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How many games will the Minnesota Twins win in 2023?


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After consecutive seasons of anticipation and ultimate disappointment, Twins fans find themselves in a position of uncertainty. What direction does S.S. Falvine appear to be heading? What changes await in this direction? Will the vessel come upon a World Series title in its journey? Or will it forever circulate the triangle of mediocrity?

These questions haunted Twins fans throughout the land in the early winter. Uncertainty surrounding the return of star shortstop Carlos Correa raised late autumn trepidation in Twins territory. Exhibited inactivity from Captain Falvey and Captain Levine in the season of advent sparked further discontent and disarray. This pattern of sightings was not unfamiliar to Twins fans, who had witnessed their fair share of underwhelming "impact pitchers," including JA Happ, Homer Bailey, Dylan Bundy, Chris Archer, and Matt Shoemaker. Fans slowly rose in arms, and the addition of outfielder Joey Gallo hardly appeased the crowd.

In mid-December, all hope appeared lost, as Minnesota's prized shortstop had signed a gargantuan contract with the San Francisco Giants. However, through a remarkable series of unlikely events, Minnesota reclaimed their shortstop, signing him to a long-term contract. Not long after, they acquired starting pitcher Pablo Lopez from the Miami Marlins to significantly improve their starting rotation. Unfortunately, Lopez wasn't without cost. The Twins were forced to part with Reigning American League Batting Champion Luis Arraez.

Minnesota will not only place their faith on the addition of Pablo Lopez, but also on improved health, to improve their starting rotation in 2023. While the addition of Lopez is significant, the Twins will also receive the services of Kenta Maeda in 2023, who had missed eighteen months due to recovery from Tommy John surgery, and Tyler Mahle, who missed the final month of the 2022 season with shoulder injury. A rotation of Pablo Lopez, Sonny Gray, Joe Ryan, Tyler Mahle, and Kenta Maeda appears promising.

While the starting rotation appears improved, question marks fly high around the starting lineup, which will be without the reigning American League batting champion. They will look to sluggers Byron Buxton and Carlos Correa to maintain good health and also to prospects such as Royce Lewis, Alex Kirilloff, and others who will see the field again after missing time due to injury.

The season ahead is a pivotal one for both Falvine and manager Rocco Baldelli. The ship has drifted more and more into the incorrect direction over the past two years. If it continues to drift in that direction, Twins fans must seriously question the competence of those managing their team. Can officers Derek Falvey, Thad Levine, and Rocco Baldelli pilot the ship out of the triangle of mediocrity? Or is it their fate to never leave?

We will know the answer in November 2023.

cHawk's ("Optimistic Homer") Predictions for 2023:

vs. White Sox: 7-6
vs. Guardians: 7-6
vs. Tigers: 8-5
vs. Royals: 8-5
vs. Orioles: 5-1
vs. Red Sox: 3-4
vs. Rays: 4-2
vs. Blue Jays: 2-4
vs. Yankees: 1-6
vs. Astros: 1-5
vs. Angels: 4-2
vs. Athletics: 5-1
vs. Mariners: 3-4
vs. Rangers: 5-2
vs. Braves: 2-1
vs. Marlins: 2-1
vs. Mets: 1-2
vs. Phillies: 2-1
vs. Nationals: 3-0
vs. Reds: 3-0
vs. Cubs: 2-1
vs. Brewers: 2-2
vs. Pirates: 2-1
vs. Cardinals: 1-2
vs. Diamondbacks: 2-1
vs. Rockies: 3-0
vs. Dodgers: 0-3
vs. Padres: 1-2
vs. Giants: 2-1

Total: 91-71, 1st place in the American League Central Division

34 Comments


Recommended Comments



weitz41

Posted

I have to believe the Twins will have a much better season injuries wise in 2023. If I remember correctly at one point we had 18 guys on the IL.

Before the 2022 injuries really started to wear done the Twins they were on pace for 90ish wins. The 2023 team is much better in both quality and quantity. I'm expecting a rebound by the Sox and some regression for the Guardians.

89-73 Twins

87-75 Sox

86-76 Guardians

Peter

Posted

Definitely over 84.5. Agreed with post above with 91 wins and division title 

Guest

Posted

I'm at 81-81 if we're lucky. 

Maeda's best case is the bullpen.  Mahle is overrated.  Kiriloff and Polanco, counted on for an offense boost, will get paid for taking batting practice all year.  Teams will steal the Twins blind.  Gallo won't bounce back.  And prospects will dominate the roster come July perhaps the only good news I can muster.

Nobody follows a pessimist, of course, and I'm one who'd love to be proven wrong.  But, the Twins' FO and Rocco still seem to be pitching smoke-and-mirrors in the hopes ticket sales will increase.  And for the fourth year in a row, I'm skipping my formerly annual trip to the cities.  Not a buyer thus far this year....

MMMordabito

Posted

81 wins for me.  

I think they are better, but the schedule is harder.

The silver linings will be a boost to the farm system at the deadline and a year of growth for the up-and-coming nucleus.

I'll look forward to being proven wrong.

gman

Posted

93-69. 21-19 the first quarter, then they go on a hot streak through the mid summer months. Their depth starts to take over. Yeah I know, it surprises everyone.

Fatbat

Posted

I am right there with ya. Winning is going to be contagious this year.  Depth is good up and down the roster and across the river.  

Shobae

Posted

I'm thinking this team would most likely be in the 84-88 wins range. I think they've got a pretty solid floor and anything below 80 wins would signal serious organizational collapse, <20th percentile outcome for me. I'm more optimistic about the upside of this team but I think really a lot would have go right for them to hit 91 wins (80th percentile outcome). I think they'd need a strong performance out of the pitching staff to able to make that and there's just too much volatility. Also what version of the Buxton-Correa duo we get will be a big factor but perhaps an even bigger one will be whether or not we see someone step up with a good bat at 1B and a corner OF spot, which would massively raise the floor of this line up. Otherwise there's a pretty big fall off from the top 4 of the line up.   

ashbury

Posted

93 wins and at least one playoff round title, if there's no injuries.  That's my story and I'm sticking with it.


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