Fire Dan Gladden
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Everything posted by Fire Dan Gladden
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Carlos Correa is locked in as the starting SS? Everything else gets argued and complained about here, I am waiting for the vitriol... -
Not in excess... Keeping him healthy is the biggest issue. Attempting to steal 25-30 bags feels like an unnecessary risk.
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Looking at his overall picture, he has been (at-worst) average. Average RP that are very inexpensive don't get discarded. So yeah, I guess I don't get it.
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It's not easy to provide insight when there is little insight to provide. Gasper is new to the organization, they want to know what they have. 2B will be revolving until/unless somebody claims it. Spring stats (especially early spring stats) mean zero for SP. Barring injury or somebody completely melting down, Paddack and SWR go 4/5 in the rotation. We will see how that looks in May. Varland pitching 1 inning at a time may be the most telling part of this article, as it leads us to believe he is being groomed for RP. Injuries will clean up some decisions here. Also watch for a trade that allows the Twins to send down Castellano and keep him in the organization.
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- willi castro
- mickey gasper
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Blown Saves is a horrendous stat to use to define quality, just as Saves is equally horrendous. Based on the comments for this article, I wonder how many heads will explode when he makes the Opening Day roster over Varland. Considering we are talking about the back-end of the bullpen, it will be interesting.
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Not sure about all the hate on Tonkin. He has basically been an average-slightly above average RP with a rubber arm since coming back from Japan. I have no clue why teams have been releasing him. Preseason stats do not matter, especially for pitchers. If the Twins do cut him, I guarantee another team will pick him up within days. Regarding Varland, anybody here find it odd the Twins won't publicly commit to Varland's role? What do they have to gain by the secrecy? I think the only reason to do that is because he is still in the SP mix and want to push out any public outcry.
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Ishiba, owning the Phoenix Suns, pays over $100 million more in salary and penalties than the 2nd highest NBA team. This isn't about floors, it is about spending. While I don't believe he would spend like the Dodgers, one has to wonder what adding another $75m to the Twins payroll would do. Brainwashed in that fans have basically accepted ownerships slow spending approach to the point of defending it. I see lots of comments here complaining about how Rays can do it, so the Twins should be able to do it as well. Lots of comments about the FO should be fired because of contracts/players/transactions that wouldn't even blip other organizations. The status quo is just accepted. I agree that we won't know how the new ownership shakes out for a few years, but Ishiba brought with him a track record of spending excessive money on player salary. We do not know what he would have done to the FO, the MLB staff, etc., but from a spend POV, Ishiba would be everything Twins fans would want in an owner.
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This particular billionaire has shown a willingness to indiscriminately spend money on his teams, something the Twins have never really had. That was a main reason for the initial excitement. Twins fans have been brainwashed for decades that slow and steady is the way to go, that the Twins do not need to spend a ton of money to win. Ishbia could have easily flipped all of that on it's head.
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The Twins are due for one of these types of fliers to break in their direction.
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I buy into the argument you put your best hitter at the top and follow suit down the lineup. Each spot in the lineup is worth roughly 20 PA over the next one over the course of the year, meaning the leadoff spot will get 40 more PA over the year than the 3rd spot in the lineup. Unless you have a high OBP guy that takes a lot of pitches (Wallner kind of fits that bill), I don't know why CC doesn't bat leadoff every game he plays.
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- matt wallner
- edouard julien
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One way to guarantee comments... use the phrase "pitching pipeline" in your article.
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- marco raya
- andrew morris
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He could bat .900 in Independent Ball and will not see MiLB ever again. Whatever MLB finds, he will be blacklisted worse than Trevor Bauer. Nobody will touch this guy.
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Probably the one position invoking the most discussion this offseason (followed closely by 1B). So many options for the Twins to try, some hoping to maintain (Castro), some hoping to regain (Julien). some hoping for a chance (Gasper) some hoping to grow into the position (Lee, Martin). Unless somebody really hits well and grabs the position, expect another revolving door all year long.
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- willi castro
- brooks lee
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I am glad that you addressed the pitcher/catcher relationship as that is rarely commented on when discussing the Twins Catcher situation. It is really hard to measure the value of Jeffers/Vasquez impact on the staff, but all outward appearances lead us to believe it is a plus. Healthy veteran catchers that combine to a league average offense is nothing to scoff at. It will help to remember this if/when Jeffers goes down for an extended period of time and the lack of quality options in MiLB becomes apparent.
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- ryan jeffers
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Castro should not hold a full-time spot at any position or his value drops tremendously. Julien is kicking himself to the curb. Lee is still a work-in-progress. 2B is wide open, 1B depends on Miranda/France, with days to be had. What I am saying is that none of the four guys you mentioned are currently "blocking" Keaschall.
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My guess would be Mauer. Nishioka might count here too, but I am sure I am missing someone.
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This is my thought as well. Assuming he hits and nobody on the big club grabs 2B, Keaschall could make an impact on the club later this year. A big issue holding him back IMO is the Twins propensity for slow-rolling their position player prospects. As close as I think he could be this season, it would also not surprise me in the slightest if he did not get called up at all, regardless of how he plays in MiLB.
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The Precipice of Possible
Fire Dan Gladden replied to Chris Hanel's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
For baseball, Spring Training is the time to be eternally optimistic. Young players may surprise, veterans come in healthy, older players look to regain the past. Even the White Sox fans look at their team and ask "What if?". What if Buxton and Corrrea stay healthy? What if Wallner, Lewis, and Miranda take steps forward? What if Paddack and Festa pitch well? What if... No matter what anyone says, everyone has a level of hope right now. Every day this game surprises us and gives us a possibility of something we have never seen before. That is why we are all here arguing on this website. -
To further that question, how does a 90th percentile exit velocity equal average. Wouldn't average be 50th percentile? Not trying to be snarky, just trying to understand where the numbers come from.
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- emmanuel rodriguez
- eduardo beltre
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hit ball fair reach base safe play defense good
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- edouard julien
- willi castro
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I am rooting for a team sale as much as anyone here, but I am taking this news with a grain of salt. All public information on this sale is released for a reason (posturing, pressure, etc.). The only news headline that I am dreading to see is "Pohlad's pull Twins off market, decide to keep team".
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Left handed relief pitchers will always get opportunities somwhere, especially younger ones. It may be a pivotal year for him with the Twins, but not a final stop if he fails.
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Julien is the Twins poster child for make-or-break this year. I imagine the leash for him will be relatively short this year. If he gets off to a slow start, it would not surprise me in the slightest to see him moved. I also think he his one of those guys that may need a change of scenery to see success.
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You are incredibly more optimistic than I am. Last year: 1) The big 3 SP combined for 86 starts, with Ryan ending with 23. 2) SWR, Paddack, and Festa all had positive WAR and ERA+ of 99, 85, and 83 respectively. 3) None of these 3 hit 125 games, Only Buxton played 100. 4) All of my listed names had OPS+ over 100. Last year's team won 82 games. You are telling me that if everyone back repeats what they did last year, 25 more games played from Buxton 40 more games from Lewis and Correa would result in an increase of 18 wins? I am not even addressing the nearly 5 WAR lost in Santana and Kepler that was not really replaced...
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Nick addresses the primary issues. 90 wins is possible IF: 1) The big 3 SP stay healthy enough to make 25 starts each. 2) The mixture of SWR, Paddack, Festa, and Matthews pitch close to SP4/SP5 quality. 3) Correa, Buxton, Lewis stay healthy enough to play 125 games each. 4) Larnach, Wallner, Castro, Jeffers, Miranda all have OPS+ over 100 There are a lot of IFs, but nothing that unattainable. I think the Twins margin for error right now is extremely small. If any of of the above mentioned items do not happen, the Twins chances for 80 wins (much less 90) drop exceedingly fast.
