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rdehring

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Everything posted by rdehring

  1. rdehring
    Are they somewhat similar, yes. Both are smaller players, albeit, Revere has more speed. Due to his arm strength, Revere was an average defender. Given the opportunity to play second base all season, I suspect Arraez will likewise be an average defender...which is a bit better than he was at second last year. But Arraez does two things almost no one does, he hits for a very high average and gets on base at nearly a .400 clip. Although he will have seasons that he doesn't equal last year, look for his career average to be in that area. Yes, he doesn't have much power, but someone who is on base nearly 40% of the time will score lots of runs for the Twins over the next decade.
  2. rdehring
    Agree with those above who include Lewis as a potential future third baseman. Can see his joining the Twins in 2021, playing most games in various positions...kind of like Gonzalez. Could then settle into the starting third base job when Donaldson is done or moves to first base or DH. Expect he could become an all-star third baseman, although it wouldn't be the best use of his speed.
  3. rdehring
    So let me understand WAR. If Kirilloff hits a home run with one guy on base, his team scores 2 runs. If Jeffers hits a home run with one guy on base, his team gets what, 3 runs? Offensive performance is the same when at the plate, no matter where you play in the field...or not. This type of manipulating data drives this old guy nuts.
  4. rdehring
    He refers to himself as being small, Seth? Sure looks like a stud in that photo. Hopefully, this is the year he takes that big jump in his game. Isn't Pasgagoula the city where they build a lot of the big ships, aircraft carriers, ets? I know it is the home port for a NOAA research vessel.
  5. rdehring
    I don't understand the ZIPS projections. Kirilloff has better numbers than Jeffers at every category, yet Jeffers shows a 1.0 WAR and Kirilloff only a 0.3 WAR? If any of these kids become 2020's version of Luis Arraez, it will be in part due to injuries and need at a specific position. Impossible for us to even speculate when/where that will be. Based on the little I have seen of spring training on tv, sure looks like Kirilloff is taking great at bats. Should there be a need at DH, 1B or the corner outfield, can see either Rooker or Kirilloff getting the call. Who may depend on when with Rooker getting the call should the need be early in the season. Kirilloff may get the call as the season moves into late spring/summer. Got a feeling that both are going to become very good major league players, with Kirilloff potentially being special.
  6. rdehring
    When looking at his last three years, it is important to remember that he also dealt with a significant injury during the later part of 2018. Unfortunately, his desire to play injured last year was met with the Twins having little help in the outfield with several other injuries affecting their outfield depth.
  7. rdehring
    there is still about three weeks of camp left and lots of games. But it sure looks to me that if Dobnak continues pitching like he has, the #5 job is his. That is unless Chacin also does well and they are playing an options game to keep him. Could easily see Smeltzer begin the season in long relief out of the pen. That is unless that slot also goes to Chacin. With the lost time behind him, gotta believe Thorpe begins his season in Rochester's starting rotation. I saw that Jax pitched an inning the other day. How did he look, Seth? Do you see Duran beginning as a starter in Rochester, or working out of their pen?
  8. rdehring
    When Littell arrived, I kept thinking that he reminded me of Joe Nathan. Doesn't necessarily pitch like him, but something. Can he carve out a career like Nathan? We will see, but it sure would be nice.
  9. rdehring
    My answer to your question was going to be: Why? But after consideration, a better answer is: No.
  10. rdehring
    Let's not assume that Jeffers is next in line. Yes, he has made tremendous improvement the past year, plus. But Rortvedt just may surprise most of you and be the one to earn the #2 spot in 2021 or 2022.
  11. rdehring
    Don't have to be a better team than either Houston or the Yankees. Just have to play better in a handful of games come October. As for determining who the better team is, that is what the playoffs are for.
  12. rdehring
    Very interesting, Jeremy. The traditional part of me says, please leave it as is. But on another level, maybe there is a format that would be better. Don't know what that would be, but you sure could provide a starting point.
  13. rdehring
    Agree with all the dead horse comments. If missing that traditional ACE, well, if Berrios pitches like he can for an entire season, check that box. If missing better than average #2 starters to fill both the 2nd and 3rd spots in the rotation...Odorizzi and Pineda are both capable of being that. The question is, will they? Looking for a #4 starter that is league average or better? Sure could be/should be Maeda. Add a healthy Chacin and/or Bailey and either could push their way all the way up to #2. Then there are the three kids who got a look last fall. Who's to say that Thorpe doesn't get more consistent and push himself up to that above average #3 starter? So what's missing, several of the Twins starters being the best they can be. And isn't that what sports/baseball is all about, players playing up to their abilities taking their teams on a run to a championship? So rather than moping around because they couldn't sign one of the two real ACES this year, the Twins front office went about their business to create what could be the deepest starting rotation in baseball. Expect there are several good teams facing injuries right now who would love to have the Twins staff.
  14. rdehring
    I have Kirilloff as my number 1 with Lewis second and Larnach a very close third. Over the course of the winter and the voting over at TT, have gone towards merging ceiling with the likelihood of the player reaching it. I think that Lewis has the highest ceiling. I believe, however, that Kirilloff is more likely to approach/reach his ceiling which is also very high based on his potentially being the best hitter in the organization. That puts Kirilloff ahead of Lewis in my mind.
  15. rdehring
    Love this kid. See him as today's version of Jason Kubel, the good Kubel before he tore up his knee in the AFL. Although he was good, he just wasn't the same after that injury. Anyway, that's the type of player/game I see Kirilloff bringing to the Twins. Would love to see him arrive this year, just don't see him stepping in on a regular basis without someone very important going down with an injury. As for where he plays, corner outfield or first makes no difference to me. A kid with his bat can play wherever they can find a spot.
  16. rdehring
    Have warmed to Larnach since he was drafted. Now see him as potentially becoming a good player, very good. As the Twins are constructed right now, the only position I see for him is left field as Kepler will likely be here a long time. As much as I believe in Rosario as both a player and heart and soul of this team, it is logical that he is the player Larnach will replace. The Twins are gonna have to find some savings in their budget someplace and Larncach replacing an ever more expensive Rosario could be a big savings. Doubt this will happen this summer, more likely next winter or even the 2021 trade deadline. As for Kirilloff, I see him as their future first baseman with Sano moving to part time first base and DH after Cruz is gone in 2021 or 2022.
  17. rdehring
    I'll bet Farvey and Lavine wish neither of them ever used that word...impact, John. Will Maeda be an impact pitcher? Yes? No? Maybe? As for making a big trade at the deadline, I don't see it happening. They already have a significant addition to their rotation around that time, Hill. As for how our rotation matches up with the Yankees, or anyone else? I like it. Berrios pitching like he can will match up with anyone. Odorizzi pitching like he did in Houston last year when he went up against Verlander can win against anyone. We have depth and talent in this starting rotation with a lot of talent on the horizon. Now its time for two or three of them to get it done.
  18. rdehring
    Was Luis Arraez the Rodney Dangerfield of the Twins organization?
  19. rdehring
    OK, you have him at #4. A better question is: Where does he rank in the Dodger system? Is he #4? Higher? Lower?
  20. rdehring
    Don't know if Odorizzi is excited about free agency, or not. What I suspect he is excited about is cashing all of those checks totaling $17,800,000.
  21. rdehring
    He may be #5, which I expect is really #4 with Graterol gone. But, to me he is the most important player in the minor league system. Why? He is the one pitcher that seems to have the potential to be not only a #1 starter, but perhaps a real ACE. Could he be so good? Could the Twins be so fortunate? Heck yes!
  22. rdehring
    May and Odorizzi are a MUST for me. Hopefully, one or both will be extended by the end of spring training. If Cruz has another good year, would think it makes sense to go year-to-year with him with a one year contract at the end of the season.
  23. rdehring
    If it ain't broke, don't fix it. And it wouldn't be adding a third wild card team, to get to seven they would need to add two wild card teams making four wild card teams...one more than division champs. And I hate the idea of any team choosing who they play.
  24. rdehring
    I will never forget about Escobar and hope that someday he returns, perhaps as a utility guy at the end of his career. But this kid sure looks like he can be special. As for a Top 100 ranking next year, I think not as I don't want him to retain rookie status in 2021. Someone is going to be this year's Randy Dobnak and push his way up several levels to the Twins. Why not Duran?
  25. rdehring
    Thanks, Patrick. And that group of pitchers sure bring a ton of post season experience and success. But the biggest experience factor to me is that all of our young regulars now have had a taste of the post season. Hopefully, they will be hungry for a longer run in 2020...much longer.
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