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Nine of twelve

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Everything posted by Nine of twelve

  1. I'm not on Twitter, but someone who is told me that there was a tweet that Correa has officially opted out.
  2. As I said, I don't think Pagan is the pitcher Pressly was or is. Nor did I say that I thought the Twins should keep Pagan. The similarity is that, based on his pitches, Pagan should be getting better results than what we have seen. I don't think anyone expects Pagan to suddenly become a lock-down closer. But from what I read he has the pitches that should enable him to give an inning of decent pitching on a regular basis.
  3. Who wouldn't want to have Aaron Judge? But there is no way the Twins will be able to match the offers he will receive elsewhere. Not even close. Big money teams will make big offers, if for no other reason than to jack up the amount the Yankees will be forced to pay. I'll bet the Red Sox will be prominent in that group of teams. (Wonder what Judge would look like with a beard.?) But don't get any ideas; the Yankees *will* be signing him in the end. It's the same situation in which the Twins found themselves in 2010, only amplified to a ridiculous degree. The Twins knew they had no choice other than to meet Mauer's signing requirements, and Mauer and his agent knew that too. The same thing applies here. The Yankees have the wherewithal to beat any other offer and still be OK financially. The Yankees know it, and Judge and his agents know it. And Yankee fans know it. That fan base would be beyond irate if he lands anywhere else. The only thing we don't know yet is how much the Yankees will wind up spending.
  4. This should play, as long as Kirilloff and Larnach are healthy. I still have hopes that Celestino can be that righty. He's young enough for us to expect improvement, but the improvement has to be there before I'll be convinced.
  5. Garlick is the type of player who would be good to have in AAA so that he could fill in occasionally on the major league roster.
  6. The situation with Pagan makes me think of Ryan Pressly. Pressly was underperforming in Minnesota despite having high-level talent. He was traded to Houston and immediately became a major force in the late innings for them, often closing. I don't know if the Twins were mis-coaching him or if he wasn't amenable to coaching or if it was just bad luck, but obviously something clicked for him in Houston that didn't click here. I'm not saying Pagan has Pressly's talent, but my question is whether Pagan's apparent underperformance can be turned around. If we keep Pagan it's critical for our next pitching coach to get the most out of him.
  7. One, a team can't expect to receive value in a trade without giving up value. Two, any and every player on the roster (except those with non-trade clauses in their contracts) can and should be traded if the trade will improve the organization. Arraez' value as perceived by potential trading partners may never be higher, so if he were to be traded this would probably be the best time to do that.
  8. The Twins' overall BA was .248. The BA with RISP was very nearly the same at .244. While this is not stellar it's not far from the MLB average in a year in which pitching dominated. Honestly, I think terming this as "dreadful" is poor analysis and lazy reporting.
  9. I was at the last two games, my first time seeing games there. It was disappointing for sure to watch how we played, but this is not surprising. It's been a tiring season and everyone knows it doesn't matter one bit whether we win any more games or not. We played literally our 6th, 8th, 9th, and 10th-string outfielders and 4th-string catcher today. And speaking of disappointing, I expected to like Kauffman Stadium more than I did. I guess it's a bit unfair, having been spoiled by Target Field for so long. The field itself was nice, and I liked the fountains. But to me the upper deck is a monstrosity. There are a LOT of bad seats way up there. I'll include a photo I took after today's game so you can see what I mean. And I was also underwhelmed by the food and beer choices, although I didn't try any barbecue because I had a good meal of that yesterday afternoon at a small local establishment. That said, I liked the fans and staff I interacted with and I will certainly be back, hopefully under better circumstances.
  10. I think tanking in baseball is essentially pointless. First, draft-eligible players are much more difficult to project in baseball than in other sports, Second, my guess is that tanking almost never makes more of a change than 2 or 3 positions in the draft anyway. But if it is felt that tanking needs to be discouraged via a lottery, then setting up the lottery so that a team can not advance or descend by more than 3 positions ought to do it. I don't like that a team with the 7th-best record in its league has any chance, even a remote one, to wind up with the first pick. Nor do I like that a team with the worst record has any chance, even a remote one, to wind up with the 18th pick. How could this be done? Here's how I would do it. Choose one of the first four teams in the draft order at random to receive the first pick. For deciding the second pick, add team #5 to the remaining three and choose at random. For the third pick, add team #6 to the remaining three and choose. At that point, if team #1 has not yet been chosen, they get pick number 4. Otherwise add #7 and choose the team for the fourth pick. At that point, if team #2 has not been chosen, they get pick #5. Continue in this manner until the first 18 positions are decided. From that point on the selection order stays as it would have been without a lottery.
  11. A team can make an offer to a free agent but a team can't just "grab a top tier player or pitcher". Free agency is the reverse of a draft. Teams don't select free agents. Free agents select teams.
  12. https://www.statmuse.com/mlb/ask/team-average-with-runners-in-scoring-position This source shows the Twins are 12th in MLB in batting average with RISP. The Twins are also 12th in MLB in batting average as a whole. So based on this their situational hitting does not show ineptitude. They are simply typical.
  13. Regarding the position player roster, simply list every injury and that will cover all the moments one needs to consider. No team would be likely to succeed given the number of games key players lost this season. Regarding the pitching staff, see my comment above. There wasn't one key moment, or even fifty-one. The pitchers we had simply weren't successful enough to make Rocco's system work.
  14. I concur that the bullpen roster, and to a lesser extent the starting roster, was not adequate to succeed given Rocco's philosophy of pitching staff management. I'm not going to comment here about Rocco's philosophy in that regard, but I would be curious to know how much communication there was among Rocco, Falvey, and Levine regarding the type and number of pitchers needed to make his system work. Assuming there was full communication, I would be interested to read what actions you think the front office should have taken.
  15. I didn't take the time to read all the comments yet. But I'll say that letting Ryan go for the no-hitter would have been tantamount to giving up on the season. The Twins' only chance to make the rest of the season relevant is to win the next 7 games. That means Ryan needs to be at full strength on Sunday. For those who feel he should have continued to pitch we'll just have to agree to disagree about Rocco making the correct decision.
  16. Next season we will play the Yankees 7 times and the Astros 6 times. This season we played the Yankees 7 times and the Astros 6 times. The decrease in intra-division games next year is to make room for more inter-league games.
  17. The mound was lowered during the 1968-1969 off-season and has not been adjusted since then. The first TJ surgery (on TJ himself, of course) was in 1974. So there's no way to correlate the change in the height of the mound to the rate of surgeries.
  18. I'm against any restriction on positioning of fielders, other than the rule that has been in place almost since the beginning that the catcher is the only player allowed to set up in foul territory. There is no argument that will convince me to change my mind. There are many other ways to counter the perceived problem of too little action and too little offense that make more sense. The most obvious of these is to move the pitching rubber farther from home plate. I would suggest starting out with a 6 or 12 inch increase and evaluate how that affects the game. This makes it easier to hit a pitch (including to direct the batted ball) and to steal a base. I would also be in favor of lowering the mound. To balance the advantage those changes would give the batter I think a larger strike zone should be put in place. This also has the benefit of reducing the number of bases on balls. More balls put in play, fewer walks, fewer strikeouts, more stolen bases. And also consider softening the ball a touch so that home runs don't get easier. I like the larger base size because it makes plays around the bases safer. And don't lose sight of the fact that larger bases are a bit of an advantage for fielders too--it will be easier for a fielder to touch a base on a force play. And, of course, electronic pitch calling. NOW!
  19. Nope. If a pitch clock can be implemented a transition clock can too. One minute is enough. Between the plethora of coaches in the dugout and players not in the lineup each player who is on the bases, batting, or on deck can have a designated equipment handler to facilitate a quick exchange. Hustle in, hustle out, and resume the game. Bathroom and water breaks can be done at other times. This is feasible and it's the simplest, most logical, and most efficient approach to minimizing in-game down time because the duration of the between-half-innings break is the single biggest contributor to the problem. My understanding is the minimum length of a break is 2:15 so in reality I suspect it's about 3 minutes from third out to first pitch almost every time. With 16 or 17 such breaks in a 9-inning game, going to a 60-second break would decrease the running time of a typical game by 32-34 minutes. Of course, the obvious flaw here is that minimizing in-game down time is not the goal these rule changes are seeking to address. MLB's one and only objective in everything they do is to maximize owner profit. Any and all changes made are done to further that goal and that goal alone.
  20. I was only off by 1 run.
  21. Tommy John is an elbow procedure. Mahle's issue is with his shoulder.
  22. The Yankees do not have a soul. Or at least they don't own it outright after the deal they made at the crossroads.
  23. Here's positive and creative thinking: It's not just which team you play it's when you play them. The Yankees have been playing bad baseball. Starting with July 31 their record through yesterday (when they won) is 11-20. And there was even a 5-game winning streak in the middle of that stretch. In their last 8 games since that streak they are 2-6. To compare, the Twins are 15-17 during the same time period. Based on this a split should be the expectation.
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