bean5302

Yes, we are watching a 90 or even 100 loss team right now. I just don't believe for a second it'll stay that way. The Twins have a solid, but not dominant, rotation which will keep them in games. The team has enough talent in the lineup to score enough runs. It all adds up to a team which is right about .500 on the season. Things are going to warm up over time though I do not think this team has the management and leadership to make the playoffs.

Julien was solid in 2023 and he opened up 2024 hot at the plate as well. Unfortunately, in a 2 week span, Julien went from fixture of the lineup to almost wholly written off by fans and an organization obsessed with Brooks Lee experience to come. I wasn't a huge fan of Julien's in 2023 as I didn't believe his approach was likely sustainable, and he almost certainly benefitted from from some luck in terms of his production. That said, I felt he was probably capable of an OPS .725-.750 long term performance which would make him a viable starter in MLB, certainly so long as his pay rate remained at league minimum or near it. This year, we've only got a tiny sample size to look at, but it's obvious Julien has been aggressive at the plate. His first pitch K rate is a brutal 77.4% thanks to a pretty poor whiff rate on pitches in the zone and an aggressive out of the gate approach. That's led to a plummeted walk rate, though his K rate has been much better as well. Just have to wait and see whether or not the new approach delivers sustainable results as the sample size increases and luck is weeded out over time... if he gets the chance. Julien's exit velocity, barrel rate, line drive rate, and xwOBA are all stellar so far so there's reason to be optimistic his bat will come around.

I was trying to give as many benefits of the doubt and advantages to the movies as I could by choosing Coon Rapids as the movie theater. I think you can skip the fees just by purchasing tickets at the box office. Don't forget section 324 (family section). For $18.75 with fees, all seats also include a free hot dog and soft drink. It's like, come on. 5 minutes of searching and you're in. Students can sign up for $5 ballpark entrance (SRO) tickets and just sit in Truly on Deck even with club level seats.

Fisher is about to get a new stadium and a huge influx of cash. Selling the team seems a lot less likely than than the Tampa Bay Rays given the Rays stadium mess. Reinsdorf seems to have pulled a bait-n-switch to me. Like he put the word out there about selling to try and reel in an investor to buy out disgruntled minority shareholders. Since then, Reinsdorf has been clear he's not selling. Probably because he's going to make bank with a new stadium. Maybe it'll be Chicago, maybe it'll be elsewhere. It wouldn't surprise me if the Ishbia's are a little annoyed there.

Definitely cheaper to get Twins TV and watch the games than try to attend them from AZ. You can bring bottled water and food into the game. $0. But, lets plan this out for your family of 5 and compare it to the movies, shall we? Movies: We'll say you and the fam go to the new Snow White show at AMC in Coon Rapids. Tickets = $80. Food 3 large popcorns and 6 drinks. Whatever. I'll estimate. $79. Service fees and taxes $14. Total = $179 for a family of 5 to go to the movies. Twins: Seatgeek for Sunday (family day). Tickets, left field bleachers section 128, row 11 (lower level) where kids can run down to the first row and get balls tossed to them by the players every half inning. The seats give a good view of the game, are covered from potential rain or sun and have monitors above them. $125. 2 beers, 3 fountain drinks, 5 hot dogs, 2 popcorns, 1 bag peanuts = $42. Street parking on 4th. $9. = $176. The Twins are cheaper than the movies, even if you're not trying to save money. There are certainly less expensive options for the Twins for a family of 5 as well like bringing in food or choosing less expensive seats (as low as $15/ea with fees). Choose a Wednesday evening game to get $1 hot dogs and save another $15. Cut back on the food a little. Whatever. Attending a Twins game with a family of 5 with some food/drink/parking/seats can be done fairly easily at $100.

Downtown is a generic term for the area of a city where there is a high concentration of tall buildings. There is no such thing as "downtown warehouse district" neighborhood. The name of that neighborhood is "North Loop." You're right in that I don't understand what your version of the big picture actually is. I had season tickets from 2022-2024, and I've attended at least 80 games during that span, plus I have quite a few friends who like to hang out in North Loop so I meet them out there fairly regularly. The North Loop neighborhood is vibrant, very busy, and it continues to build up even today. "Downtown Minneapolis" has never had a particularly strong neighborhood vibe as residential buildings have been scarce for many decades which is why downtown has typically been absolutely dead on weekends. For the past 2 years, there's been a lot of turnover in the actual Downtown West and Downtown East spaces, but gradually, conditions are improving as many companies are making a push back to the office, partially to avoid wasting money on vacant buildings and to push for real estate rebounds. Downtown West continues to have trouble with assault and robberies (strip clubs, service industry workers, late night college age bar crowd), but Downtown East is safe. The topic is about attendance. The core of the season ticket holders for the Twins should be coming from North Loop and the areas immediately around it. Season ticket holders within 5 miles of the stadium are critical. More than 15-20 miles away from the stadium is not that important because those people will attend a handful of games at most. If your argument is people in Rogers or Savage or Forest Lake are scared of Minneapolis, your big picture needs to be narrowed down. Columbia Heights, Minneapolis, St. Paul, Golden Valley, St. Louis Park, Brooklyn Center, Edina, Richfield, Roseville... the perception of Target Field safety in those cities is what matters in regard to higher attendance. People living in those cities, in general, aren't terrified of safety around Target Field.

The AL Central has been well represented in the playoffs and World Series over the past decade or so, but the Twins have rarely been good. There is only 1 time under Derek Falvey's leadership the Twins have finished the season with more than 87 wins, and in general, 87 wins has less than a 10% chance to make the playoffs in MLB. AL Central Deep Playoff Runs recently 2014 Royals World Series 2015 Royals World Series Champions 2016 Guardians World Series 2024 Guardians AL Championship Series We don't rank 18th in attendance. The Twins generally rank about 5 spots lower in attendance than payroll. The Twins have one of the lowest ticket prices in baseball. The Twins have a major marketing problem, but even if they were good at marketing, I don't think payroll would climb a ton.

Target Field is considered as much in North Loop as it is downtown. Based on your comments, not sure you spend much time there or near there.

Almost nobody pays to watch the Twins play. Ever. It's never going to happen. The core market for season ticket holder attendance at MLB games is people who live within 5 miles from the stadium (or corporate ticket holders), and the core of overall attendance is people who live within 20 miles. The vast majority of any major sport fan audience is people looking to be entertained. They don't really care who is on the roster or who is playing. Ticket holders care about the ambiance, and the prestige of attending a game. With short attention spans these days, baseball struggles with action and pacing. In terms of major sport entertainment value for watching action during the games Basketball > Hockey > Soccer > Football > Baseball. Even with Manfred's push to speed up game play (the right move), baseball needs to be marketed in a different way. Ambiance breeds attendance more than any other sport, and attendance breeds prestige. Take me out to the ball game <--- prestige Take me out with the crowd game <--- ambiance Buy me some peanuts and cracker jack <--- ambiance I don't care if I never get back <--- ambiance Lets root, root, root for the home team <--- ambiance, team If they don't win it's a shame <--- team For it's 1, 2, 3 strikes you're out at the old ball game <--- ambiance

It's from Jenkins trying to return too quickly from a sprained ankle. For whatever reason, the Twins really seem to struggle with keeping guys off the field when they're a little hurt until they're a lot hurt. https://www.mlb.com/news/twins-top-prospect-walker-jenkins-on-il-with-ankle-injury#:~:text=Jenkins%2C 20%2C experienced “renewed,to miss much of camp.

If that actually happened, @DJL44 would be be correct on the Twins going full rebuild mode.

The Twins are following a broken model for marketing. It's old fashioned, out of date, and it won't be successful. The Twins should to be marketing to the fans at the Minnesota United games. They should to be marketing to high schools. They absolutely need to be marketing to people in the North Loop. I mean.. come on, that's just... it's just marketing 101. But the Twins don't.

Oakland did it for almost 30 straight years before they lost their team. It's difficult to move MLB franchises. People think of the Expos moving recently, but that was 20 years ago. Before the Athletics, no team in baseball had moved in two decades. Aside from that, the Twins cannot move for another 15 years. While the Pohlads are a public relations disaster, I don't think the Twins are at all. The public is apathetic towards the team, and that's just a factor of poor marketing.

I'm fine with Gasper going to AAA and Miranda getting traded and Julien going to the bench. In regard to Brooks Lee getting every day playing time, I'd rather not hand the keys to Matt Tolbert 2.0.

An American League baseball club has to be for sale to buy them. Who is for sale? Twins. Ummm.. that's it. That's the only team for sale in the AL right now. So I'm going to go ahead and either say this is a typical reddit post where the author makes up a story they want to be true and presents it as a real situation because they want some personal validation or this investment group is headed by the most block-headed people in business. Making money via cash flow for MLB teams doesn't happen. Operating income for teams typically runs pretty neutral. 10 teams had negative operating income last year according to Forbes. https://www.forbes.com/sites/justinteitelbaum/2025/03/26/baseballs-most-valuable-teams-2025/ IMO, The Twins' debt doesn't matter except when it comes to the Pohlad family's asking price, which is a big sticking point as reports say the Pohlad's have shot down multiple $1.5B offers at this point. Low attendance/declining attendance doesn't matter. In fact, it's a plus. That's called growth opportunity. Any investment group actually looking to potentially make money in the short term on an MLB club's operating income, which seems nuts to me, would not want to buy a club with max attendance because there's no room for revenue increases. Agreed with everybody else. The TV deals are as low as they're going to get. The biggest problem with the Twins right now? They can't be moved and aren't getting a new stadium. That's an absolute kick to the groin in short term potential profit. That's where owners make money. Buying up real estate around new ballpark locations before the new stadium is built, then selling the land/buildings after they skyrocket in value. Attendance in April is a problem? LOL. No. The team's drawing power the problem. The Twins averaged like 35k in attendance every April for the first 3 years of Target Field.

This idea that every prospect you want to be good will be good because TD hyped them to the moon is equally mind boggling to me. Castro or Julien.

The pitcher was responsible for one of them and KC didn't bat in the 9th because the game was already over. Again, the Twins were 0-15 last year when scoring 1 run. Could they have won this time? Maybe. But I don't care much to blame the defense when the team scores 1 run.

Gasper gets sporadic playing time. If you're okay with Brooks Lee being relegated to backup infielder who might get 100-150 PA for the rest of the year, it's fine.

Nobody. He can't hit and he was weak defensively due to the lack of athleticism last year. He needs a solid 200 PA in AAA showing he's able to produce at the plate. Unless the Twins are ready to write him off entirely as a backup who gets sporadic playing time.

One of the errors was the pitcher. Not going to be able to do much about defense in regard to that. So maybe the Twins are tied 1-1 at that point? Chances of a team winning a game scoring 1 run? Last year the Twins scored a single run 15 times. They won zero of those games.

Blaming the fielding when your team scores 1 run... Yep. It was the fielding that cost 'em!

I mean... there's no absolute guarantee Keirsey can't hit, just it's very unlikely. I think the models are mostly aggressive on him. I'd take OOPSY's projection because that's exactly what somebody in front office would be saying at the end of the year if Keirsey gets more than 150 PA. Need to have Ryan George do a "whoopsie" pitch meeting for the Twins at the end of the year...

He'd clear in 30 seconds as every team smashed the lik... I mean the "NO" button on claiming.

Yeah. 110 pitches max when starting a new batter, but if a new batter starts at 109 pitches, the pitcher can continue to pitch for as many pitches needed to retire the batter. Last year, John Luke Glanton managed 119.2 innings of college ball pitching including a 122 pitch performance against North Greenville on 5/16/24. The very specific rule here says Glanton is required to get at least a whopping 3 calendar days rest. Under 25 pitches? No rest required. Guy could literally throw 25 pitches in relief in game 1 of a double header, come back and throw 109 pitches before facing the last batter who gets to 3-2 and then fouls off 9 pitches before finally striking out with 149+ pitches thrown that day. But then the college would have to give him the next 3 whole calendar days off!! They're stringent rules!

I'd expect Raya will be at 125+ innings this year if he's good enough to start, that is. He went 97.2 innings last year and was averaging 5 innings per start over his final 9 games last year. Raya was highly efficient as well, going 5.0 innings in an average of about 70 pitches.