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Twins GFP

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  1. 100% agree here. All the talk about Keirsey not being given a chance, yet he was left off the 40-man last year and no one took him. The only ones I can see truly at risk and needing to be added are Raya, probably Olivar and Moran. Defensive, no-hit 4A catchers are relatively easy to find. Any position player below AAA will not be kept on a team's MLB roster all season. Pitchers can be hidden, but anyone that was truly an asset last year would already be protected. If the Twins only had 2 open spots, there would be no discussion here. The fact they have so many opens up this discussion.
  2. And I thought the details of the bake sale would be found HERE
  3. Trade a player a year too early rather than a year too late. Branch Rickey That being said, there are maybe 4-6 completely untouchable relievers in all of baseball. Duran is not one of them. Great stuff, but too much Eddie Guardado when he comes in the game: always messy, but generally effective. There should be no problem moving him to a needy team willing to overpay a bit.
  4. Trading any of the big six (Lopez, Ober, Ryan, Buxton, Lewis, Correa) signals a fire sale and rebuilding effort is coming, but moving your SP1 on a this team would be a pure disaster on so many levels. Ignoring the on-field ramifications for a minute, this is a horrible perception move. The new media contract requires fans to be interested to make money. This would destroy any goodwill left. Ownership is walking a fine line until this team gets sold. A move like this could put this team in a downward optics spiral that might take years to recover from.
  5. A lot depends on moves made this offseason, but looking at the current roster: Rodriguez has a shot at making the opening day roster. More likely he is the first OF call-up once the season starts. Keaschall has zero chance of making the team out of ST. If he picks up where he left off, he could be a call-up option in the 2nd half of the season. Raya has a very outside chance of making the team out of ST. More likely the Twins continue to slow-grow him, giving him AAA innings probably making him the second SP called up if necessary (behind the loser of the Festa/Matthews battle) Prelipp needs health, confidence, and success at AA before there will be any consideration of the team calling him ion 2025. More likely he is a 2026 candidate
  6. Technically yes, as the Twins are one of a few teams that have the ability to offer him more money than most (assuming he posts on 2025 books). Also because rumors are floating that he would be more comfortable in a smaller market. Realistically... there is a better chance the Twins sign Soto then Roki.
  7. Is there a reason top be somewhat optimistic? Sure... but look at what needs to happen for the Twins to be successful: Buxton needs to play 120 games Correa needs to play 120 games Lewis needs to play 120 games (and probably make an effective move to 2B) Larnach needs to prove last year was no fluke Miranda needs to prove his 2nd half was no fluke (and probably be able to handle 1B defensively) Wallner needs to prove his 2nd half was no fluke SWR needs to pitch at least to last years level Festa and/or Matthews needs to stabilize and become a solid SP5 One of the Lee, Martin, Julien needs to become a stable, rotational player All teams have questions. All teams have some semblance of risk. But this team currently has very legitimate questions all over the place. The Twins have little to no margin for error. If the above mentioned items do not happen, this could very easily be a 75-win team, especially in a very competitive division.
  8. The Twins have to weigh the "cost" of moving Paddack vs the potential benefit of keeping him. Regardless of the comments here, Paddack does have value. As an SP5 or possible BP guy, there is enough there for teams to take a chance him. Maybe not $7.5m worth of chance, but a chance. Paddack's salary is currently sunk money. The Twins would "lose" any trade here as some level of prospect would need to be moved to offset the salary. The questions here are: 1) Do the Twins see Paddack as a potential member of their pitching staff (either SP or RP) next season? 2) If not, what are they willing to give up to move his salary?
  9. What "highly-regarded prospect" would you recommend the Twins move here to get the salary down? I can't see them moving any of their AAA / low end MLB SP at the moment. The prospects they brought up this year did not exactly torch the league.
  10. The fanbase might mutiny of Correa gets traded. We are talking mid-90's apathy here. If the Twins made this trade and went into full rebuild mode, the timeline to exit that mode might be 5-7 years. Not a great look for a team beginning a new media rights contract.
  11. Knowing TC, this is a very good choice.
  12. This is such a weird offseason. The new (what do we call it television? cable?) media contract really requires the Twins to be watchable, if not successful. Angering the fan base will have a direct impact on revenue. So sitting on their hands is not really an option. The team is for sale. Big additions or subtractions will sway potential buyers one way or the other, so the team needs to be hyper-aware of any major decision. Quotes like "getting creative" basically mean there is no money to spend and most everyone is a potential trade option. You have to spend money to make money. Logic dictates they look to improve the team with maintaining team salary at the barest minimum. However, there is a 95% chance team salary goes down. It will be interesting to see the domino effect from that.
  13. The defensive issues are part of the bigger narrative: The amount of positional non-quals was, in large part, due to a systemic decision to rotate multiple players through positions. Injuries played a part, but were not the main reason. Even the players coming from the minors have been worked at multiple positions. Comfort level and routine are such a huge part of the human psyche, trying to force so many players all over the place can't be helping their defense or their offense. This is why guys like Castro are undervalued. To be able to slide all over the place and still be productive at the plate is not common. The other issue, as it always seems to do today, falls back to spending on quality players. Having to constantly juggle players because of offensive matchup limitations results in players never really knowing how to approach each day. Many will blame Rocco for this, but IMO, he is doing what he can with what he has. The splits show what they show.
  14. Subjectivity in voting makes for some poor choices. I am a little surprised not to see representation from the mid-90's.
  15. If the Twins plan to be anything close to competitive next year, they absolutely cannot trade Lopez. Quality SP is too hard to find.
  16. I would be surprised to see any money spent on RP this offseason. They have a decent RP1-4, the rest they will fill from within. The team has bigger fish to fry.
  17. ESPN cam out this morning with their top 50 FA and their projected salary gets this offseason (paywall article). They aren't always dead on, but they tend to be more closer than not. A few Twins related observations: #30 Max Kepler Projected 2y/$28m They are thinking 2024 was more of an outlier and he is prime for a bounce back closer to 2023 #43 Carlos Santana Projected 1y/$13m Solid offense, career-best defense. Age keeps him at a year-to-year contract Not truly surprised on the Santana projection. $13m may be a little high, but there are a lot of teams like the Twins needing a 1B that are willing to spend some money. Looking at the list, a majority of the players are priced out of the Twins market. IMO, Guys that could be attainable by the Twins (per the article projections) include: Spencer Turnbull 2y/$13m Yimi Garcia (depending on severity of injury) 2y/$13m Only other players projected to get an AAV contract under $10m are: Danny Jensen Hye-seong Kim Carson Kelly Andrew Heaney Roki Sasaki (basically Dodgers or bust)
  18. The only way to effectively combat this issue is to give the death penalty to the primary players involved in the scheme. Make them completely ineligible to play or represent players in MLB or MiLB. The penalty will be too high for Agents and Trainers to risk.
  19. They handed him the keys before, that did not go well. If they choose to go that route again, I sincerely hope they have a plan B in place. That being said, there is reason to be optimistic here. I would not fault the Twins for giving him a shot. If so, they need to tell him NOW so he knows what he needs to work on defensively this offseason.
  20. Well I have to say I am extremely disappointed that Santana won the GG. The $25k contract bonus he picked up effectively prices him out of any Twins future plans.
  21. Generally speaking, you always want to attempt to upgrade at positions. That being said, the Twins do not currently have a "catching dilemma". They have a solid rotation that somehow stays healthy. They have a 1B dilemma. They have a 2B dilemma. They have a "staying healthy" dilemma. Sure, if the right deal falls into place, it is worth a look. But at the moment, this team has bigger fish to fry.
  22. Fans many times forget that our players are human. How many comments have been made destroying AK's on-field performance... We now know that the injuries and mental health were a much bigger issue than was assumed. Disappointing to see another potential career derailed. Thanks for giving us what you could AK!
  23. Unfortunately finances will cloud every single article and discussion posted here about potential candidates to fill certain roles. When it comes to the bullpen, I am hard pressed to believe the team will invest dollars into a position that is volatile by nature, especially when there are more pressing needs. The true difference makers here will be grossly priced out of the Twins market. I would expect to see the Twins offer MiLB contracts to any number of pitchers and see what sticks. Another possibility is a low-end, make-good contract or old-guy, hanging-on contract
  24. Fun article! Thanks for the post! Hard to leave Knoblauch off this list...
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