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arby58

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Everything posted by arby58

  1. arby58
    So what would you do? Keep him in the bullpen and just plan on giving up a run every inning he pitches? Their bullpen needs all the competent arms they can get. SWR had a couple decent years, but he doesn't throw hard, he doesn't strike out many batters, now his walk rate is elevated, and balls are leaving the yard in alarming numbers. There isn't much that suggests he is a reclamation project worth a spot in the bullpen, which the Twins need.
  2. arby58
    For comparison purposes, the Twins got him for about what they received in return (cash considerations) for SWR. SWR: 7.82 ERA, 11.5 K to 11.0 walk rate, 92.7 MPH on his fastball. Lawrence: 5.32 ERA, 23.6 K to 11.0 walk rate, 95 MPH on his fastball. Why are some fans doing the handwringing thing?
  3. arby58
    Players can just 'lose it' in a short time span - he won't be the first or last. It's not like they didn't give him an opportunity to turn it around - he had 10 starts and 47 2/3rds innings pitched.
  4. arby58
    We're in general agreement about Ober, but the post I was responding to was referring to Ober's 'terrible' 2025, so that was the stat line I used.
  5. arby58
    That's a pretty big maybe, don't you think? How many games do you sacrifice (he's already 0-7 with a 7.74 ERA) on this reclamation project? The bullpen is starting to round out. ERAs: Gomez 0.87; Paredes 2.45; Leweryson 3.68; Orze 3.95; Morris 4.07; Rogers 4.15; Banda 5.19; Adams 8.18 (but was sub-4.00 prior to one bad outing against the White Sox). I don't see why SWR should take the place of any of these pitchers.
  6. arby58
    They have a pitching coach and a bullpen coach - you think they wouldn't have kept him if those guys believed he could have 'found some mojo?' At some point, some causes are just lost causes. I think the article pretty well explains why.
  7. arby58
    When you lose a pitcher with his stat line this year, what have you really lost? His career WAR is 2.7 over 3 years, hardly a major loss if somebody picks him up.
  8. arby58
    Not good with the splitter, no margin for error, lost command of his pitches - yeah, let's put him in the bullpen and hope for the best. The Twins made the right move.
  9. arby58
    Compare these two stat lines and tell me who was/is terrible: WAR: 1.0, W/L 6-9, ERA 5.10; WHIP 1.298 WAR: - 1.3 W/L 0-7, ERA 7.74; WHIP 1.888 Also keep in mind that Ober (the top line) was dealing with an injury most of last year. The underlying stats, explained in the article, tell the story.
  10. arby58
    I loved Shelton's comments about Prielipp in the post-game interview: they knew they eventually needed to push him out to around 95 pitches, they had their numbers 8 and 9 hitters up, number 9 was left handed with no opportunity to pinch hit for him, so he left him in and then went right on right with the number 1 hitter up. I doubt he would have been out there that long under the prior regime. In the long run, that is a great progression for his development.
  11. arby58
    They have had players that graded that well, they just couldn't make it in MLB. They currently have Marek Houston in Cedar Rapids, and they didn't draft him for his offense. Twins Daily has him as a 60. They also have Jenkins and DeBarge as 55s.
  12. arby58
    That's different from the OP, which didn't mention prospects as part of the deal.
  13. arby58
    Why would they take a bad contract and salary and get no return on investment, when they can spend the same amount for something that could be a return on the investment? It's too cute by half.
  14. arby58
    Haven't we played this song enough when discussing the bullpen? After awhile, the lyrics get stale. The post is about what to do now, not what to have done last year.
  15. arby58
    It's a reasonable grade and analysis, but I'd probably give him, up to this point, an A-. If you had told fans (including around here) that the Twins would be through one-third of the season with Lewis and Wallner in St. Paul and Keaschall struggling, what do you think they would have predicted for a record - maybe 10 games under .500? Shelton doesn't deserve all the credit for where they are, but he definitely is pretty high up the list.
  16. arby58
    Martin looked pretty lost on one of the balls off the wall against Boston, which was for extra bases. Minnesota's other regular outfielders are not exactly gold glove material either. The fact that Outman (it is a deliciously ironic name for him) is still here tells me the Twins have answered your question. The other issue that wasn't raised is a fourth outfielder is going to play how often? Sure, if Buxton is going to become a semi-permanent DH, it provides more regular playing opportunity, but it is worth recalling that Mendez started the year in AA ball. He's 22 and can use regular playing time. It will be interesting to see how the Twins deal with their glut of OFers IF Jenkins and Rodriguez can stay healthy, not to mention Roden - and you also have Gonzalez and now Mendez. At least one of these guys has got to be in the thought process for 1B, right?
  17. arby58
    I agree with you on everything but Outman. There really isn't another experienced CF on the roster. If Emma were healthy, my guess is he would have been playing for the Twins a week or two ago.
  18. arby58
    The offensive/defensive contributions of Clemmens and the move of Lee to 3B have been important recent developments. I get the feeling moving Lee off the SS 'hot seat' has helped his ABs as well.
  19. arby58
    Except he hadn't performed well as a starting pitcher, and success as a relief pitcher for a couple of years doesn't logicaly lead to the conclusion that now he would have had starting pitching success. There is a long line of starting pitchers who have success as relief pitchers; it is a much smaller cohort who are short-innings relief pitchers and then transition to starting pitching success.
  20. arby58
    Yep - he came over in the Harrison Bader trade. Given that Bader was a rental, it looks like a really good value deal for the Twins.
  21. arby58
    Jax is a free agent after the 2027 season; Bradley after the 2029 season - so the Twins have two more years of control. Also, Jax is 31 and Bradley is 25.
  22. arby58
    I suspect you are correct - and I've suggested they will probably mostly DH him, at least at first.
  23. arby58
    I'd be shocked if there is another Kyler Fedko in MiLB.
  24. arby58
    At AAA this year, (slugger) Kyler Fedko has 11 HRs in 166 plate appearances - a HR every 15.1 PAs. (Defensive catcher) Alex Jackson has 7 HRs in 95 PAs, a HR every `13.8 PAs.
  25. arby58
    I think it highly premature to judge 'the mindset of this management team' based on a three-game call-up because of a paternity leave. Everybody (including Gonzalez) had to understand the situation. Given that the Twins won all three games, this appears to be a 'move along, nothing to see here' situation.
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