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What did Michael Tonkin ever do to you? What did he do wrong, except bounce around the league for the last decade without evincing the ability to be a relief ace? What is he really asking of you? Just, maybe, $1.5 million, on a one-year deal, and a roster spot the team has spent on guys like Jay Jackson and Josh Staumont lately. Is that so much to ask? Must you detest him so, for his failure to be elite?
As offseason blueprints roll in and fans speculate about non-tender candidates on the Twins roster, I find myself agog (agog!) at the number of people eager—desperate, almost—to be shot of Tonkin, soon to turn 36 years old. The message from Twins Territory is clear: This is not Tonkin Territory. Here's my question: Why?
Since the start of the 2023 season, only the following players have more innings pitched in relief than Tonkin:
- Tyler Holton
- [end list]
Hang on, sorry, this thing must not be working. I said, here are all the relievers who have been more available and more used than Michael Tonkin over the last two years:
- Tyler Holton
- [end list]
Ok, well, I guess it's true then. Holton has pitched more than Tonkin, but no other reliever in baseball has. Could the mileage catch up to the aging righty? Of course. That's a risk with any pitcher who has pitched a lot recently. By and large, though, it's not a good idea—it is, in fact, a colossally stupid idea—to mentally punish pitchers for being durable, especially if they're established veterans, rather than guys in their early 20s. Tonkin is the proverbial rubber arm, the guy you don't mind not being able to option to the minors because you know you can go to him for multiple innings, or on back-to-back days. That's argument number one for everyone to stop being so mean to him.
Here's argument number two: It's not like he's been bad, at all, over these two years. He doesn't have a true out pitch, and (by modern high-leverage standards) he doesn't throw very hard, but Tonkin has allowed an OPS of just .662 since the start of last season. He's struck out 24.1% of opposing batters and walked 8% of them. He's not wildly homer-prone. Tonkin is, simply, an above-average pitcher who will give you 80 innings of work if he's healthy, and we know that for sure because he just got done doing so two years in a row.
I think fans, and even many would-be experts, are mostly (perhaps subconsciously) holding it against Tonkin that he was out of the big leagues from 2017 until 2023. He's had a peripatetic, fairly anonymous career, but Twins fans remember him from over a decade ago. They know that he's not famous or rich. They naturally fill in the rest, and assume he's as forgettable and fringy as ever. He's not, though! He's not dominant, and he comes with some age-related risk, but he's just good now!
The kicker is, Tonkin is also a truly terrific fit for this Twins pitching staff. They desperately need exactly what he does, because they're a team with a lot of guys who use high arm slots, and Tonkin offers the contrast every team wants to have.
If you plan out a game well, using Tonkin against a right-leaning pocket of an opposing lineup who last saw the likes of David Festa or Pablo López can be devastating. He gives hitters an especially tough look if they've been accustomed to seeing guys with high release points and vertically-oriented arsenals, because he works almost purely east and west.
If Tonkin didn't exist on this roster, a master builder would need to create him. He's the yin to a whole lot of yang, and he and the rest of his likely 2025 teammates can make each other better by presenting opponents with contrasting styles and changes of pace.
There are arguments for cutting Tonkin later this week. I just don't think any of them are good. Please, be nicer to Michael Tonkin.
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