Article: 2017 Twins Player Predictions: Brian Dozier

[TheLeviathan]

I think that's pretty damn close.  Anyone who thinks the Dozier of the last three months will now just magically do that for 6 months hasn't paid much attention to him the last few years.

 

Let's just hope pumpkin Dozier shows up after the deadline, but I really fear the worst with this.  I hope I'm wrong.

[Brock Beauchamp]

I think that's pretty damn close. Anyone who thinks the Dozier of the last three months will now just magically do that for 6 months hasn't paid much attention to him the last few years.

 

Let's just hope pumpkin Dozier shows up after the deadline, but I really fear the worst with this. I hope I'm wrong.

He's a streaky hitter, for sure... which is why I predicted 32 homers for him. If you put a gun to my head, I'd probably predict 28-32.

 

On the plus side for Dozier, his power has increased every year he's been in the league. 24 homers seems a bit low to me, though it's certainly possible.

 

But no way am I predicting 40 again. I hope it happens but I'm not banking on it.

[TheLeviathan]

 

He's a streaky hitter, for sure... which is why I predicted 32 homers for him. If you put a gun to my head, I'd probably predict 28-32.

On the plus side for Dozier, his power has increased every year he's been in the league. 24 homers seems a bit low to me, though it's certainly possible.

But no way am I predicting 40 again. I hope it happens but I'm not banking on it.

 

Honestly, with how erratic he is, anything from 20 to 40 is defensible.  But I'm a pessimist about him, but that may just be because I fear he'll binge again and then get a totally awful contract extension.

 

I think I need more time away from Terry Ryan to center myself.

[Brock Beauchamp]

Honestly, with how erratic he is, anything from 20 to 40 is defensible. But I'm a pessimist about him, but that may just be because I fear he'll binge again and then get a totally awful contract extension.

 

I think I need more time away from Terry Ryan to center myself.

Fair enough. You've been skeptical of Dozier for years. Not saying that as proof of anything, just a reality.

[TheLeviathan]

 

Fair enough. You've been skeptical of Dozier for years. Not saying that as proof of anything, just a reality.

 

Yup, I own that.  And sometimes he vindicates me and sometimes he makes it valid.

 

I worry we'll wish we could have anything close to DeLeon for him by July.

[Brock Beauchamp]

Yup, I own that. And sometimes he vindicates me and sometimes he makes it valid.

 

I worry we'll wish we could have anything close to DeLeon for him by July.

So do I but I can't fault the Twins for not saying yes to that trade. They were in an unfortunate spot. Hopefully at this year's deadline, there is more than ONE team looking for a second baseman.

[sploorp]

Dozier's numbers have improved each year in spite of large portions of each season where he slumped badly.  At 29 I'd hardly call him over the hill and beginning his decline into geezerdom.  I'm also not buying into the notion that he'll decline because he's an infielder and infielders just don't hit 42 homers.  To those posters I ask, "what if the team moved him to 3rd base or the outfield instead of 2nd?"  Would you be making different predictions because outfielders and 3rd basemen naturally hit more homers then middle infielders and it's expected?

 

I say Dozier is an outfielder or 3rd baseman trapped in a middle infielder's body.  He's 29 and healthy and I think his natural decline is still a few years off.  I've also heard him talk about batters needing to figure out what kind of hitter they are and work towards that.  He's already figured that out: he's a pull hitter with pop and that's what he keeps working to perfect.  I have no idea why people keep thinking he's suddenly going to start lining balls into the gap for doubles.

 

I say he keeps hitting the same way he has been all along.  And based on the fact that he has gotten better in each season he plays, I see no reason why he can't hit another 40 plus taters while hitting around .250 or so.

 

My biggest question is why the team keeps batting him lead off.  He should be farther back where his power could translate into more RBIs.  Since it's looking like the team is making the Grossman their regular DH, why not make him the lead off hitter too?  If Buxton's going to be batting 3rd, it makes much more sense than Dozier.

[Jham]

Some pretty close guesses in there with a few weeks to go.  I was too optimistic.  He started slow... again!!  Finish like last year and we'll see you in October.

[snepp]

 

I'm guessing we see an increase in OBP a decrease in HR but BA slightly above his career average.  

 

I'll go with:  .260/.350/.490 (.840) 31 HR

 

If the season ended today, you would be the champion of all champions.

 

.260/.348/.481 (.829) 29 HR

 

 

(hopefully he hits waaaaaaay more HR's the rest of the way though)

[Brock Beauchamp]

If the season ended today, you would be the champion of all champions.

 

.260/.348/.481 (.829) 29 HR

 

 

(hopefully he hits waaaaaaay more HR's the rest of the way though)

Holy **** my prediction is on track to be really close.

 

.260/.340/.480 32 HR

[Mike Sixel]

well, I got the not traded part right.....

[Vanimal46]

 

24 HRs at the All-Star Break, then he's traded for a ransom of good pitching prospects. 

 

http://memecrunch.com/meme/3EGUL/i-was-way-off/image.png

 

Little did I know that the Twins would be wild card contenders this year! 

[Loosey]

 

If the season ended today, you would be the champion of all champions.

 

.260/.348/.481 (.829) 29 HR

 

 

(hopefully he hits waaaaaaay more HR's the rest of the way though)

I should have bought lottery tickets that day in March.