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dex8425

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Everything posted by dex8425

  1. dex8425
    Isn't Archer's contract innings and incentive-laden too? He might be upset if the Twins appear to be financially motivated and move him to the pen. That said, I'd be surprised if Archer starts any postseason games since you really only use 3 starters. I assume that will be Ryan, Gray, and whoever is pitching better/healthy between Paddack and Bundy. I don't think Archer is going to throw more than 100 innings this year.
  2. dex8425
    It was defensible. When the guy on deck is hitting .350 and even better against righties, you don't intentionally walk the bases full to face that guy. Buxton had already struck out three times. Granted, it was a terrible 3-1 pitch. Hendricks didn't have control all night. Seemed like he was landing funny.
  3. dex8425
    Arraez is batting .350. He's is at least as good as we expected, probably better. Although his defense is so bad it's hard to play him in the field anywhere. Urshela and Sanchez have also been about what I expected. If urshela OPS' .700 while playing great defense at third that's a very valuable player.
  4. dex8425
    It was the longest walkoff HR in the statcast era. (since 2015)
  5. dex8425
    That's why you look at park adjusted stats like OPS+ when comparing players from different teams. Especially Red Sox and Rockies players (hitters parks) but also Oakland players (pitchers park). Sano was quite a bit less valuable than Cron last year (131 OPS+ to 113 OPS+) even not considering Sano's awful defense.
  6. dex8425
    Well Cron's OPS+ in 2021 was 131, which is park adjusted. Sano was good for 113 OPS+ last year. So...Sano's numbers would be worse than CJ Cron...?
  7. dex8425
    That would be ideal.
  8. dex8425
    This is Sano's last year as a Twin. I think he has a 14 million team option next year or a 750k buyout? Right now that decision is easy. I'm rooting for him to suddenly become 2017 Sano again but that seems more unlikely than Larnach continuing to hit. Larnach and Kirilloff will get plenty of chances-look at Brent Rooker. All first round picks.
  9. dex8425
    Easy. Kirilloff plays first base. Larnach plays left. Sano should not be playing every day right now.
  10. dex8425
    Sano himself was actually talking about his hitting approach this spring, during a ST radio broadcast. He says he was talking to Nelson cruz every day and trying to think right-right center and keep his hands farther forward to create a shorter swing. Clearly his adjustments worked in ST and haven't been working so far in games that count. Sano knows what to do, and so do his coaches, but hitting is pretty hard.
  11. dex8425
    Graterol has only thrown 67 innings his entire MLB career (including the innings with the Twins). Maeda threw that many in 2020 alone. Graterol wasn't very good last year either.
  12. dex8425
    If we have Graterol, do the Twins make the playoffs in 2020? We certainly don't win the division then. Maeda was the second best pitcher in the AL in 2020 and that was only because Bieber was incredible. Pressly hurts, because although Celestino and Alcala are both MLB pieces, I think we gave up 1.5 seasons of control of Pressly. Jury is still out on that one.
  13. dex8425
    I hear what you're saying, but if Paddack had pitched well last year then he would've cost the Twins Lewis, Balazovic, and Rogers. He would then be Frankie Montas, basically. EDIT: and I would not hope the Twins would trade Rogers, Balazovic and Lewis for Montas.
  14. dex8425
    2006- 10.1 2008-9.8 2009- 11.3 2010-10.6
  15. dex8425
    If this list included pitchers, Johan and Mauer combined for 13.4 WAR in 2006.
  16. dex8425
    I'm going to be optimistic and think that Buxton's sense of security after signing the extension somehow keeps him healthy. Twins MVP Byron Buxton Twins Top Pitcher Sonny Grey Twins Most Improved Max Kepler Twins Top Rookie Joe Ryan Gold Glove Winners Correa, Buxton Silver Slugger Winners None Twins Record 85-77 (2nd place)
  17. dex8425
    The FO has stated they're not done making moves. I believe that.
  18. dex8425
    Paddack has already had TJ.
  19. dex8425
    How many innings did Ray throw in ST games? Any idea how deep he could go in the game if he is rolling?
  20. dex8425
    No way the Twins were going to go 7 years on Berrios. That's why he was traded. I do wish the Twins had signed Rodon for what SF gave him, or even Greinke on the Royals' salary.
  21. dex8425
    My point was not specific to Josh Winder necessarily, just that Manaea is a league average pitcher in terms of ERA. A league average pitcher is not super difficult to replace. Ryan was better than that last year (in a small sample size, of course).
  22. dex8425
    Manaea is a league average pitcher, with one year of control for a relatively high salary. That's why the haul was low. Manaea doesn't give the Twins anything in 2022 they couldn't get from Josh Winder, except more depth. That's why the Twins didn't trade for Manaea. Paddack's ceiling is way higher (I mean, look at what he did in 2019, he was the Padres opening day starter in 2020).
  23. dex8425
    Paddack had a really good FIP last year. He was the Padres opening day starter in 2020. He's 26 and was a top prospect. He's projected to throw 130 innings with an ERA in the low 4's in 2022. That's more innings than you're going to get from Rogers this year. Add in the cheap cost controlled 2023 and 2024 and that's why baseball trade values lists Paddack as much more valuable than Rogers. Rogers is a free agent after this year. Paddack will be in the rotation all year. Bundy and Archer will not.
  24. dex8425
    Sonny Gray is gonna win the 2022 Cy Young, lets go!!
  25. dex8425
    They must be thinking somebody like Jhoan Duran will be pitching high leverage innings in that spot by the end of April. Duran's stuff is every bit as good as Rogers'
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