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arby58

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Everything posted by arby58

  1. arby58
    He was 18 years old - most of the players his age are freshmen in college or finishing high school. At A+ he was over four years younger than the average age. I'll trust the scouting reports for now.
  2. arby58
    I haven't seen them play, I have a day job. I have perused multiple lists of top MLB draft prospects, and on those (put together by people where it appears to be their day job) Lackey is more around number 10 than number 3.
  3. arby58
    He leads the team or is tied for the lead in most offensive categories: Runs, Doubles, Home Runs, RBI, Total Bases, Walks, Slugging Percentage, OPS. Yes, it's only 6 games, but the Twins will take it.
  4. arby58
    Doesn't seem like the pick you make after trading for Tait. More likely it's (another) SS (most draft lists have 3 or 4 of them at the top). If not that, a college pitcher makes more sense.
  5. arby58
    If he has an OPS over 1.000, the BA should be the least of our worries.
  6. arby58
    True, although Wallner has three walks through two games, which is how he's got a .375 OBP.
  7. arby58
    Any list that puts Houston's hit tool ahead of Emma's is immediately suspect.
  8. arby58
    29 games, and an OPS over 1.000
  9. arby58
    Even with your claim that 20% of the season doesn't count, Gallo's OPS from May 1 on was still higher than Margot's .626 - and he was far better defensively.
  10. arby58
    "Proven veterans" don't magically escape the sands of time. Neither pitcher was passing the "eye test" (ok, radar gun test) this year. That said, there are far better examples of veterans who outwore their welcome than Joey Gallo (maybe one with the initials MM?). Gallo carried the team's offense early in 2023, hit 21 HRs, had a .741 OPS, 100 OPS+, 0.5 WAR and played decent defense. The Twins should be so lucky if Larnach replicates that this year. Manual Margot, by contrast, was .626 OPS, 76 OPS+, -0.9 WAR in 2024 and far from a good defensive outfielder.
  11. arby58
    For excitement value, I really wish they had kept Emma (and maybe even GG) and found somebody to trade with for Larnach while releasing Outman.
  12. arby58
    Maybe I should have added 'invasive wrist injuries' to ACL/MCL. Wrist injuries ala Kiriloff for a hitter are not 'minor' stuff.
  13. arby58
    Why? He's 21 - if he had chosen to go the college route, he'd probably be in A+ ball this year, instead he's in AAA with strong performance in prior years. Yes, he's had some injuries, but none of them are of the ACL/MCL variety that might 'Tony Oliva' his career. He's still growing, he's barely drinking age, I see no reason for this pessimism.
  14. arby58
    Comparing Joe Mauer and Walker Jenkins' AA year (both were age 20): Player PA R 2B HRs BB K AVG OBP SLG OPS Mauer 310 48 17 4 25 25 .341 .400 .453 .853 Jenkins 235 38 11 7 34 44 .309 .426 .487 .912
  15. arby58
    So, if he moves up to 750, you'd be ok with that?
  16. arby58
    Vasquez OPS+ last three years: 64, 60, 52. Kreidler's OPS+ last three years: -38, 6, -14. Sometimes you can't make this stuff up.
  17. arby58
    Even if he only hits as well as Lee, his speed, athleticism, and defense would warrant a call up.
  18. arby58
    Abel does not have less time than Matthews at AAA. Plus, his 2025 at AAA was pretty good, combined between the Twins and Phillies: 7-2 record, 2.31 ERA, 98.1 Innings Pitched, 114 Ks, 40 walks, 1.108 WHIP.
  19. arby58
    The Duran trade's biggest return (in terms of upside potential at a position of great need) was Tait. Bradley has far more starting experience than either of them, and he's definitely had a better ST than Matthews.
  20. arby58
    I'm trying to think of the young player where the Twins set 'an unrealistic expectation for performance' leading to their demotion. I'm drawing a blank - legitimately curious as to the players this refers to.
  21. arby58
    Well, neither Bradley or Matthews was great last year. That said, Bradley's stats look better than Matthews so far this spring. The one that jumps out is Bradley 19 Ks and 5 BB in 14 innings, versus Matthews' 9 Ks and 4 BB in 11 innings. There was a nice piece on this site awhile back about Matthews' fastball being 'flat' and thus pretty hitable - he's not generating swings and misses.
  22. arby58
    No, befeore Ober it is Jose Berrios, who accumulated 13.1 WAR between 2017-2021 (Ober is at 9.2). As it relates to Ryan, he was the Twins #4 prospect in 2022, according to MLB.com - don't know how you can 'undefine' him a 'not prospect.' It's pretty clear the Rays didn't think that highly of him, or they wouldn't have traded him for a couple months of Nelson Cruz. FWIW, how can you consider Chase Petty a Twins pitching prospect when he pitched a total of 5 minor league innings for them?
  23. arby58
    Well, I wouldn't consider Maeda more impactful than, say, Joe Ryan (who was the Twins #4 prospect according to MLB.com in 2022) or Jhoan Duran (#5 in both 2020 and 2021).
  24. arby58
    I would take that bet.
  25. arby58
    I'm old enough to remember the dark days of 1982, when the Twins went 60-1`02. If it is darkest before the dawn, they played the kids and took their lumps. Laudner (24), Hrbek (22), Gaetti (23), Brunansky (21), and Viola (22) were all classified as rookies that year. They improved to 70-92 the next year and 81-81 in 1984, when Kirby Puckett was a 24 year old rookie. That became the nucleus for two World Series winners.
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