Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

bean5302

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    6,714

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    35

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    ...and if Martin was hiding his underlying soreness or issues re-aggravating his hamstring is on him. If the hamstring was truly 100%, it makes no sense to see it strained again like this. Obviously, this is totally speculatory, but it wouldn't surprise me the hamstring was feeling a bit of a twinge or was "tight" and Martin was pushing hard to get an opportunity to be back with the club. Similarly, there's a history of Royce Lewis pushing to get back onto the field to the point trainers and medical staff have started to ignore what Lewis says. I have serious reservations about the qualifications of the Twins' medical staff and trainers at this point. These injuries are happening way, way, way too frequently. Either the staff is medically incompetent or they're not competent in their communication style. All that aside, Martin is a replacement level player. He's got about a 1.0 WAR ceiling on him.
  2. bean5302
    Amick aside, Thomason is hitting well this year despite struggling a bit at same level last year. A late round senior college pick struggling in lower A ball last year was going to put him off the radar. As a late round senior pick, Thomason is old in age and experience for a legit prospect in the FSL, though you'd have to expect he'll be promoted quickly if he continues to perform. 100 plate appearances is nothing, but Thomason has been consistently productive this year.
  3. bean5302
    No he's not better than Aaron Sabato. a22 A+, Amick vs. Sabato .342/.475/.447 OPS .922 wRC+ 168 15.2% BB, 26.3% K, .105 ISO, .500 BABIP vs. .253/.402/.613 OPS 1.015 wRC+ 166 19.6% BB, 33.0% K, .360 ISO, .297 BABIP
  4. bean5302
    LOL, what?? I think it'd be fair to disclose any close personal relationships to Amick here, man.
  5. bean5302
    I can't agree with that. I hate watching robotic, spreadsheet games. Hate them with a passion because the games are boring. Also the accuracy rate for MLB umpires is about 94% with the majority of the "missed" calls being missed by a fraction of an inch. The run value differential represents the situation when the "missed call" was made, and the pitcher's reputation and movement of that pitcher's repertoire has as much to do with "catcher framing" as the catcher themselves. Right now, 28 teams in MLB are at a +/- 0.1 runs per game. Complaining about umpiring to me is like when the Vikings lose a game 9-0 and fans complain about a blown holding penalty in the 2nd quarter when the Vikings were at their own 36 yard line. If your team doesn't play well enough to overcome a 0.1 run disadvantage, they didn't play well enough to win; they just left it up to a coin flip.
  6. bean5302
    I'd prefer giving him one thing at a time. Work on his plate discipline and keep hitting. Working him out at 1B over the offseason? Sure, if there is potential value there. The Twins are short on good outfield options next year. Larnach is not a great option and Bader and Castro are highly likely to be free agents leaving only Buxton and Wallner as likely starters on the roster. McCusker gets scouted poorly in the outfield, but it's very hard to use the "eye test" on big guys like Wallner and McCusker because their size makes them look more awkward than they are. In terms of RF/9, McCusker's metrics look pretty solid. The data doesn't care if the pitcher has a weird delivery or the fielder's legs don't churn as fast.
  7. bean5302
    Hopefully, Correa is figuring things out. His line is improving, but it's been mostly singles on high BABIP, and he hasn't taken a single walk in the past 10 games. Barreling up that home run was definitely nice to see.
  8. bean5302
    I'd be surprised if Keirsey was on the 26 man at the end of the month. Dedicating a roster spot to a good, but not great, pinch runner and defensive replacement isn't optimal.
  9. bean5302
    Have you seen his BABIP? It's consistently super high. Then I looked at his line drive rates... Consistently an astronomical 30% the past 2 seasons. The high K rate is generally associated with a very poor AVG/OBP, but if McCusker is able to hit 25%+ line drives at the MLB level, his OBP is going to stay over .300. Not sure what to make of him, but some experience and success can see big drop offs in K rates after a couple years. Jeffers was at 37% K in his first full season, now at 17%. Larnach down from 35% to 19%, and Rooker from 33% to 25%. With how much progress McCusker has made already, I think it's possible he could take another step forward in plate discipline. If he keeps it up through May, he needs to get a call.
  10. bean5302
    He's super rusty. Missed a lot of ST, he wasn't hitting in AAA, but the Twins called him up anyway. We'll have to see how he gets everything put together, but if the organization is committed to keeping him up, it'll likely be a week or two.
  11. bean5302
    I find his line last year in low-A unimpressive for a 2nd round all bat college hitter, he's still in the low minors, his BABIP is .500 and his ISO is a very poor .105.
  12. bean5302
    Matthews was sitting at 97-99 through ST and into the start of the AAA season. He was at 95-96 on Sunday. Could just be a sensor, but given the walks and hits, it's eye opening.
  13. bean5302
    This is what I see. Not sure if that's what you see, but the formatting should be fixed.
  14. bean5302
    No he hasn't. Lewis had a severe quad strain last year out of the gate. It wasn't hamstring related. 2021 - Torn ACL 2022 - Torn ACL 2023 - Oblique Strain 2023 - Hamstring Strain 2023 - Quad Strain 2024 - Quad Strain 2024 - Hip adductor Strain 2025 - Hamstring Strain The dual ACL reconstructions resulted in a weakening of all the muscles, tendons and ligaments in Lewis' leg. Doctors told him he'd be especially susceptible to additional strains in his leg, and that subsequent strains before he fully recovers would continue to slow the process of fully healing and strengthening his leg. The hip and quad strains are much more severe than the hamstring issue, but I do feel like the trainers have some issues at this point. Like... it's a bit much at this point. The constant aggravation to his soft leg tissue robbed him of a ton of his athleticism last year. I don't know as I believe Lewis could ever be healthy at this point, but if he can make it a few months without another lower body injury, maybe the cycle could be broken?
  15. bean5302
    The biggest news in the MiLB system to me is Zebby Matthews is giving up a lot of hits and walks with a drop off in his velocity. Matthews has never walked guys like he's been doing lately.
  16. bean5302
    Mark, Mike, Marvin... something like that.
  17. bean5302
    I don't think his swing is the problem. I think the problem is he doesn't use it.
  18. bean5302
    There are no real former bomba squad members on the team anymore. It was 6 years ago with the help of a juiced baseball. You might say "Buxton!" but he only hit 10HR that year. Nelson Cruz (41) - Retired Max Kepler (36) - Philadelphia Phillies Miguel Sano (34) - Unsigned Eddie Rosario (32) - Atlanta Braves Mitch Garver (31) - Seattle Mariners C.J. Cron (25) - Unsigned Jonathan Schoop (23) - Unsigned Jorge Polanco (22) - Seattle Mariners @Matthew Trueblood your chart graphics seem broken to me? I see teams listed multiple times, and artifacts mixed through them? In any case, yeah, it's the Eddie Julien syndrome for the Twins. Shoulder = shelf for bat. Can't waste strikes looking for mistake pitches because it doesn't work at the MLB level... or even the high minors. Ask Aaron Sabato.
  19. bean5302
    LOL, NO. It's good for 300 level seats only. So $23 for 2 is a good deal ($37-39 for 2 with online fees reg, $30-32 from the box office), but it's the same as I could find on reseller sites, and I could find lower level seats for $36 with fees. If the Twins offered a 23% discount on all seats? Maybe. That way people might actually spend on lower levels. Falvey doesn't seem to understand ticket sales or draft/development.
  20. bean5302
    While Ryan is pitching very well this year, he always has a good first half. He also always gets injured, misses a bunch of time and has a terrible second half. His xFIP is at 3.42, which is borderline ace territory at the moment though I expect that'll decline greatly as the season goes on. That said, I think Ryan's accomplishments are truly noteworthy. Expected to maybe stick as a back end #5 type guy, he's really taken his game to a new level. Traditionally, Ryan's biggest problem is his refusal to walk guys, instead challenging them as he gets behind only to watch balls go into the seats. Ryan will need to do this all year, and be even better than he has been so far to earn a bonefide "ace" title.
  21. bean5302
    It was certainly a conservative off season, but a typical one for Falvey who always seems to wait too long and overplay his hand until he finds himself short on suitors over the offseason. The Twins' likely plan: C - Jeffers 1B - France 2B - Castro (IL) SS - Correa (struggling) 3B - Lewis (IL) LF - Bader CF - Buxton RF - Wallner (IL) DH - Larnach (struggling) Util - Lee (IL) Util - Miranda (struggling, IL) Util - Keirsey BC - Vazquez (struggling) Losing 5 of your position players to the IL, and having guys like Holland and Martin on the IL in AAA has certainly been a major hit to the Twins. Even worse, the guys who were expected to be big contributors have flopped for a large portion of the season with the pressure on. While Jeffers and Buxton look great right now, they were both ice cold for the first couple weeks. The Twins find themselves in a division where the Tigers look better than expected, and they were already probably picked to be better than Minnesota to start with. The Twins are 7 games back from the division lead and 5 games out of the Wildcard if the season ended today, needing to pass 5 teams above them to make the WC3 spot.
  22. bean5302
    Pretty concerned with Zebby Matthews at this point. Game Log 1-3 = 1.80 ERA, 1.26 FIP, 12.00 K/9 (36.4%), 1.20 BB/9 (3.6%), 0.73 WHIP 4-6 = 2.92 ERA, 4.01 FIP, 10.22 K/9 (23.3%), 5.11 BB/9 (11.7%), 1.86 WHIP Skyrocketed BB rates, way more hits allowed. Matthews topped out at 97.1mph vs. 99.5mph on 4/15. Matthews max velos: 4/1 = NA 4/8 = 98.8 4/15 = 99.5 4/22 = 97.4 4/27 = 97.5 5/4 = 97.1 Zebby Matthews game on 5/4 he sat in the 95-96mph range, where he had been sitting in the 97-98mph range through Spring Training and his first 3 regular season games. For a guy who does not issue free passes, the walk rate has become pretty bad and his velo is down a couple mph.
  23. bean5302
    Rice University pitchers are not outliers. While Rice University might be above average, I didn't see anything suggesting this legendary arm breaker myth going around TD. Canterino was like #65 in innings pitched for NCAA baseball the year he was drafted. His pitch counts were exceeded by many other players as well. In example, the Angels' Reid Detmers had higher pitch counts and more innings than Canterino despite being younger.
  24. bean5302
    A star as in, he produced more value in a season than any other position player in a Twins uniform having been drafted/developed under Falvey's regime. Julien led all Falvey drafted players in fWAR in 2023 at 2.8. It's more of an indictment on Falvey than star power for Julien, but in a full season at that pace, Julien would have been at the edge of All Star production.
  25. bean5302
    One of the weakest arms in baseball by the throwing speeds, actually.
×
×
  • Create New...