Buxton is my favorite player so I will be happy to see him back. Thanks for the correction though. I read the wrong feed.
  22. Dantes929
    Tuesday for rehab Tuesday, not to the Twins so if we assume a 10 game rehab I think 21-2 from that point is what you would be looking at which I think would be enough and more realistic.
  23. Dantes929
    Odorizzi has a 2.82 ERA in August. Sometimes you have to look beyond the numbers. Odo's last start he gave up 4 runs (3 earned) and those runs resulted from bleeders and happenstance. Berrios just gave up runs and those were a result of really hard hit balls and luckily avoiding other big innings. Right now my confidence level is Odorizzi, Pineda, Gibson, Perez and Berrios. That ranking won't be changed by me in the next 5 days but probably will in the next 10. At different times I have read here that Pineda, Sano, Cave, May and Duffey were AAAA or should be DFA'd and that Berrios was our only reliable starter. Stay tuned. Next 10 days will have a different story. One of the story lines is Buxton. How do you sit Cave when he has been this hot? How do you sit Rosario or Kepler? . Do you lengthen Buxton's rehab assignment if they all continue to play well?
  24. Dantes929
    Not hindsight. If the hits that inning were squeakers, thats one thing but everything hit that inning was rockets. Even the line out. Now the main culprit was the hanging curve ball but his location of the curveball all night was way off and he was helped occassionally with Tigers swinging at horrible pitches. He really didn't have it. I made a mental note to comment that Rocco should have pulled Berrios earlier even if he got out of that inning. Of course no one enjoys losing but I do enjoy the drama. I will say sometimes journeymen can pitch like aces and vice versa. Berriios uncontrolled curveball was more 2 oclock to 8 oclock. Verhagens's curveballs were sharp 12 to 6. I didn't see the whole game but when he struck out the side they weren't such bad at bats but truly nasty pitches against very good hitters..
  25. Dantes929
    Could be he needs a rest with some time off. Could also very well be mechanics. Nothing great to compare to but watching last night it looked like he was stepping toward third more and throwing across his body. Any golfers out there who hit effortless 250 yard drives for a time only to find themselves putting a lot of effort into hitting 230 yard drives for long stretch find this so hard to believe? Then you get a lesson and find out that just changing one thing like grip or posture fixes everything.
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