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Twins GFP

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Everything posted by Twins GFP

  1. Twins GFP
    This is not as big an elephant as is let on. The Twins will sell this offseason as "we have no contract so we can't spend" knowing full well there will be television revenue coming in at some point. I fully expect them to pocket that revenue as they did last year
  2. Twins GFP
    My stance is that replacing Kepler with a cheaper player, especially in this instance, will more than likely lead to less wins. There is no definitive replacement in the wings. Wallner had a decent run last year, but everybody needs to be wary of one-year players. Kepler has a proven, if somewhat uneven, track record. Depending on where you get your information, the going rate for 1.0 of WAR is $5-8M. My suggestion was to offer Kepler a market level contract (not a QO) of 2y/$30M with incentives that could raise it to $35M and an option year. That being said, I am confident this won't happen as ownership is prioritizing not just income, but increasing income by decreasing salary. They pocketed the TV revenue we all knew they were going to get this year. They will make the same argument this offseason as well. The FO will take the heat for this, even though their hands will tied to the point of castration.
  3. Twins GFP
    I think that was the argument last year regarding those two as well... Just like signing Correa was not their MO either... I agree that the FO will not be re-signing Kepler. Not because they have faith in their prospects, not because Kepler isn't worth the salary, but because the FO will be hamstrung on how much they can spend. That being said, they SHOULD sign him to a market-level contract because he provides enough value.
  4. Twins GFP
    What cheaper options are you referring to? Wallner? Martin? They do not provide anything close to the value Kepler brings...
  5. Twins GFP
    I think if the Twins offer a market level offer, Kepler would listen. That really depends on what Kepler's wants/needs are (of which I have heard nothing). I do agree with you that this about what the FO will do. However, I continue to be amazed at the amount of "trade him or let him go" comments... The grass is not always greener, especially when you have a quality player.
  6. Twins GFP
    Nowhere to go but up? How about nowhere to go period. Outside of Lewis there is nothing that is going to improve this entire offensive lineup. No payroll increases means no moves. There is no help left in the minors. What you see is what you get.
  7. Twins GFP
    And the Kepler hate continues... 1) We have nothing ready to go to replace him. Wallner and Martin are obviously not ready to provide his level of output. 2) While he has been inconsistent, he is an average to above average offensive OF, an above average to elite defensive OF that the clubhouse and fans both love. Besides the fact that ownership won't spend money, the only real negative about resigning him would be his 10/5 rights making a potential trade more difficult. Offer him 2/$30 with attainable bench marks that could push it to $35. Put a 3rd year vesting option also with attainable benchmarks. The hate really needs to stop. These are the types of players you want in your organization.
  8. Twins GFP
    Nobody talking about Kiriloff playing outfield... This regime covets positional flexibility, Miranda has earned the right to stay up for now. My guess is there will be another injury between now and then that will help this decision when the time comes. If not, anything is probably on the table.
  9. Twins GFP
    Not much question here... This team is just not very good. Take out that two week stretch where they beat up on some atrocious teams, the Twins are a bottom 40% team. I imagine that this will alienate some people, but there really is no reason to think they will dramatically improve at this point. Outside of Lewis, there is no help on the horizon. This team will not make any moves that increase payroll. SP and RP will continue to be rollercoasters. The offense is pretty anemic. This team will be lucky to win 80 games. Thanks Pohlads for your commitment to Minnesota baseball!
  10. Twins GFP
    Lets see... Wallner Kiriloff Martin Varland Paddack Farmer Not sure how that "better options in-house" narrative is working out...
  11. Twins GFP
    The Twins reducing payroll has hurt this team in countless ways, both on the field and off. They went from being a WS contender to a playoff hopeful in a matter of weeks. Everyone knows it, yet the Minnesota nice/bi-polar fans have done nothing to let management know about it. I don't want to hear about their current record. If it wasn't for a two-week stretch against some of the worst teams in the league, this team would only be a few games ahead of the White Sox. As a long time Twins fan, this year has been one of the hardest to stomach. Especially as management has no desire or inclination to repair fan relations (TV games anyone?).
  12. Twins GFP
    So much history in the relationships between players/coaches and umpires. Things are changing so fast right now, umpires, especially the older ones, are having a hard time adjusting. If you have never seen rugby officials interact with the players, watch this video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=43AdWFSXhgs Rugby is extremely violent and aggressive, yet watch how both sides interact with each other. You will never look at baseball officiating the same.
  13. Twins GFP
    Yeah... I know that Maeda's numbers are bad this year, but you can't say with any certainty that he would have been bad in Minnesota. Plus, signing Maeda would have shown that the Twins were trying to win this year. Their lack of effort this offseason is probably where my anger is mostly aimed...
  14. Twins GFP
    All of this debate about "pipeline" : the word, what it means, institutional depth, etc... There are some questions I am curious about: 1) Across the league, what is the % of home-grown pitching talent currently on each teams roster? Probably broken down by: drafted, acquired as a MiLB, acquired as a MLB, signed as a FA. 2) Is the depth argument about MLB ready pitchers in the minors, or AAAA replacement pitchers ready to step in due to injury? I would wager few to no MLB teams have anything of quality waiting in the minors except for untested prospects (hyped or not) or prospect projects (like Varland). 3) What are the expectations for an "acceptable pipeline"? Volume (i.e. constantly pumping out SP3), quality (getting and SP1/SP2 every year), a combination of both? Drafting or acquiring? A zillion other factors? (Yes this a hugely ambiguous question) Personally, I don't really care. I was mad they didn't sign Gray or Maeda. I did not want 3/5 of the rotation to be question marks, with no real options behind them. The returns thus far are mixed and I will wait to see how it plays out... Every year is different, I just want the team to be in the mix every year.
  15. Twins GFP
    Part of developing pitching depth (and any positional depth really) is identifying players that are underperforming in other organizations, getting them by trade or signing, and getting more out of them I believe the way they handled Sonny Grey got just about everything they could out of him. Ryan's growth, Duran pivoting to a reliever... Many pitchers have improved or seen better days with the Twins than other organizations. There has to be credit given there.
  16. Twins GFP
    This was my first thought... In every major professional sport, from the Pro's down to HS, everybody knows that the game continues through a player injury until the whistle blows. This is done to prevent teams from faking injuries to stop a run, a basket, etc. Kepler races back. He makes the catch near the wall! Wait! he is holding on to his hamstring. It looks like he pulled a hamstring and is limping. Polanco, showing respect to Kepler, stays at third and refuses to tag up. There are now 2 outs in the top of the ninth inning, with the Twins still up 6-5... Every player knows and accepts this. To try to tie this into the human condition is a stretch to say the least.
  17. Twins GFP
    I am not a huge Taylor fan. He is not a great basketball mind and has made tons of mistakes. BUT, spending money is not one of them. Garnett was the highest paid player in the NBA for a time. He doled large contracts out to role players. He was willing to spend money.
  18. Twins GFP
    Look, everybody is overanalyzing this. It comes down to a few basic points: 1) The Twins took the cash from Ballys knowing all of this was possible, even likely. 2) They did this as other teams worked with MLB for less revenue today, but a more optimistic financial future and to keep games on television. 3) This move, in conjunction with the other financial decisions made this winter, show that this ownership group has zero regard for the fans and 100% only cares about dollars. There were no mistakes here. Nothing got missed. This was part of the accepted risk and tactical decisions of ownership. For comparison, look at Glen Taylor and the Timberwolves. For all his faults, he has never balked at spending money to improve the on-court product. He halted the sale of the Wolves to A-Rod amidst reports A-Rod was going to gut the team to save money. He tries to win and appease the fans while also making money, either through cash flow or increased value of the team.
  19. Twins GFP
    Short term financial gain at the expense of long-term thinking. The decisions that have been made are due primarily to one reason: the fans will come back. They can destroy whatever goodwill they want because they know all it will take is a strong winning season and the fans will come back. They always do. Like moths to a flame. The Pohlads have had little to no regard for the fans since they took over. It is strictly a business. Cash in hand is all that matters to them.
  20. Twins GFP
    Yes. The sample size since his return is small. To say he is fixed is premature. You were referring to the totality of his history. He had one good year, then a bad one.
  21. Twins GFP
    Thanks for providing options. In the northern part of the state, Audacy is a great option (though it runs 30-60 seconds behind live). Biggest tip for listening to the Twins on the radio? Any time Dan Gladden is in the booth, find the other team's radio broadcast of the game. His inability to describe play by play and always repeating what Atteberry says makes the game unlistenable. Glen Perkins is a HUGE improvement.
  22. Twins GFP
    He had one solid year, then a disastrous one where performance and injuries would not let him out of AAA. Heck, he didn't even make the team out of Spring Training after the Twins signed Santana because they did not have faith Miranda could handle it. Anybody saying they expected him to be successful at this point is not being honest. Hoping, yes. Expecting, no.
  23. Twins GFP
    I saw the title of this article and started laughing. This is such a divisive discussion amongst Twins fandom it almost feels like a click-bait article.
  24. Twins GFP
    Then you obviously haven't read much of my comments. Sample size is always a important. Austin Martin was ok, not great while he was up. Am I writing him off? No, he just needs a longer period of success. Do you need more examples of jumping on the bandwagon early? Where is Matt Wallner right now? I am not saying Miranda is lucky, I am saying 54 ABs is an extremely small sample size. Heck, 200 ABs is a relatively small sample size
  25. Twins GFP
    54 ABs.... Yep, let's anoint him as fixed.
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