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arby58

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Everything posted by arby58

  1. arby58
    A .500 OBP is world class. The only two players with a .500 OBP (but far more at bats than Martin's 30) so far this year are Yordan Alvarez and Ben Rice. Unlike Martin, they both have unreal slugging percentages as well - .755 and .756 respectively. As the article notes, there are few players whose OBP is higher than their slugging percentage. In 2026, the only comparable outfielder in terms of overall OPS is Randy Arozarena (.426/.400), alhtough Kyle Tucker (.343/.316) and Steven Kwan (.338/.333) also qualify, albeit with lower OPS. Interestingly, other players this applies to in 2026 are Boby Witt Jr. (.371/322) and Victor Caratini (.345/.283), although my bet is on Witt to turn that around the balance of the year. It's possible that Kwan is a comparable to Martin, and if so, my guess is the Twins will take it.
  2. arby58
    First, I know the group very well - I wrote a post awhile back about the fact they called up a bunch of players in 1982, and that was the foundation for later success. Keep in mind, however, that team went 60-102. I think the Twins aim for higher this year. Also, both Puckett (who was called up in 1984) and Viola were called up from AAA.
  3. arby58
    That isn't the point. Did you even read my rationale?
  4. arby58
    Gonzalez is not a CF, and Jenkins still hasn't shown much against AAA pitching. I'm pretty sure Emma would be called up if Buxton goes on the IL (but definitely not interested in that happening). Same with Roden if/when a corner outfielder hits the IL. In the meantime, getting them everyday ABs is more important than bringing them up to play a couple times a week.
  5. arby58
    As Seneca pointed out "Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity." Ryan goes 7 against a good hitting team,Kreidler makes a great defensive play, Larnach hits a three-run HR off a lefthanded pitcher, and the Twins score 7 runs. Their glass was far more full than empty.
  6. arby58
    Outman is not playing many innings. Emma, in particular, hasn't played that many MiLB innings because of injury. My guess is they want both Emma and Roden playing close to every day, not a couple times a week. If/when somebody goes on the IL, sure, bring them up then, but replacing Outman's innings right now isn't that big a deal.
  7. arby58
    Correa, to date, has a .716 OPS. He's not exactly setting the MLB world on fire.
  8. arby58
    That was close to an unhittable pitch. Let's also keep in mind that many years the player with the best batting average in MLB fails to get a hit two-thirds of the time.
  9. arby58
    Sometimes platoons are the right way to go. Martin/Larnach is one of those.
  10. arby58
    I doubt Hawkins needs to reemphasize this. I doubt any of the pitchers hits or walks batters because they have forgotten advice from the bullpen coach. Seemed like a well earned (rather than lucky) win to me. YMMV.
  11. arby58
    It IS different, and I wasn't a Rocco hater. Shelton just seems to trust his players (both pitchers and hitters) a little more, which is odd, given that Rocco was a player. My guess is the players appreciate it as well.
  12. arby58
    While the Tyler Mahle trade was (in hindsight) regretable (but understandable), the return to the Reds doesn't look as great as once feared. Spencer Steer had a good first year with them but has been just an average (or less) MLB player since then, and now CES is on waivers.
  13. arby58
    You have to play (and pay) somebody. I guarantee any MLB team would be satisfied with the results of a trade of a minor minor leaguer for a starting pitcher who goes 15-7, 3.51 ERA and an even better FIP of 3..36 with 178 Ks in 159 innings.
  14. arby58
    He did - ironically, with the Twins in 2022. He was a utility player and even pitched in two games. Clearly he wasn't much of a prize.
  15. arby58
    I'd let it ride with Ryan. With a crop of young hitters likely to emerge from St. Paul later in the year - plus a strong starting rotation - next year should be a play-off challenging team. You make Ryan a QO, if he moves on, you've got a decent draft pick, and there are some other intriguing arms coing up the pipeline as well (including, gasp, left handers).
  16. arby58
    It also led to a revolving door at SS - Punto, Cabrera, Hardy, Nishioka, Floriman, etc., etc. That's also no way to construct a defense.
  17. arby58
    Agreed - however, to balance out the discussion, there's the Delmon Young trade. Ouch.
  18. arby58
    Right - but watch the comments on the game - people will complain nonetheless.
  19. arby58
    They just beat one of the two best starting pitchers in baseball - I said what I said.
  20. arby58
    It's always interesting to read the (lack of) positive comments after a 7-3 Twins victory.
  21. arby58
    Agree on Culpepper. The problem with Roden is where does he play? He's not a CF, and spelling Buxton is Outman's primary role. Larnach is 5 for 15 with 2 doubles, 5 walks and only 1 K, so hard to move him off the platoon with Martin. For all Wallner's warts, he is still an impactful offensive player and leads the Twins in HRs with 3.
  22. arby58
    Culpepper is raking at AAA - 34 ABs, 3 HR, .927 OPS. My guess is, if he keeps hitting like this, come May he will be playing on the other side of the Mississippi River. I'd prefer Emma over Outman as well, but if Larnach keeps hitting, it's hard to call him up to just give Buxton a day off from CF every now and then.
  23. arby58
    They are 0-3 in 1 or 2 run games - it's not like their 4 wins have been nail biters.
  24. arby58
    I don't think your memory is all that great. Eddie Rosario, for example, was productive for his first five years with the Twins, and I don't recall anybody (after phe posted a 2.3 WAR his rookie year) who was screaming for a replacement. It really wasn't until he was to hit free agency that many (including me) considered him not worth a longer term investment. With Kirilloff, it wasn't on the field performance that derailed him, it was a chronic wrist injury. Meanwhile, fans have been more than patient with Royce Lewis - and, for that matter, as far back as Byron Buxton, who didn't hit much his first four years. Again, nobody (understanding his enormous potential and his great defensive value) was screaming for a new CF at that time.
  25. arby58
    i had hoped the Twins would start the season with at least Emma on the 26 man roster and trade Larnach. Of course, Larnach has started 3 for 8 with a couple of doubles and 4 walks to 1 K. Last night, one of the '29 to 31 year old re-treads' Tristin Gray hit a grand slam and drove in 5 runs.
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