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Fire Dan Gladden

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Everything posted by Fire Dan Gladden

  1. Fire Dan Gladden
    This is a strong reason why I am not immediately buying into the "we are cutting payroll" narrative. I believe the Twins are saying that as a little bit of an excuse in case they can't complete signings, but also as a smokescreen for their moves in the market. Money drives most of the Twins decisions, Ohtani is a lottery ticket for a team like the Twins. Signing Correa was strictly a cost/benefit move. They basically got Correa below market value due to the way his ankle was being handled. Ignore Correa's numbers last year for a minute, but signing him turned the Twins into real players on the Market. Ohtani's on-field value should remain extremely high for at least 3-4 more years from a dual-threat point of view. Offensively he could provide value till the very end of the contract. Ohtani's off-field value is off the charts. Any team in the league should have no problem paying him $50m/year as his value will be measured in multiple times that figure annually. Personally, I think a team like the Twins should offer $60m per because of the impact he would have here. That being said, Ohtani will choose his destination. Even if the Twins offered a comparable salary, all of the public smoke suggest a big city team is his priority.
  2. Fire Dan Gladden
    I was speaking in generalities. The Twins do not give a ton of money or contract length to the unknown FA... Their biggest true FA signing was Josh Donaldson I believe...
  3. Fire Dan Gladden
    Buxton, Kiriloff are knowns. They were internal guys, the Twins knew what the medical risks were. I am not sure the Twins would have offered Correa the money they did if he had not been here a year first. He was a known product at that point, the risk was mitigated. Gallo was not a risk, he was a 1 year flier. This FO will not dump a bunch of money into unknown individuals. You won't see an outside FA signing of 7/$150. That is the unknown/known I am referring to.
  4. Fire Dan Gladden
    I want to condense your paragraph: How accurate is the eye test when Derek Jeter wins a Gold Glove?
  5. Fire Dan Gladden
    I am assuming they are not looking at Julien as a long term answer at 2B. Castro is not a full-time starter. Miranda is not on the radar. You would be looking at starters being 3B - Lewis, 2B - Farmer, UT - Castro. Julien emergency 2B. I would much rather have Polanco over Farmer and slide everyone else down a spot. I am not convinced payroll will be significantly lower last year, regardless of public noise. Now is not the time to be making your team worse. Polanco is just too good when he is on the field.
  6. Fire Dan Gladden
    Two concerns with Hoskins: 1) He missed all of last year with an ACL surgery. Twins tend to shy away from unknowns... 2) He will probably cost $5-6m more than Turner. I would be ok with either, personally I just have a stronger preference towards Turner.
  7. Fire Dan Gladden
    Apologies, but using BA as the argument against Polanco is fairly weak: 2022 OPS+ 115 3.0 WAR 2023 OPS+ 115 2.0 WAR He will be 30 in 2024. He plays positions the the Twins need depth at (2B and 3B). Health is a concern, but even at 80-100 games he is still a bargain at $10m.
  8. Fire Dan Gladden
    I always thought the Garver trade was a little off, as decent catchers are such a valued commodity and the return for him was relatively light at the time.. But that move led to other moves that led to Correa and others. I am not going to lament over that move.
  9. Fire Dan Gladden
    I would understand this more if the Twins were rebuilding, but they are competing for a WS. There is a short window to accomplish this with the current group. A rebuilding team trades Polanco for prospects. The Twins should only trade Polanco if they fill a clear cut need (see Arraez). I don't know what currently looks like as positionally the Twins are probably only heavily shopping for SP (Polanco alone will not do this), a 4th OF (MAT type) and 1B depth (should be Justin Turner).
  10. Fire Dan Gladden
    This discussion should start and stop with Justin Turner. He rings every "need" bell both on offense and defense. He won't cost a prospect and can be had for around $12m (what they paid Solano and Gallo). This no-brainer should have happened yesterday.
  11. Fire Dan Gladden
    I am curious as to why everyone thinks the Twins will move Polanco. He is an upper tier hitter for his position, he can play multiple positions, he is relatively cheap, good clubhouse guy and tenured Twin... On a team that has issues on offense, you trade one of your better offensive players? I don't think there is another Lopez-type pitcher out there to be had...
  12. Fire Dan Gladden
    This is all well and good until they hear Dan Gladden on the radio (or the dead space that he occupies)... I thought the Twins wanted to increase their listening audience...
  13. Fire Dan Gladden
    I have been saying for a while that I believe signing Justin Turner to a contract should be a top non-pitching priority for the Twins. Look a the situation: - Right handed professional hitter - Plays positions the Twins have depth and question issues (Kiriloff is a complete unknown right now, 3B depth for Lewis). - Relatively speaking he will not cost much. 1-2 yrs at $10m per could do it. - There really is nobody in the minors truly pushing at 1B. - By all accounts he is a leader and a great clubhouse guy. You would essentially be replacing Gallo and Solano with Turner, both in salary and positional need. Kiriloff could easily see time in the OF and 1B if he is 100% healthy. Turner does not need to be a full-time DH. Figure 80-100 games at 1B, 20 games at 3B, with some DH sprinkled in. I also don't believe the Twins will be cutting payroll, regardless of the talk and innuendo coming out of the FO. A television contract will be coming to replace those dollars at some point. There is no way they will back off of the on-the-field gains they have made over the last few years. Signing Turner is replacing current salary, not adding. This needs to happen now.
  14. Fire Dan Gladden
    I think Turner should be a top priority for the Twins. He hits all of the checkboxes the Twins need: - Professional, productive RH hitter - Plays positions lacking depth for the Twins (Kiriloff and Lewis insurance) - Veteran guy that creates positive waves wherever he plays Give him a 1yr/$11m with a team option that guarantees with attainable thresholds.
  15. Fire Dan Gladden
    Not a lot of in depth knowledge needed here... there will be a new television contract coming at some point. That is just common sense as it benefits both the Twins and whatever broadcasting entity they sign with. For everybody to act like those funds have been blown into the wind makes little sense.
  16. Fire Dan Gladden
    I am not buying it. Everyone is acting like the TV contract is gone and it will not be replaced. That is a load of hooey. It make take some time to replace, but there will be a new contract in place somewhere with probably more money than they made last year. Considering how close they are to being a WS team, it makes zero sense not to be financially competitive knowing that the money will be coming in at some point.
  17. Fire Dan Gladden
    Not to mention the fact he was only making $10-12m over last few years. Nick thinks it will take close to $20m for a Giolito? No thanks. Unless you can get him on a make good contract (think 1yr/$5m) I wouldn't touch him with a 10-foot pole.
  18. Fire Dan Gladden
    Not sure why everyone is generally down on Maeda coming back. Relatively cheap, known product, successful in MN, does what is needed. IMO he is pitching priority #2 behind Gray. Pagan will be offered a reasonable contract, but may find more money elsewhere. Taylor makes the most sense to come back, but the Twins may look elsewhere if they think they can upgrade (Kevin Kiermaier...).
  19. Fire Dan Gladden
    So of the 7 potential fits, the Twins aren't in on 6 of them.... When you are talking taking flier on older SP with relatively identical salaries, why would the Twins walk from Maeda? Familiarity is a huge thing (see Carlos Correa). Unless there are things the public doesn't know, it doesn't make sense to go after Paxton or Ryu instead of Maeda. Gray is not a "true" FA. They have been willing to pay their own guys (again, see Carlos Correa). Gray back to the Twins at a higher than expected contract would not surprise me in the least, Turner is a viable option for the unknowns you state. Term and cost will be relatively manageable. Nobody else on the list moves the needle.
  20. Fire Dan Gladden
    Provus makes a lot of sense, but he basically keeps the radio broadcast afloat. We all know where I stand on Gladden in the booth. Minnesota sports in general do a great job of hiring broadcast guys. The Wolves TV crew is considered among the best in the business. The Vikes radio guys (while a little homer-ish at times) bring a lot of excitement and and energy to the game, Looking at the past, Minnesota has been spoiled with HOF guys all over the place: Carneal, Gordon, Kaat, Tom Hanneman, Kevin Harlan. I don't want them to settle, go get the best PBP person they can find (and retire Gladden immediately).
  21. Fire Dan Gladden
    For the right price, sure. Last year the Twins did a great job of raising the floor, as was obvious during the season. Moves like this are necessary to win.
  22. Fire Dan Gladden
    Really boils down to a few things: 1) Is Gray open to the idea of returning to MN? 2) Do the Twins believe he can come close to the level of pitching he has provided over the last 2 years in the future? If the answer is yes to both, the Twins should basically offer whatever it takes to keep him here. 3/$75 should do it. Pitchers providing his caliber of work do not come around the FA market regularly. Especially not at the price/year range it would take to sign him. The Twins are out of the "building" phase and should be in "win-now" mode. While not giving away the farm, they have a 3-4 year window here where they should be doing everything they can to win. Signing Gray would not cost any prospects, only dollars.
  23. Fire Dan Gladden
    In checking around: NBC Sports is predicting 3/$90m Bleacher Reports is predicting 3/$65m Athletic is predicting 3/$64m Spotrac is predicting 3/$66m Take these with a grain of salt, but I would be ok with a 3/60ish contract. Just my personal opinion: I don't like anything over 3-4 years for ANY pitcher. I think the risk is too high for anything longer and they are almost guaranteed to be an albatross at the end.
  24. Fire Dan Gladden
    My comment was more on the will he/won't he accept the QO. I 100% agree with your comments. They should make a threshold or market value run at him. I think a 2/$45 with a 3rd year team option that guarantees with very attainable goals (20 starts or 120 innings in 2nd year) would work for both. If another team wants to overpay for him, there is not much the Twins can do except take the draft pick. I have said this elsewhere: Gray has been extremely successful in Minnesota, the Twins will be in the playoff mix for the next 3-5 years, Minnesota is less stressful than NY, Boston, et al. It is in both parties best interest to see if there is a common ground deal here.
  25. Fire Dan Gladden
    It seems all the arguments to move both of these players is the same reason why a cost conscious mid-market team like the Twins should keep them. They are both relatively inexpensive. They are both avg to slightly above avg at their respective positions (complain about the negatives all you want). There are still current question marks about who would replace them. $10.5m for 100 games of Polanco is not outlandish. Kepler is a little more of a risk, but not as high as most people think. They may be shopped this offseason, but I think the odds are pretty strong they will be in a Twins uniform next year,
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