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    Make It Official! Twins 13, White Sox 7: Twins Jump Out Early, Hold On for Sweep


    Hans Birkeland

    The Twins needed to take care of business against one of the worst teams in baseball history, and while the game got a little close for comfort in the late innings, they ultimately prevailed behind contributions throughout the batting order, handing the White Sox their 20th straight loss.

    Image courtesy of © Bruce Kluckhohn-USA TODAY Sports

    Twins Video

    Box Score:
    Starting Pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson: 4 IP 6 H, 3 ER, 3 BB 6 K (89 Pitches, 54 Strikes, 60.6%)
    Home Runs: Royce Lewis (13)
    Bottom 3 WPA: Max Kepler (.125), José Miranda (.094), Woods Richardson (.075)
    Win Probability Chart (Via Fangraphs):

    image.png.89c6af80fb0f7e2ec220e46c37149650.png

    With the Guardians and Royals playing quite well of late, it was imperative that the Twins take advantage of a sad, hopeless, dysfunctional White Sox team. They took the first two games, despite both contests being oddly close for the first seven and a half innings. But never fear, the gods provided an offering in the form of Chris Flexen. He's a perfectly reasonable (I didn't say good) major-league pitcher most days, but not today, with his team riding a 19-game losing streak.

    It looked like Flexen might squeeze out of trouble in the first. Willi Castro singled, but was quickly picked off of first, and Trevor Larnach swung through a middle-middle fastball shortly after that to record the second out of the inning. Byron Buxton, who entered the game 8-11 against Flexen, walked, as did Royce Lewis behind him. Max Kepler then dribbled a grounder to the second base side, but rookie infielder Brooks Baldwin botched it and everyone was safe, including Buxton speeding home from second base. José Miranda then scorched a liner up the middle to score Lewis and make the score 2-0.

    Simeon Woods Richardson struggled his last time out, failing to complete four innings against a hot Mets lineup. Today, his command was an issue from the start, as he walked leadoff man Miguel Vargas. After a couple of strikeouts, he allowed a single to Andrew Vaughn and walked Lenyn Sosa to load the bases. He coaxed a groundout from Andrew Benintendi, though, to end the threat.

    It's hard to gauge a pitcher's performance when a lineup includes just two or three MLB-caliber hitters. For example, Woods Richardson retired Nick Senzel, Nicky Lopez, and Korey Lee in order in the second. He was having trouble locating his slider and fastball, but White Sox hitters were happy to let him get away with it, at least for a while.

    The Twins were not so kind to Flexen in the second. After a leadoff walk from Austin Martin, Christian Vázquez flied out to deep left center. Castro roped a double down the left-field line to score him, and then scored on a single to the gap from Trevor Larnach. Buxton was working the count, and I looked down at my laptop for a moment before hearing the loudest sound I think I have ever heard a bat make, as Buxton obliterated a fastball 113 MPH to left field. If Benintendi had had time to react, he may have been able to jump and catch it, since the ball was hit barely ten feet off the ground at any point.*

    *Sidenote: Does anyone look less interested in playing baseball right now than Benintendi? There were two or three plays in this series on which he could have dived to record an out, but chose not to, including Castro's single in the first that nearly landed on his foot. Then, in the fifth, he nearly homered off of Cole Sands, but instead, the ball got stuck underneath the padding in right-center, which to any moderately engaged player means an automatic triple. But he just coasted into second looking like he was in line at the bank.

    Royce Lewis then launched a fastball the other way for a three-run home run to make the score 7-0. Following another single from Miranda, Matt Wallner demolished a sweeper from new pitcher, lefty Sammy Peralta 407 feet off the high wall in right center for a triple to score Miranda.

    SWR wasn't going to find his command just because he was given a lead, and gave up three runs over the next two innings, as White Sox hitters sat on his fastball and hit line drives all over the park. He was only able to get through four innings, allowing nine baserunners in the process. If Zebby Matthews were pitching better in Triple A (he's not, don't look it up), I might suggest some sort of manufactured IL stint for SWR to give him a blow and to see what Matthews has. As it stands, the Twins will have to stick with SWR and hope the encouraging signs from David Festa are legitimate. Otherwise we may get a dose of the 2021-2022 Twins, where the front of the rotation needed to be perfect not just to win games, but to save the bullpen from their inevitable overuse in relief of the back of the rotation.


    Twins Daily's winning "Make It Official!" game recaps are sponsored by Official Fried Chicken, which you can find in center field of Target Field. With a name like "Official," we know we have to be the best in the game every day, and from your first bite, you'll know that's a promise we make good on.


    The Twins' at-bats deteriorated once Flexen left the game, chasing quite a few pitches and making outs early in counts. While they cruised along, the White Sox got three runs back against SWR and Benintendi took Jorge Alcala deep with a man on to cut the lead to three in the seventh.

     Fortunately, the White Sox turned to former Twins farmhand Prelander Berroa in the bottom half of the seventh. After retiring Miranda, he walked Wallner and Martin, then allowed a sharp single off of Lopez's glove to load the bases for Castro. A wild pitch from new pitcher, lefty Fraser Ellard, brought home Wallner and Castro drew a walk to reload the bags. Ryan Jeffers pinch hit and delivered a sacrifice fly to score the Twins' tenth run.

    The White Sox continued to make it interesting, with Robert Jr. and Vaughn (the aforementioned two major league caliber hitters the White Sox feature) hitting run scoring doubles off of Randy Dobnak, who had decent stuff, but was too often in the middle of the zone.

    The Twins added three more runs in the eighth on a bases-loaded walk from Vazquez and a two run single from Castro.

     

    Trends:
    (My general vibe about each player following today's game, based on zero inside information)

    Key: Healthy/Performing Healthy/Trending Up          
      Hurt/Performing Hurt/Trending Up          
      Healthy/Slumping Healthy/Trending Down          
      Hurt/Slumping Hurt/Trending Down          
      True Neutral Dead/IL/Minors          
                   
    C Ryan Jeffers Christian Vazquez          
    1B Carlos Santana Alex Kirilloff Jose Miranda        
    2B Edouard Julien Kyle Farmer          
    3B Royce Lewis            
    SS Carlos Correa Brooks Lee          
    LF Matt Wallner Trevor Larnach Austin Martin        
    CF Byron Buxton Manuel Margot          
    RF Max Kepler            
    UTIL Willi Castro            
    SP Pablo Lopez Bailey Ober Joe Ryan Simeon Woods Richardson Chris Paddack Louie Varland David Festa
    CR Jhoan Duran Griffin Jax          
    SR Brock Stewart Jorge Alcala Cole Sands        
    MR Trevor Richards Caleb Thielbar Steven Okert        
    LR Randy Dobnak            

     

    Notes: Buxton slammed into the high wall in right-center in the sixth, saving a run for Cole Sands and ending the inning, but was taken out of the game the next inning. He did not head into the clubhouse and remained in the dugout. After playing the first two games of the series, it's possible he may have gotten the day off had the Twins not been facing Flexen.

    The Twins drew a total of nine walks, including three from Wallner.

    What’s Next: David Festa (1-2, 6.98 ERA) starts for the Twins on Monday as they start a brief road trip against the other Chicago team, the Cubs. Kyle Hendricks (3-9, 6.86 ERA) goes for the northsiders as they play out the string on a lost season that began with some hope to contend in the NL Central. Hendricks has long been a poor man's Greg Maddux, baffling hitters with excellent command and diving offspeed pitches despite sitting in the mid 80's with his fastball velocity. However, similar to old friend Dallas Keuchel, he lost a few extra ticks off the fastball as he got into his mid-30's and just doesn't have enough to keep hitters honest, resulting in a dreadful 2024 season.


    Postgame Interviews:

    Bullpen Usage Chart:

      WED THU FRI SAT SUN TOT
    Alcalá 0 0 6 0 23 29
    Jax 0 0 8 14 0 22
    Dobnak 28 0 0 0 25 53
    Durán 17 0 0 6 0 23
    Thielbar 0 0 0 0 0 0
    Richards 0 0 9 0 22 31
    Sands 6 0 0 0 33 39
    Okert 0 0 0 0 3 3

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    Marek Houston

    Cedar Rapids Kernels - A+, SS
    The 22-year-old went 2-for-5 on Friday night, his fourth straight multi-hit game. Heading into the week, he was hitting .246/.328/.404 (.732). Four games later, he is hitting .303/.361/.447 (.808).

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    6 minutes ago, jorgenswest said:

    Should they try to set the rotation so that the top 3 start against Cleveland? If so, they need a solution for Wednesday and a 27th man starter for Friday.

    I would be trying to beat the Cubs. Worry about today's game. Setting the rotation is for the playoffs.

    13 minutes ago, jorgenswest said:

    Should they try to set the rotation so that the top 3 start against Cleveland? If so, they need a solution for Wednesday and a 27th man starter for Friday.

    With the offday on Thursday why not have a BP game on Wednesday with Dobnak as the opener and let him go 2-4 innings.  He has been a starter at StP, he may perform better as a starter than a reliever.  If he fails, send him back down and call up a fresh arm and the 27th man for Friday.

    I'm glad we weren't the ones to break the ChiSox streak, especially since we're the last team they beat. They can get well against someone else. (or not, since some of their vets seems to have quit on the club in august)

    Sweeping teams isn't easy in baseball. even historically bad teams win 1 out of 3 and even rotten teams can have everything come together for a day. While we should expect the Twins to beat the ChiSox, getting a sweep is a good work. eventually this streak will end, but no one wants to be the team they finally get a W against.

    13 hours ago, mnfireman said:

    Double dip on Friday, probably Varland unless Paddack is ready to go.

    Both SWR (4 days) rest & Ober (5 days rest) would/should be ready to go Friday, I would think? My assumption is they stick with regular guys for Cleveland & bring in Varland next Tuesday, when really squeezed for options. Already enough stress on the Pen with a doubleheader - Varland seems like a risky starter in that scenario………no “givens” with anyone though, I guess?

    Henriquez or somebody may be up to help with innings this weekend.

    1 hour ago, Dman said:

    I agree, but yesterday I felt embarrassed for him.  Multiple non competitive pitches a foot off the plate.  Walking the number 9 batter. When he went in zone he got crushed and he couldn't even finish his inning and had to be replaced. If it's gonna take the level of smoke and mirrors it looks like it is going to take he's not gonna make it at the MLB level. 

    I will say every reliever has their bad outing.  Jax and Duran have walked guys and been punished for it.  Alcala got hit yesterday. Bad outings happen.  Maybe he was too jacked up and over throwing or mentally just not focused enough.  Whatever the case he won't survive many more outings like that with the Twins in a playoff race.  He needs to prove he belongs and that outing against essentially a AAA club did not help him at all.

    Yeah, but both doubles were on competitive pitch locations, in fact, the one to Vaughn was in a spot Vaughn has struggled with good sequencing. Dobnak left the game with 2Ks and a 1.67 FIP. The walk was bad, he was all over the place, but certainly no worse than we've seen from quite a few guys this year on a single batter.

    There haven't been enough pitches to grade his stuff much, but in the tiny sample size, Dobnak's change up has been absolutely filthy in terms of Stuff+. His sinker has been terrible (out of whack from history) and his slider's been serviceable.

    I'd want to see more before I declare him unchanged hot garbage.

    Definitely think the shine might be coming off SWR. He was coasting above his peripherals and now some of his flaws are manifesting in actual runs instead of near misses. Still important for the Twins, but looking more like the #4-5 guy that people expected.

    Hopefully Festa, who has #1-2-3 potential. can continue his upward trend and begin to pick up SWR's slack.

    22 minutes ago, IaBeanCounter said:

    On Benintendi's double, I thought the ground rules were if a ball gets lodged anywhere, its a ground rule double.  Is this incorrect?

    It wasn't lodged. That stupid gap at the base of the OF wall is bigger than a baseball and isn't considered lodged.

    But it does beg the question "why is that gap there in the first place?"

    1 hour ago, jorgenswest said:

    Can they option Wood Richardson and then bring him back as the 27th man on Friday? I know there is a 15 day rule but I think there is an exception for injury or 27th man. If that is the case they could consider bringing up Varland to start Wednesday. They would need to believe that the success he has had in his last four starts (22 2/3 IP, 13H, 27K, 9BB).

    • wed - Varland
    • fri - Ryan/Woods Richardson 
    • sat - Ober
    • sun - Lopez
    • mon - Festa
    • tue - Varland

    The result would be there best three starters lined up against Cleveland. They would need to give Varland another start over Woods Richardson against Texas. I am not sold that giving a pitcher an extra day or rest or even skipping a start has any lasting impact but there would be an extra day or two for Ryan and Ober and longer rest for Woods Richardson.

    Can they manipulate the 27th man in this way? Should they?

    Edit: this doesn’t work for Varland. He pitched Saturday. They would have to do a bullpen day or bring up someone like Plutko for Wednesday to get the top 3 against Cleveland.

     

    I'd guess Varland gets a start on Friday as the 27th man.

    9 minutes ago, Alex Schieferdecker said:

    Definitely think the shine might be coming off SWR. He was coasting above his peripherals and now some of his flaws are manifesting in actual runs instead of near misses. Still important for the Twins, but looking more like the #4-5 guy that people expected.

    Hopefully Festa, who has #1-2-3 potential. can continue his upward trend and begin to pick up SWR's slack.

    It all depends on how much shine you thought was on him. He certainly looks like a serviceable #4-5 starter to me, and considering he was a total afterthought coming into the year, that's a big win.

    Festa didn't exactly push his way onto the roster from AAA this year (4.03 ERA / 3.95 FIP vs minor leaguers). Not sure what makes you think he's got playoff caliber starter potential at MLB? He's certainly looking a heck of a lot better now that he's not terrified of issuing a walk.

    22 minutes ago, bean5302 said:

    Yeah, but both doubles were on competitive pitch locations, in fact, the one to Vaughn was in a spot Vaughn has struggled with good sequencing. Dobnak left the game with 2Ks and a 1.67 FIP. The walk was bad, he was all over the place, but certainly no worse than we've seen from quite a few guys this year on a single batter.

    There haven't been enough pitches to grade his stuff much, but in the tiny sample size, Dobnak's change up has been absolutely filthy in terms of Stuff+. His sinker has been terrible (out of whack from history) and his slider's been serviceable.

    I'd want to see more before I declare him unchanged hot garbage.

    Yeah I like that pitch to Vaughn as well.  Sometimes you just lose those battles.  I also liked watching him battle back to K the first guy who he totally locked up on that pitch.  The non-competitive walk after that really irked me and down the middle to Robert who was swinging at low and away outside pitches was a head scratcher for me and those two at bat's were where he got into trouble IMO.  After the Vaughn double even though a good pitch it became too much and his day was done.  

    I am a Randy believer, but he needs to be better than he was to stay IMO. I'm not sure they played to his strengths with the pitch sequencing and while I get the strategy of going wide on pitch in an at bat just to give a guy another look walking a guy with a .212 BA is not a recipe for success.  He can't afford to mess around at this level.  Needs to be on his game.  There is no one on base if you need to groove one. groove one. A free pass is on the pitcher IMO. A couple of mistakes after the walk (unforced error)  ended his day before the job was done and cost two runs.

    27 minutes ago, bean5302 said:

    Yeah, but both doubles were on competitive pitch locations, in fact, the one to Vaughn was in a spot Vaughn has struggled with good sequencing. Dobnak left the game with 2Ks and a 1.67 FIP. The walk was bad, he was all over the place, but certainly no worse than we've seen from quite a few guys this year on a single batter.

    There haven't been enough pitches to grade his stuff much, but in the tiny sample size, Dobnak's change up has been absolutely filthy in terms of Stuff+. His sinker has been terrible (out of whack from history) and his slider's been serviceable.

    I'd want to see more before I declare him unchanged hot garbage.

    Stuff+?

    He looked like a position player up there lobbing in eephus pitches. 

    Dobnak isn't an answer. 

    1 hour ago, USAFChief said:

    I'd guess Varland gets a start on Friday as the 27th man.

    My guess too but not really my question. I wonder what is best. Should they arrange their top 3 to throw in that series?

    In September of 2022 the Twins were 1.5 games behind Cleveland with a stretch of 11 games where they would see them 8 times. Sonny Gray and Joe Ryan were their best starters. In the opening 3 games series Baldelli started Bundy, Archer and Winder while the Guadians put up their top three starters. All Twin losses. Ryan and Gray got starts against a weak Royal team in between. In games 4-6 Ober, Varland and Winder were starters. All losses. Finally Ryan got a start in the 7th of 8 games against Cleveland. They won but it was far too late. Gray and Ryan could have and should have started four of those games.  

    37 minutes ago, jorgenswest said:

    My guess too but not really my question. I wonder what is best. Should they arrange their top 3 to throw in that series?

    In September of 2022 the Twins were 1.5 games behind Cleveland with a stretch of 11 games where they would see them 8 times. Sonny Gray and Joe Ryan were their best starters. In the opening 3 games series Baldelli started Bundy, Archer and Winder while the Guadians put up their top three starters. All Twin losses. Ryan and Gray got starts against a weak Royal team in between. In games 4-6 Ober, Varland and Winder were starters. All losses. Finally Ryan got a start in the 7th of 8 games against Cleveland. They won but it was far too late. Gray and Ryan could have and should have started four of those games.  

    Truth: I don't know what's best. I'd probably not overthink it.  I'd start Varland, not need to mess with the roster and scramble later.

    It's an interesting question though. I wonder what Cleveland will do. They're in the same boat. Three game series starting today, off Thursday. 

     

    2 hours ago, USAFChief said:

    Stuff+?

    He looked like a position player up there lobbing in eephus pitches. 

    Dobnak isn't an answer. 

    Yeah, Stuff+ is a tool which quantifies movement, velocity, location, etc in terms of how effective pitches are in against batters. It takes into consideration movement of offspeed/breaking pitches vs. the fastball as well. Supposedly Stuff+ is very quick to become reliable in terms of results and it's more predictive of results as a whole. I use it as a kind of quick double check.

    Dobnak's changeup seems insane because it looks like his sinker, but has crazy amounts of drop. Honesty, if Dobnak had a decent four seamer, that changeup might be unhittable.

    He's throwing 92mph sinkers. Not exactly an Eephus pitch, even if it's not Jhoan Duran out there. Dobnak's average fastball is higher than Ober, for example. His changeup has been dropping 10" more than league average (ultra elite). The slider at 83mph is middle of MLB velo for that pitch and it's movement is above average.

    18 hours ago, Parfigliano said:

    Its obvious Benintendi is completely uninterested in putting in even minimal effort.  He's just showing up for the paycheck.

    If I was the manager he would have been pulled after the effort he put on Vazquez double in a 4 - 2, while I was very happy that it dropped it was absolutely embarrassing to watch.

    2 hours ago, bean5302 said:

    Yeah, Stuff+ is a tool which quantifies movement, velocity, location, etc in terms of how effective pitches are in against batters. It takes into consideration movement of offspeed/breaking pitches vs. the fastball as well. Supposedly Stuff+ is very quick to become reliable in terms of results and it's more predictive of results as a whole. I use it as a kind of quick double check.

    Dobnak's changeup seems insane because it looks like his sinker, but has crazy amounts of drop. Honesty, if Dobnak had a decent four seamer, that changeup might be unhittable.

    He's throwing 92mph sinkers. Not exactly an Eephus pitch, even if it's not Jhoan Duran out there. Dobnak's average fastball is higher than Ober, for example. His changeup has been dropping 10" more than league average (ultra elite). The slider at 83mph is middle of MLB velo for that pitch and it's movement is above average.

    No question his pitches move.  He has MLB stuff he needs to keep it away from the middle of the plate.

    I wouldnt give up on him.  I hope the Twins dont.




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