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Dantes929

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Everything posted by Dantes929

  1. Dantes929
    The failures I remember in the playoffs were from the #2 reliever in the game at the time.
  2. Dantes929
    I considered that but have two counterpoints. If the pen was as bad as folks here believe then the runs given up by the relievers would offset the large leads creating more save opportunities but instead as you have pointed out there are fewer save opportunities. Further, the Twins are also number three in save percentage which is a mostly independent stat from opportunities. None of those teams listed above crack the top 10. I really just want to point out that it is very rare for a fan base to be happy with their bullpen. I remember when Jesse Crain went 23 appearances without giving up a run and it seemed like no one noticed. He then gave up a home run and fans immediately went back to calling him Crain wreck.
  3. Dantes929
    "See Twins fans, our bullpen isn’t the only one to blow leads late in the game. In fact, entering tonight, the Twins are tied for fifth-fewest blown saves with only four. Though the Twins don’t have that many blown saves, that doesn’t mean our bullpen isn’t bad.". I think it does mean that. I also think that you cite giving up two singles while not giving up a run as an example shows what unrealistic expectations of a bullpen fans have. 4 relievers aside from our best one pitched 4 innings of 1 run ball. That is a really good performance and helped win the game and it was hardly the only time this season that the pen has pitched 3 or 4 innings of good relief in a close win. Twins have 4 blown saves. Astros have 8 blown saves, Yankees have 10 blown saves, Red Sox have 10 blown saves. Rangers have 9 blown saves. Braves have 11 blown saves. Dodgers have 10 blown saves. Cubs have 12 blown saves. I'm not saying they are great or couldn't use another guy but relievers give up runs.
  4. Dantes929
    Dang. I was hoping he was one of those GMs that negotiate by saing "Yeah, he doesn't fit in our plans for the future so we will give him up for a song." Bumgarner is a free agent at the end of the year and the Giants are in last place. They will move him They also have a lot of really bad performing infielders and outfielders.
  5. Dantes929
    I think Cave and Gordon would have a lot of appeal for Cleveland. Kipnis is batting .218 and that is better than what two of their regular outfielders are doing.
  6. Dantes929
    Getting the job done while also making it interesting regardless of the quality of the offense is how I remember Perkins and Nathan. All bullpens give up runs and games but whether lucky or just with enough offense this bullpen has been ok by me. Winning 26 of 28 (or whatever the latest on that stat) when having the lead after the 6th inning shows me bending without breaking . It also means the pen has done well enough to win 16 more games when tied or behind after 6 innings. Ryan Eades is the guy promoted and he sounds exactly like the guy you would want to test. There are always going to be hiccups.
  7. Dantes929
    For starters if he is slightly worse he won't be better than Rogers has been. If he is significantly worse he won't be much good at all. He had a 4.57 ERA in the 2nd half of last season and a 5.91 playoff ERA last year (he was the worst against the Yankees) to go with a playoff history ERA of 3.92. Time will tell but I think he will be Addison Reed. Cubs had to do something. They have blown 12 saves this year. I think he looks exactly like Darvish on paper.
  8. Dantes929
    Milone was 47-38 in his career with a 4.41 ERA. Not Cy Young but his career average ERA is better than 9 of the pitchers the Twins have put out there this year. Milone gave up 4.5 runs a game and the Twins score almost 6 runs a game. The math doesn't work out so bad for a 5th starter.
  9. Dantes929
    Which is???? As far as baseball goes what really matters in the regular season is qualifying for the playoffs. What matters in the playoffs is getting the breaks and getting hot at the right time. You can't win October games in June so I am not losing sight of what actually matters (if I understood your implication that it is playoffs that actually matters) because I am not even looking at it. Enjoy the journey. The destination is unknowable. BTW, I think being a Mariners fan in 2001 would have been a fun ride. I know 2006 was one of my favorite years being a Twins fan even though we got bounced in 3 games.
  10. Dantes929
    I assumed everything was measured to give an estimate of how far the ball would have gone. The left fielder looked like he thought he had a bead on it near the fence but that fence is only 315 feet which again, to me seems really shallow for a home run. My own soap box but I don't think anything less than 350 feet should be a home run no matter the field and nothing less than 380 for the gaps and center.
  11. Dantes929
    Did I read that right? I don't think a 325 foot ball should be a home run anyway.
  12. Dantes929
    One of the hardest hit balls I've ever seen was a David Ortiz single in the metrodome. Ball hit off a speaker but it looked like it would have traveled 600 feet in open air.
  13. Dantes929
    Mistake there. Four game series with Tampa. We are done with Baltimore.
  14. Dantes929
    Most people seem to think that if he had fielded that ball cleanly the Red Sox would have won that game and its just not true. If he fields that ball cleanly they go into extra innings with Mets having home field and momentum. I watched that whole game intently and was pulling for the Sox but as soon as the game was tied late I thought the Mets were huge favorites to win that game even without Buckner's error. So its possible the error cost the Series but probably not. Certainly he didn't deserve all the backlash.
  15. Dantes929
    I wouldn't call them frontrunners when they have nearly 2 mill in attendance in the years they lose over 90 games.
  16. Dantes929
    Starters have been great but 27-1 when leading after 6 is a credit to the pen and no, they haven't all been blow outs. I remember 2016 where I think they blew about 5 games in the first 15. That kind of damage takes a big psych toll on the starters and the offense. I'm not saying they will be fine. I'm saying they have been fine.
  17. Dantes929
    "Like" for ach du lieber.
  18. Dantes929
    He has 4 quality starts out of 10. The average overall for all starting pitchers is around 50%. If his first three starts fell in that category I might tend to agree with you but it is his last three starts that have been quality. In that time I haven't once said "Well, he is coming off Tommy John surgery" but in fact 22 months is a long time for recovery but it is also a very long time to be away from pitching competitively at the highest level. He is easily outperforming our #4 - 10 starters from 1987. Of the current winning teams he has been as good or better than at least the #5 starters on the Red Sox, Astros, Rangers, Braves, Cards, Brewers and Pirates and he is trending up. I agree that the pen is thin but they have contributed to an awful lot of wins and really only blown a couple early in the year. Bullpen weakness is likely to be exposed at some point and the rotation and the offense is likely to revert back to the mean but they play 65 games against the Central and if they can go 60-54 in their remaining games it would put them at 92 wins. Hopefully Graterol can help the pen at some point and maybe another guy in trade or who steps up from the minors. Personally I wouldn't mind if they just brought up Stewart for long relief for now.
  19. Dantes929
    Dozier was a .300 hitter in the minors. Turtle was a .320 hitter. Arraez was a .331 hitter. I generally don't think a .330 minor league hitter becomes a major league .220 hitter but .300 seems really optimistic until he gets a thousand at bats against major league pitchers. My post said subtract 3 hits and add two outs which would make him 4-14 or a .286 batter. If he can walk twice among those at bats that would make him extremely valuable. Minor leagues isn't tee ball or high school ball. You have to be really good to bat .331 but I am guessing nearly every guy in the minor leagues is capable of a good 4 games Major League stint. Only 1 in 50, I am guessing, are capable of sustaining success.
  20. Dantes929
    Hate to slow the roll as they say but all the things that are being posted about Arraez were being posted two months ago about the Turtle. Not that they aren't both good hitters or that we shouldn't ride the hot streak as much as possible but that is all this is, a hot streak. He is 7-12. Now take away any three of those hits and pretend he goes 0-2 today and that is the kind of production you can probably expect from extended play. Now maybe that expectation is enough to replace Adrianza now and give him a spot for next year but a 4 game hot streak should not drive mid or long term decision making.
  21. Dantes929
    Nice job bullpen.
  22. Dantes929
    Of course there is regression to the mean. I don't expect them to win 108 games. The key is to go on one more hot streak and play .500 ball otherwise. Twins teams in the prior decade played near .500 for the vast majority of the time sprinkled with a couple of moderate or extended hot streaks.
  23. Dantes929
    I've never really trusted any pitcher in a playoff series against anyone. Nathan against the Yankees? Nope. Reardon, Buerengueer, Frazier, Schatzeder, Atherton, Niekro? Nope I probably had the most confidence in Aguilera. I guess I'm not sure why a relief group would be good enough to win 4 of 7 in a regular season series but not a playoff series but we are getting way ahead of ourselves. They still have to make the playoffs.
  24. Dantes929
    I don't know why but your post reminded me of when a pitcher bounced a ball way in front of home and bounced to thigh high down the middle and AJ Pierzinski framed it and then held it for a while waiting for the ump to call it a strike.
  25. Dantes929
    That Cron play should make highlight reels for years to come. It is hilarious. I wish I could see the replay of Odorizzi's reaction.
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