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bean5302

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Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    I don't like Baldelli's management style. I don't believe in the need or advantages of tons of rest days. I don't believe in the value of planned positional flexibility. I don't believe in splits as an absolute. I don't believe in the quick hook without a physical performance reason or lots of runs. That said, I don't think Baldelli is all that different from Gardy or Molitor when it comes to having favorites. How many times did Molitor trot Danny Santana out to SS over Eduardo Escobar? How many times did Gardy trot out a plucky, scrappy player he liked over a guy with actual talent? Memories tell me it sure seemed like a lot.
  2. bean5302
    To the best of public knowledge, Falvey and Levine's contract is up at the end of the year. That absolutely never happens if a GM isn't on a very hot seat as it's a very uncomfortable position and undermines a front office's authority to make major future decisions somewhat. Last year, Joe Pohlad is on record saying that ownership's expectations had risen to advancing in the playoffs, not just making them, and that ownership was frustrated with the stagnant .500 ball results the Twins were getting. Now, a lot has changed since Joe Pohlad's comments to the press. Ownership has slashed payroll, and they've talked about a totally new direction of the franchise, but publicly, Falvey and Levine have not been extended. Levine interviewed for the Red Sox job, and he was quickly eliminated by the Red Sox, not by Levine himself which would have suggested the potential he was extended by the Twins behind the scenes. It's been speculated on Twins Daily that Falvey and Levine received a secret squirrel cloak and dagger extension without the public knowing. I have no idea whatsoever how that would have benefitted the Twins, and it certainly could have hurt their operations to keep it a secret, but they do like to keep their secrets as if they're some CIA operation. Personally, I expect Falvey and Levine to get the ax very soon after the season ends if the Twins don't make the playoffs. It's likely any incoming GM will want their own manager.
  3. bean5302
    The argument is not about "billionaires." The argument is there's a 75% chance any new owner will be the same or worse than the Pohlad's.
  4. bean5302
    In theory, he could be sent down to AAA, not that he needs it. What Lewis needs is management that supports him, a static position so he can get the repetition he needs to improve and experience. Not sure why you throw a bit about a mediocre hack like Joey Gallo in here unless you're trolling. In just his first 70 games, Lewis put up as much value as Gallo's 2nd best career season.
  5. bean5302
    A lot of stuff going on with Royce I'd say. Tossing him aside in favor of Brooks Lee, who couldn't hit or play defense well, and moving Lewis to 2B despite not wanting to go there messed with his head. When your management kinda says "you suck" while you're one of the only guys holding the team together, and the face of the franchise, it's going to hit pretty hard. I have no doubt that took a lot of wind out of Lewis' sails. Aside from that, he has been playing less than 100% from the quad strain all this year. Not sure what else might be going on, but Baldelli has been penciling in Lewis a lot of DH.
  6. bean5302
    Is the bullpen the way it is because of the front office or because of Baldelli or a combo? I remember earlier this year when Funderburk was great in 1 inning outings, but Baldelli was insistent on putting him out there for multiple innings where he would struggle. Then you have the front office playing musical chairs with Alcala. Questions about Duran's pitch selection coming from the dugout instead of the pitcher/catcher. Questions about how often Baldelli would pitch guys over and over and over again. Questions about when Baldelli would turn to the bullpen based on a spreadsheet. I don't know as I would have gone to Irvin there for multiple reasons, but I don't care that much since the offense didn't score more than 3 runs. 3 runs probably gives the team like a 35% winning percentage.
  7. bean5302
    It's a projection system. There are 4 spots teams competing for 2 spots. So the 4 teams have to add up to 200% (2 spots). 70% Tigers, 70% Royals, 55% Twins, 5% Mariners = 200%. In the projection scenarios from a couple months ago, virtually none of the projections (with the existing rosters at the time) had the Twins, Royals, Red Sox and Mariners all collapsing as much as they did.
  8. bean5302
    No. There are so many worse ownership groups than what the Twins have. Go ahead and scroll down the list of teams in the standings and pick the ones you'd definitely want to own the Twins over the Pohlads vs. the ones you'd definitely rather stay status quo. The Pohlads are somewhere in the middle IMHO.
  9. bean5302
    Remember when the Twins had fans race against Twins' hitters at the Metrodome for doubles? You were always hoping you got Mike Redmond... not Cristian Guzman. Nobody would want to get Byron Buxton right now, haha. Hunter moved off CF, but he was never the speedster Buxton was, and Hunter had gotten the point he was a below average runner when he moved off CF. The big thing which pushes players off CF is a better defensive player coming up behind them. Like when Shane Mack started pushing Puckett off CF. The Twins don't have anybody to push Buxton off.
  10. bean5302
    Yeah, especially these days. It's a thing called "anxiety" hahaha. I hear about it all the time.
  11. bean5302
    Radke predates the 20 years ago note in the article. Radke is the 2nd best pitcher in Twins history behind Bert Blyleven. Like 45 career WAR... had he undergone surgery in 2005, I think he likely would have continued his career and had a legit case for the Baseball HoF. People seriously underestimate how excellent he was.
  12. bean5302
    Irvin is the #1, Dobnak is the #2. Deal.
  13. bean5302
    Keirsey? He's like a poor man's Andrew Stevenson, who is a poor man's Ben Revere, who was a poor man's Billy Hamilton, who is a poor man's starting outfielder. I honestly have no idea what the Twins will do about CF next year because I'm not sure the current front office will be the same next year when the Twins miss the playoffs. The team is a catastrophe from the top to the bottom in terms of ownership direction, operations vision, and on field management.
  14. bean5302
    When it comes to Irvin... he's a starter, not a reliever and his SP splits are better than his RP splits. The Red Sox have obviously seen him a lot so I'm not sure he was the right call, especially given his splits as a RP against a team who knows him well. Sands allowed 3ER after Irvin so the Twins would have lost there as well if we're going with the direct view of woulda coulda shoulda. Gotta score more than 3 runs if you want to win ballgames.
  15. bean5302
    The Tigers benched Javy Baez, a veteran (even high priced!). Something Baldelli and Falvey would never allow. The Tigers have been rebuilding for literally a decade and it looks like it's coming together for them, and that's how they got their depth and young talent. They've also opened up the wallet and started to spend. Detroit is a bigger market than the Twins enjoy, and I expect the Tigers' payroll to max out in the $180MM range, which they will keep pushing so long as their window is open, unlike the Pohlads. The AL Central is no longer a cake walk and the Twins are in disarray. Might be a tough few years ahead as our window looks to be closing as fast as it opened.
  16. bean5302
    Buxton will be the primary center fielder for the Twins for at least another couple years. Buxton's defensive metrics are way down this year, but the components show there's no reason to believe it's not going to rebound from a UZR/150 type standpoint. From an OAA standpoint, the components of his defense show Buxton is probably 70, maybe even 75 grade sprint speed at this point at 29.5 ft/sec (28ft/sec) is 60 grade and the bottom of solid CF play, I'd say. His reaction to balls of the bat is slower than average. Maybe missing a full year of outfield play has some impact on that. The rest, his jump, acceleration, range, arm strength, is all very good. The Twins have no potential options to replace Buxton, no room in the payroll to sign somebody.
  17. bean5302
    Raya has clearly made some adjustments in order to get into the zone more. His walk rate has decreased quite a bit, but unfortunately, the strikeout rate went with it. I had closed the book on Raya as of mid-July, but it appears the front office finally got around to seeing whether or not he was a starter after all. I look forward to seeing what he can do in AAA next year.
  18. bean5302
    Like stock market analysts nation-wide, the odds change depend on random factoids. It's down to 21.6% now because the morning rain in the Minneapolis area which wasn't forecasted spooked investors, reminding them the world is an uncertain place.
  19. bean5302
    Yep. Same as Mike Illitch when he exploded payroll up to the $200MM mark for the Tigers in the early 2010s. Same as Charlie Finley did for the Oakland A's in the 80s into the early 90s. When owners are on their way out and they're just chasing a dream, they'll open up the wallet wide because they can. The Padres were forced to steeply cut payroll because Siedler had stretched the payroll to the point the team and ownership was in violation of MLB liquidity rules. It's ironic the World Series win might come a year after his death.
  20. bean5302
    Farmer has quietly gotten his bat back to about league average. I give him a 30% chance at getting an MLB contract from some team next year. .226/.305/.379 OPS .684 wRC+ 95 Alcala cannot be recalled since he must spend 15 calendar days on optional assignment to the best of my knowledge.
  21. bean5302
    Baldelli clearly views this like the Twins are playing in the playoffs already. We've got the urgency, but time will tell if the bullpen can hold out with this kind of usage.
  22. bean5302
    Ober's a good pitcher, but the excitement about drafting and developing a mid rotation arm can only get traction due to the barren list presented in the article.
  23. bean5302
    Article talks about the home grown crew in the last 2 decades. Gotta turn the clock back further for Radke since he retired 18 years ago, and made his debut 29 years ago. Liriano gets passed over because he wasn't drafted by the Twins, though he spent time in the low minors with the Twins. Santana was a rule 5 pick, but he made it to the Twins having only been in the low minors. Santana spent 48 innings at AAA for the Red Wings in 2002. Joe Ryan was already been pitching in the high minors for a couple years before joining the Twins where he had a whopping 4 innings on our minor league system. The Twins get credit for refining him while at the MLB level, trying to find pitches Ryan could work into his repertoire, but they didn't develop him to get him to MLB.
  24. bean5302
    Considering Correa is on record saying it wasn't possible for him to play because he couldn't even walk without being in pain, the Twins really didn't have an option but to wait. Also, neither player is healthy. They're both borderline playable and day to day.
  25. bean5302
    So who gets held accountable for failure? Nobody because the Twins have more than 1 employee? Falvey, Levine and Baldelli's jobs are to get the Twins' employees (players) to deliver competitive performance. It's their responsibility. The other MLB coaches have responsibility, too, but are you going to blame Pete Maki for not getting enough out of 3 rookies in the rotation including a guy who started the year in A+ ball? Or Maybe you fire Suggs for the reliever meltdowns when Falvey is playing musical chairs with the bullpen roster and Baldelli keeps putting relievers in the positions? How about put it all on the 3rd base coach, Tommy Watkins because he doesn't seem to be able to gauge player speed? Blame the hitting coach for Rocco Baldelli playing Christian Vazquez, Manny Margot and Brooks Lee every single game? Or Popkins for not getting more out of Eddie Julien this year when the Twins have 12 regular hitters at or above MLB average production level? There is a common denominator. It's the front office and Baldelli. They created the philosophy and they choose the players. The ownership bares responsibility for pulling the rug out at the deadline, but even that could be on Falvey if it was clearly communicated there would be no additional payroll room beyond what he started the year with.
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