jkcarew
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Everything posted by jkcarew
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Twins Moving on From SP Trade Targets?
jkcarew replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
This article should garner La Velle the additional year of unfettered clubhouse access he was seeking. -
Is Alex Kirilloff Expendable?
jkcarew replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I think I would consider Kirilloff my most valuable trading chip. More valuable than Lewis at this point in time. I'm basing this on the assumption that the FO/staff consider Kirilloff as having the best Hit tool in the system...by a significant margin. That's an assumption that I don't know to be true. But it's realistic...and, if that's how the club evaluates Kirilloff, then there are very few scenarios that would warrant parting with him. The hit tool trumps everything...by a mile. See Luis Arraez.- 31 replies
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- alex kirilloff
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1: I count 6 additions (7 new faces, minus Diaz)...so, it's possible Rijo improved his status relative to some/many of the incumbents...but was displaced by all these new faces consisting of high 2019 draft picks, one big-bonus international signing, and one trade acquisition. 2: It doesn't surprise me. Scouts in general are more skeptical with starters, especially power arms...that have Colina's stature. He's 5-11, not exactly prototypical power starter in the majors. Additionally, he's 22 and just getting exposed to AA pitching....got a late start relative to most international players and got buried a bit. Of course, none of this means he won't be a good major-leaguer...(Berrios is 6-0, although he relies more on the breaking pitches than fastball, etc.)...just my two cents on why he's not getting enough love to appear in the top 30 of this ranking.
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He's in his fifth professional season, with about 1/3 of the season remaining...and he isn't pitching...and he has a total of 200 professional innings under his belt. If nothing else, he's in danger of approaching rule-5 eligibility before the Twins really know what they have or before he's prepared to be a major league regular starting pitcher. Maybe he's a reliever. The risks are growing with him, IMO. And, while many will disagree, I don't think your thoughts on Graterol are unreasonable.
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.914 OPS in his last 24 games (month of July). Playing a regular center field.
- 12 replies
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- royce lewis
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Not really the point, is it? Professional athletes, baseball players, pitchers...surgeons...perform under those circumstances all the time. But not when they have a choice. When teams have to travel the evening before game days, they routinely send that starting pitcher to travel ahead of the team.
- 39 replies
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- kyle gibson
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Well, he got little-to-no sleep in getting himself to Chicago in the wee hours today (this has been reported). Then turns around and travels back to Miami this evening...and has to make himself available less than 24 hours after his return to perform in a pennant race. That would have been the scenario without the scheduled day off. I’m pretty confident he would not have made the trip if not for the scheduled off day tomorrow.
- 39 replies
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- kyle gibson
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Would have been probably professionally ill-advised, if not irresponsible, for Romo to do what he did...if not for the scheduled off-day tomorrow. That gave him the opportunity to make the decision he made.
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- kyle gibson
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Game Thread: Twins @ White Sox, 07/28/19, 1:10pm CST
jkcarew replied to twinssporto's topic in Archived Game Threads
Fair. But then, aren’t you equally worried how Berrios and Odorizzi would match up vs (most) playoff teams’ #1 and #2 guys?...especially Odorizzi?- 260 replies
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Game Thread: Twins @ White Sox, 07/28/19, 1:10pm CST
jkcarew replied to twinssporto's topic in Archived Game Threads
The Twins will play over 70 games this year against just Chi, Det, KC, Bal, and Seattle. Lotta ‘big’ games in there? They all count. He’s been fine in a #3 role.- 260 replies
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Game Thread: Twins @ White Sox, 07/28/19, 1:10pm CST
jkcarew replied to twinssporto's topic in Archived Game Threads
Probably wrong demographic for an enthusiastic response to this one.... But, Yes. I need to get his facial-hair groomer on my payroll. Although, not at all sure I could afford her/him.- 260 replies
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Game Thread: Twins @ White Sox, 07/28/19, 1:10pm CST
jkcarew replied to twinssporto's topic in Archived Game Threads
However, very useful in any one of the 90 or so games a year...all of which count in the standings...that aren’t ‘big’.- 260 replies
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Game Thread: Twins @ White Sox, 07/28/19, 1:10pm CST
jkcarew replied to twinssporto's topic in Archived Game Threads
MLB petrified by the prospect of being sued...successfully...by Hernandez. It’s not so much the sum, as the precedent. That’s the only explanation.- 260 replies
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Game Thread: Twins @ White Sox, 07/28/19, 1:10pm CST
jkcarew replied to twinssporto's topic in Archived Game Threads
Nice play there by Sano. Was a play that ‘should’ be made. But not easy to get back and find the bag to complete the DP.- 260 replies
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Nobody here was calling Diaz “another Twins draft bust”. The community is much more knowledgeable than that! We were calling him “another Twins international signing bust”. And I can’t believe we just GAVE him away.
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- sergio romo
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Game Thread: Twins @ White Sox, 07/28/19, 1:10pm CST
jkcarew replied to twinssporto's topic in Archived Game Threads
600-something OPS in last 6 games...and then there was the first-pitch swing he took in the 9th inning last night down by 4, on a pitch a foot outside the strike zone. That’s one way to get the manager’s attention.- 260 replies
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Interesting analogy. Cron is almost exactly league average offensively as a first-baseman. If Romo is expected to be a league average reliever for us, it’s perfectly natural, IMO, to have two types of reactions. If you think this is it, while it probably improves the situation, you’re critical that this move pushes the Twins over any significant hurdle. If you’re convinced a bigger pitching acquisition is coming, you view this more favorably.
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- sergio romo
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But in 2018 facing the Yankees, in 8.2 innings over several appearances, Romo ‘only’ gave up 16 base-runners and 5 runs (no HR’s). In the annals of Twins/Yankees in the 21st century, that would be our Mariano Rivera. This could very well result in an extra 9-8 win or two...and even if not, this should at least shave an average of 15 minutes per game off or losses.
- 218 replies
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- sergio romo
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Royce Lewis Promoted to Double-A Pensacola
jkcarew replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Concur that the FO will look for every bit of evidence to justify aggressiveness with Lewis. He’s been better offensively for a few weeks, and off he goes. I wouldn’t be surprised if the bat struggles a bit at Pensacola for a while, but if it gets too bad, they can always promote him to Rochester, where everyone hits (see Jaylin Davis, or Jimmy Kerrigan. Or anybody.) -
I consider this a conservative move...the type of move I would consider ‘smart’ when made by a club on the periphery of contention. You get a bullpen rental that should help at least marginally in leverage situations...and you exchange a prospect for which you have a pending roster dilemma for a decent, but further from the majors, prospect at a position of organizational need. I would think at least one, more aggressive, move is coming. Also, fascinating to think what a difference less than 4 months makes. If this deal...involving Diaz...had been made on April 1 (not that such deals are often made in that time-frame), we all would have been dancing in the streets or doubled over in laughter at the incompetence of the Marlin FO.
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I could see Cleveland over-taking the Twins. Mostly because I think Cleveland could stay hot...not because I expect a collapse from the Twins. And assuming they don't deal Bauer. Otherwise, Cleveland appears just a week or two away from replacing their worse starter (whoever that is) with Corey Kluber. And in July, Jose Ramirez is OPS'ing 1.028 in the middle of the lineup, as apposed to the .620, .725, and .557 he posted in the proceeding months. Going into the season, I thought there would be no Wild-card from the AL central. Now, I'm not so sure.
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): Given Diekman's 1.122 OPS allowed against the Twins in 6 appearances, the Royals almost automatically become a tougher opponent down the stretch. Meanwhile, we can look forward to facing him in the WS!
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Defensive contribution to WAR is inflated for players that play center-field (see Max Kepler). It's much harder to have defense contributing significantly to WAR once moved to the corner...assuming your bat warrants even playing in the corner. He needs to keep moving the bar in the positive direction with the bat. Having said that, even at this current/2019 level (not yet 26) he's very good...and from this point forward, the primary challenge might simply be...WAR/G is only truly valuable when you play games. He's got to be in the lineup consistently...eventually...somehow.
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- byron buxton
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I agree in the case of SS, to a much lesser extent in the case of a CF. And, Lewis' play at SS isn't exactly getting rave reviews, either. Anyway...at this point, Lewis is OPS'ing 679 as a 20-year old at Ft. Myers. At 20, Kirlloff was OPS'ing 943 at Ft Myers. These are reasons why Kirilloff has moved ahead of Lewis in some ranking services. Power, aerage, everything. To me, it's not unreasonable at all to still view Lewis as a more valuable prospect than Kirilloff, based on upside. But I don't at this point in time...not for the Twins, anyway. I'm also considering that the Twins have a good-hitting, young, SS already signed....and what appears to be a good-hitting option at 2B in Arraez.

