Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account
  • Twins News & Analysis

    Ryan, Twins Left Out In The Cold At Winter Meetings


    Nick Nelson

    It's pretty tough to put a good face on this one. Sure, there is plenty of offseason left to go, but what we've seen at this week's Winter Meetings has been a roundly discouraging display from Terry Ryan and the Twins front office.

    While their inactivity during this Hot Stove hotbed may not be historically atypical, it certainly comes off much more poorly now than it has in the past.

    Image courtesy of Brace Hemmelgarn, USA Today

    Twins Video

    The reaction to this uneventful week in Nashville, from many longtime Twins fans, has been a shrug of the shoulders. "What did you expect?" That is fair, to an extent, but the circumstances and stakes were significantly different this time around than in previous years.

    The Twins headed to Nashville with a very specific need, by their own admission. Not only did they fail to address it, but by all accounts they showed little interest in even trying to address it in a meaningful way.

    While top free agent relievers like Darren O'Day, Joakim Soria and Shawn Kelley have come off the board, the Twins stood pat, with reporters concluding that the club's sole focus was on adding a left-handed reliever.

    That makes some sense. Although the Twins lack any clearly exceptional right-handers in the bullpen, they undeniably have a stronger need for at least one lefty. But La Velle E. Neal III reported that the top southpaws on the market, Antonio Bastardo and Tony Sipp (who signed with Houston today), were not even on the team's radar. If that wording is to be believed, the Twins didn't even have material interest in pursuing the most impactful options at an area of need when all it would have cost was money. For a club that purportedly has championship aspirations and plentiful payroll flexibility, that's a tough pill to swallow.

    What makes this passive approach to addressing the bullpen all the more frustrating is that throughout the league, other contenders are stacking up dominant back-end relief units, putting the Twins well behind the pack. Here are the top three relievers, presently, for five likely postseason contenders in the American League following Houston's acquisition of Philly phenom Ken Giles on Thursday:

    Royals: Wade Davis, Kelvin Herrera, Joakim Soria

    Astros: Ken Giles, Luke Gregerson, Tony Sipp

    Yankees: Andrew Miller, Dellin Betances, Chasen Shreve

    Red Sox: Craig Kimbrel, Koji Uehara, Carson Smith

    Tigers: Francisco Rodriguez, Mark Lowe, Justin Wilson

    With the exception of Shreve (and I'm guessing the Yanks aren't done yet), every name listed there is an established premier relief arm. The Twins don't currently have one of those on their staff outside of Glen Perkins, whose status is somewhat in doubt. They had ample opportunity to target such a player this week but evidently elected not to. And while the possibilities of a major free agent signing or transformative trade remain in play, it's becoming increasingly difficult to believe that Ryan and the Twins are willing to take the steps necessary to bolster their bullpen to a point where it could even hold a candle to the ones listed above.

    Instead, all we've seen them do this week is weaken their outlook in the relief corps. On Thursday, the Milwaukee Brewers selected reliever Zack Jones from Minnesota in the Rule 5 draft. The 2012 fourth-round pick throws some serious gas and has put together a 2.63 ERA while averaging 12.8 K/9 on the farm, but was perplexingly left unprotected when the Twins made a series of 40-man roster moves last month.

    Jones has his flaws, to be sure, but his upside is undeniable and his penchant for missing bats has held steady as he has climbed the minor-league ranks. That a Twins team that ranked last in the majors in bullpen K-rate this year, and appears to be relying almost completely on its prospect pipeline to alleviate that issue, would allow a nearly MLB-ready player like Jones to slip away while opting instead to protect a low-ceiling mediocrity like Pat Dean -- who is completely redundant on the 40-man with southpaws like Logan Darnell and Taylor Rogers present -- signals a disheartening miscalculation of priorities.

    As much as I'd like to believe that this organization is evolving into a committed and dedicated winner with the proper mentality to succeed, weeks like this one really make me skeptical.

    Follow Twins Daily For Minnesota Twins News & Analysis

    Recent Twins Articles

    Recent Twins Videos

    Twins Top Prospects

    Marek Houston

    Cedar Rapids Kernels - A+, SS
    Friday night, Marek Houston's first homer came in a 6-run 7th inning. His second home run gave his team an 8-2 lead an inning later. He's 3-for-5, 2 HR (5) and a stolen base, his 15th.

    User Feedback

    Recommended Comments



    Featured Comments

    Do the Twins have a plan?  Yes.  But it probably isn't:  the same as yours, the one you think it is, or much different than previous plans.  I think they still view pitching as a luxury, bargain-basement veterans as a security blanket, and that additional minor league "experience" is a blessing.  The plan?  Control the budget and somehow repeat 1987.

     

    Nick, what are your thoughts on whether or not it's time for Ryan to step down again?

    I'm starting to lean this way too. Reports came out early in the offseason the Pohlads told Ryan he could do whatever he wanted money wise. Gotta take that with a grain of salt, but when that's the message we get what else are we supposed to think other than Ryan is the problem?

    I think people way over reacting to what the Twins didn't do or not do at the Winter meetings. The Twins have a lot of options even as they sit now. If they go with May, Jepsen, and Perkins those are three strong arms and proven talent that could be very effective in the bull pen. They all throw above 96 and have reached as high as 98 last fall when they were pitching. Also the Twins have a lot of relief talent down in farm system with some big arms which I think could be called up a lot of teams would have already called up. Look at this past year the Mets took rule 5 draft pickup of Gilmartin and look at year he had and Mets are counting on him for coming year. If these options don't work out they could still go and trade for someone yet this year. I sure don't want the Twins weighed down with some big longterm contracts for relievers that have short life in the majors usually. They need to keep this payroll managed so they can lock up Sano's, Buxtons, Rosario's. and some these future propects coming up because looking at these new contracts being offered now Mauers contract will look pretty small in the near future. We could see for kind of talent we have contracts that will be 300 million plus in near future.

    I am kind of with NicksaViking on this one.  I would like to see the Twins use the hard throwers we have in the pen.  Lets see if we can build a pen like KC using the farm.  Odds are the Twins will use May and possibly Duffy in the pen to start the year and they should be solid there.  Then there is Chargois, Burdi, Meyer and Reed that could be ready soon.  Gotta believe one or two will make it up this year.

     

    Due to this site and many posters on it I have come around on the spend for good players theory as there is little downside spending to make your team better.  However, I wasn't in love with many of the relievers on the market and felt they got way over paid.  Also it doesn't seem like a great idea to spend major dollars in the pen as it seems like the least bang for your buck.

     

    I didn't care for the Boston or Arizona trades for pitching where the cost was extremely high and maybe that is my weak spot as I love the prospects we have more than I probably should.   I just don't see the point of losing that level of prospects for one guy.  I also didn't like what the A's did essentially giving away player for lower ceiling prospects.

     

    To me the market at the winter meetings was variable in all the wrong ways for the Twins.  I know several disagree with that as there is money that can and should be spent but I just don't feel like criticizing too much just yet.

    Edited by Dman

     

    Just what I wanted, another Terry Dump thread.

    Nick wrote an article, like he's done many times here as one of the staff writers.  The thing going on the last few days in Major League Baseball was the winter meetings.  This is a Twins site so he wrote about how the Twins didn't complete any transactions during said meetings.  Makes complete sense he would write such an article and complete sense people should discuss lack of transactions by the Twins.  You saw the headline, you could have skipped it altogether.  No one made you click on the story, or read the comments, or make a comment yourself.

    Edited by jimmer

    I'm sorry my comment hit a nerve. First, I read content not headlines to try to get the whole story. Second, I'm not put off by legitimate criticism, but some of the comments fall into the same old tired theme. Third, there seems to be a extremely short memory of moves that were made before the meetings. Finally, I just don't get too bent out of shape over one weeks activity or the lack thereof.

     

    I'm sorry my comment hit a nerve. First, I read content not headlines to try to get the whole story. Second, I'm not put off by legitimate criticism, but some of the comments fall into the same old tired theme. Third, there seems to be a extremely short memory of moves that were made before the meetings. Finally, I just don't get too bent out of shape over one weeks activity or the lack thereof.

    No nerve hit, just tired of people complaining about people discussing what's happening with the team during a major event in MLB. Talk about the same old tired theme.

     

    In any event, it seems like a good time to discuss the things you sited with fellow posters.  

     

    In regards to the moves made before the headlines, IMO, a low-risk signing of a guy to DH who has never played at any professional level is nothing to be too excited about.  We have no idea how he'll perform in the majors and now Sano is pushed to the OF where he hasn't played, likely hurting the OF defense. Signing a backup catcher, while hurting our OF defense, doesn't help much while we still have no quality starting catcher.  

     

    Do we have any new starters, besides Sano in RF IF our new DH proves he can hack it in the majors? Even then, Sano was starting, he'd just be starting at a new spot.  So, so far, one new possible starter: Park.  If he can hack it.

     

    As far as not getting worked up over a week's inactivity, these meetings are big for getting stuff done.  On top of that, we have a huge historical view of the kind of moves our GM makes overall. How many times has he traded for, or signed, a proven MLB high quality player who was a star at the time he did it?  Do we count Shannon Stewart? I doubt the groaning is really so much about just this one Winter Meeting's worth of Twins inactivity. I believe it's more the feeling many likely get that, under Ryan, we will NEVER make a big slash and that no one even expected us to make any kind of significant move.  I imagine many were dying to be proven wrong.

    Edited by jimmer

    Shocker. He's been doing the same thing every year for the past two decades, with poor results. I would say he's insane (by definition...see previous sentence), but it's the owners of the team. Winning baseball game has never been, and will never be, a priority. It's just gravy.

     

    i honestly believe that TR is an excellent baseball mind that has been hamstrung by the Pohlads. It must be extremely frustrating. Maybe equally as frustrating as being a season ticket holder to this multi-decade clown show.

     

    I think people way over reacting to what the Twins didn't do or not do at the Winter meetings. The Twins have a lot of options even as they sit now. If they go with May, Jepsen, and Perkins those are three strong arms and proven talent that could be very effective in the bull pen. They all throw above 96 and have reached as high as 98 last fall when they were pitching. Also the Twins have a lot of relief talent down in farm system with some big arms which I think could be called up a lot of teams would have already called up. Look at this past year the Mets took rule 5 draft pickup of Gilmartin and look at year he had and Mets are counting on him for coming year. If these options don't work out they could still go and trade for someone yet this year. I sure don't want the Twins weighed down with some big longterm contracts for relievers that have short life in the majors usually. They need to keep this payroll managed so they can lock up Sano's, Buxtons, Rosario's. and some these future propects coming up because looking at these new contracts being offered now Mauers contract will look pretty small in the near future. We could see for kind of talent we have contracts that will be 300 million plus in near future.

     

    No RP they sign is going to stop them signing those guys you list. That's a super big exaggeration. NONE of them need to be signed in the next 5 years, let alone a few "extra" million going to a RP for 2-3 years making any difference. That's not much of an argument at all. There are other good arguments.....

     

    If the plan is to really go with youth, I'm ok with that. But, I have a question:

     

    Now, Rogers didn't come up in September....how is he magically ready now? None of those guys came up in September, what will have changed between then and April to make them ready? If they didn't think they were ready then, why would they think they are ready now.

    I'm not mad about it. Other teams were just not interested in what the Twins were selling. I'm always skeptical about free agent relievers anyways and I think they were overpaid this year. Some of my friends are Tigers fans and for a couple years all they needed was a good bullpen to win a World Series. They signed free agents every year just to see them fail.

    I am hoping May starts but if he doesn't then we are talking Jepsen, May and Perkins.    IMO a lot depends on Perkins but if he is good that makes a pretty good three inning group.    Maybe not Wade Davis good but good nonetheless.   Rotation of Santana, Gibson, Duffey, Berrios and MIlone with a pen of Jepsen, May, Perkins,   Hughes, Nolasco, Rogers and Burdi.    Looks to me like an improvement in the rotation and the pen over last year.     Adding Park, Buxton, Sano and Murphy looks like a likely improvement to the offense and slight improvement to the defense.     Now I don't like that we have 8 likely candidates for the rotation and that my favorite (May) is probably going to be an odd man out but I don;t think it is unreasonable that the three that don't make the cut will make serviceable depth for the pen.     I think this is reasonable.   I am an optimist.     Some one can poke holes in this analysis and be reasonable also.  :That's baseball. 

    Ryan himself said that he was disappointed in himself in his performance at the winter meetings this year. 

     

    He has his way of doing things. And the first is to go cheap with the bullpen, usually picking up junk on the scrap heap and turning a few of them (Blaine Boyer) into serviceable relievers.

     

    I think the Twins' best option remains developing their own relievers. I'm not saying they shouldn't go out and get someone -- and I'm hopeful they'll trade for someone like Drew Storen. But developing the young guys enables the Twins to benefit for many years while those relievers establish their dominance. In theory.

     

    You really think they'll have 2 rookies in the bullpen to start the year? And why wasn't Rogers up last year, if he's ready this year?

     

    Well I'd like to think that O'Rourke's measly 22 career MLB innings wouldn't be enough for the front office to give him the edge based on experience.

     

    They might though.

     

    I am hoping May starts but if he doesn't then we are talking Jepsen, May and Perkins.    IMO a lot depends on Perkins but if he is good that makes a pretty good three inning group.    Maybe not Wade Davis good but good nonetheless.   Rotation of Santana, Gibson, Duffey, Berrios and MIlone with a pen of Jepsen, May, Perkins,   Hughes, Nolasco, Rogers and Burdi.    Looks to me like an improvement in the rotation and the pen over last year.     Adding Park, Buxton, Sano and Murphy looks like a likely improvement to the offense and slight improvement to the defense.     Now I don't like that we have 8 likely candidates for the rotation and that my favorite (May) is probably going to be an odd man out but I don;t think it is unreasonable that the three that don't make the cut will make serviceable depth for the pen.     I think this is reasonable.   I am an optimist.     Some one can poke holes in this analysis and be reasonable also.  :That's baseball. 

     

    Although for the most part I like your starting pitching lineup I don't think that is what the Twins will do.  They will let the Vets start.  They stated they wanted to rebuild Nolasco's value and Hughes was our best pitcher in 2014.  I think all the high paid vets will start the season as starters baring injury.

     

    So I see the starting rotation as Nolasco, Hughes, Santana, Gibson and Milone.  A pen of Perkins, Jepson and May, likely Pressley, Fein and Tonkin, Maybe Darnell or maybe Duffey unless they want to keep him stretched out.

     

    If they really went with who is the best in the rotation that list would change but I am fairly certain they will start with vets and make changes from there.

     

    Although for the most part I like your starting pitching lineup I don't think that is what the Twins will do.  They will let the Vets start.  They stated they wanted to rebuild Nolasco's value and Hughes was our best pitcher in 2014.  I think all the high paid vets will start the season as starters baring injury.

     

    So I see the starting rotation as Nolasco, Hughes, Santana, Gibson and Milone.  A pen of Perkins, Jepson and May, likely Pressley, Fein and Tonkin, Maybe Darnell or maybe Duffey unless they want to keep him stretched out.

     

    If they really went with who is the best in the rotation that list would change but I am fairly certain they will start with vets and make changes from there.

     

    There should be a "this is true, but I don't like it" button I can push for this post.....

     

    You're totally right, of course. But then again, the Twins haven't had a whole lot of success developing any pitching the last ten years.

     

     However, I was just (trying) to point out that a lot of teams seem to be emulating the Royals Ultra-Lockdown Bullpen (RULBing, if you will,) but missing the fact that the Royals didn't build that bullpen by shopping for free agents.  I don't really know Herrera or Holland's history as starters, but Wade Davis was a converted starter, as was Hochevar, and Madson was a cheap, bargain-bin pickup.

     

    Having said that, wouldn't some here agree that the Twins may be on the cusp of a wave of converted-starter relief help?  May, Rogers, Meyer, et al?  Do we really need to be paying Tony Sipp $7 Million dollars for his age 35 season?

     

    May needs to be in the rotation. 

    Shocker. He's been doing the same thing every year for the past two decades, with poor results. I would say he's insane (by definition...see previous sentence), but it's the owners of the team. Winning baseball game has never been, and will never be, a priority. It's just gravy.

    i honestly believe that TR is an excellent baseball mind that has been hamstrung by the Pohlads. It must be extremely frustrating. Maybe equally as frustrating as being a season ticket holder to this multi-decade clown show.

    I can more or less agree with this, with these two exceptions. Ryan seems very slow to adjust to change, and there are non financial moves he makes and doesn't make that are consistent and puzzling. Mainly his distrust of younger players, and his over blown affection for safe middling vets.

    Well I'd like to think that O'Rourke's measly 22 career MLB innings wouldn't be enough for the front office to give him the edge based on experience.

     

    They might though.

    I'm in the minority in wanting O'Rourke to start the season as the loogy. He got shaky at the end but overall struck out almost 40% of lefties. That is a really, really big number.

     

    The Twins response is, "we are looking for lefties who can strike out both right handed and left handed hitters."

     

    Then my response would be, ok, then go sign a high quality free agent. :)

    How often have the Twins brought up a relief prospect and he became a quality ML late inning pitcher? If you are serious about a playoff push do you go with unproven players, bullpen and in the outfield?

    So what part of this team is better, at this point, than what we had last year?

    How often have the Twins brought up a relief prospect and he became a quality ML late inning pitcher?

    If you are responding to the post immediately above yours, I would use O'Rourke as a 6-7 inning lefty specialist, and not pigeon hole Perkins into the "closer" role, but use him situationally like the end of last season. Yes they still need another high quality relief arm but at that point it doesn't matter to me what arm he throws with.

     

    Additionally, Sean Gilmartin and Liam Hendriks turned into decent relief options for postseason teams last season. So it's not exactly ridiculous to ask if the solutions to our relief problems are already on our roster.

     

    You really think they'll have 2 rookies in the bullpen to start the year? And why wasn't Rogers up last year, if he's ready this year?

    Darnell would probably be just as good as Rogers and I am not a big we need a lefty just to get one out every other game either and Berrios probably won't start the year in the rotation and as was pointed out by dman Hughes and Nolasco in the pen isn't a very good bet either.   This isn't my prediction of what the Twins would do but just pointing out that the cupboard isn't bare.   It is pretty close to what I would have penciled in even though I don't like May out of the rotation.     I have no problem with rookies taking some spots.   They have to start somewhere and I just want the talent to start falling into place.    IMO May, Duffey, Gibson, Santana and probably Milone have earned a spot in the rotation and Berrios has earned a shot to pitch with the Twins.   I am not down on Hughes or Nolasco but don't want them given the spot based on pre 2015 years or on how much they are paid.   They can be assets in the pen.  




    Create an account or sign in to comment

    You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

    Create an account

    Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

    Register a new account

    Sign in

    Already have an account? Sign in here.

    Sign In Now

×
×
  • Create New...