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The Twins roster isn’t built like the teams deemed the "piranhas," back in the Metrodome era. Those clubs had role players who would cause havoc on the bases ahead of the team’s best hitters like Justin Morneau and Joe Mauer. Minnesota's current roster is constructed to work counts and hit for power, even though the 2024 team hasn’t regularly shown those skills yet. Four players on the Twins can help the team’s offensive production, if their sprint speed is improved compared to recent seasons.
Byron Buxton
Sprint Speed (2023): 94th percentile
Buxton battled injuries throughout the 2023 campaign, so it was amazing that his sprint speed continued to be elite. His baserunning value also ranked above the 90th percentile, even while being relegated to DH duties. His health is in a much better place for the 2024 campaign, but he’s seen a slight decline in his sprint speed from 29.3 ft/s to 28.8 ft/s. However, his sprint speed and baserunning run value have both increased their percentile rank compared to last year. A healthy Buxton is a joy to watch on the bases and can be a weapon that helps the Twins score more runs in the months ahead. It's just a question of whether better health can make up for the march of time.
Carlos Correa
Sprint Speed (2023): 33rd percentile
Like Buxton, Correa played hurt last season, but his plantar fasciitis severely impacted his overall speed and mobility. He set the team record by hitting into the most double plays for one season and was worth -7.7 runs on the bases, the worst on the team. When asked if there’s anything he can point to as to why he’s hitting into so many double plays, he said, “Yeah, I’m slow as f**k.” Thankfully, Correa seems to be past his injury woes from last year. His sprint speed (27.1 ft/s) is up 0.5 ft/s versus last season and is comparable to where he was from 2020-2022. He will never be an elite baserunner, but he can provide improved value compared to last year by avoiding double plays.
Edouard Julien
Sprint Speed (2023): 40th percentile
Julien was a below-average runner in his rookie season with a negative baserunning run value that ranked in the 30th percentile. He’s arguably been the team’s worst baserunner in 2024, with his sprint speed dropping from 27.0 ft/s in 2023 to 23.4 ft/s in 2024. There are only three qualified MLB players with a lower sprint speed than Julien this year, and they all play first base or DH. Baseball Savant has him tracked for ten competitive runs this season, so it is a small sample size. This could be noise; not all competitive runs are created equal. However, that drop in sprint speed is concerning. Is something impacting his running ability this season? He continues to bat near the top of the lineup, and the Twins need him to find a way to at least get back to where he was last season.
Willi Castro
Sprint Speed (2023): 82nd percentile
Castro provided tremendous value and utility for the Twins last season, and much of that value came on the base paths. He ranked in the 78th percentile for baserunning run value, and his 28.6 ft/s sprint speed was one of the best on the team. He’s struggled offensively to begin the 2024 season, which has impacted his ability to showcase his running ability. In 32 plate appearances, he has gone 3-for-27 with four walks and 14 strikeouts. His sprint speed has dropped 0.8 points to 27.8 ft/s, still in the 78th percentile. During spring training, Buxton talked openly about Castro and himself battling for 30 or more steals this season. Castro needs to break out of his offensive slump to return to stealing bases.
What other players are you monitoring for their base running this year? Can Julien improve enough to avoid negative base running value? Leave a comment to start the discussion.







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