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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. Yeah, I'm not sure what's happening here, but in the four years the Twins have had an affiliate in Wichita, that stop seems to be the one where the brakes are applied. So whatever this is, is pretty dang encouraging.
  2. Or delay the future costs of these players by signing less talented depth. I'm sure they'd rather pay them cheaply through their prime instead of letting them walk when their still only 28. But Lewis and Kirilloff were in AA by the time they were 21. Both had season long injuries and that Covid year makes things impossible to gauge. Lee looks like he'll be amongst the first prospects from his class called up. Seems like the TOP top prospects aren't typically held up long.
  3. Sometime down the line starting pitchers in MLB will become RBs in the NFL, no one will pay them because they're used up before they hit their second contract. Kids will all want to be hitters, not pitchers. Can't wait until the average score is 17-15.
  4. I prefer my starters young and cheap, so I was willing to meet their monetary demands if they were willing to meet the prospect demands.
  5. Sigh, yeah, if only they'd paid attention to how the season went last year when Meada was the 'bad' starter.
  6. They did make a move for the rotation, the back of the rotation. And intentionally. They failed to fix the part that mattered, and that is the problem. We're on the same page, but perhaps not the same language and I apologize for not being more concise, but I can do better: Twins: Who should our swingman this year? Me: Swingman?!?! Who cares, pick whatever bum you want for that spot, you need to focus on the top of the rotation.
  7. So your theory is that the Twins needed a top of the rotation arm and they said, let's get DeSclafani he's more than capable of replacing Sonny Gray? It was reported right away that he was going to have to battle Varland for the 5th spot. They basically acknowledged that he was Matt Shoemaker. The Polanco deal was terrible, but not because they got a depth starter as part of a door prize package, it was a terrible deal because it didn't lead to getting a top of the rotation starter. They didn't add prospects to Polanco to get an actual starter, nor use the salary savings to go buy one. That is the issue and they knew it. They didn't have any big press conference like they did with Lopez or Maeda or Paddock. They lost out on a big prize and came crawling home with a swag bag. I didn't care then and don't care now which 4M bottom barrel depth starter they put on the roster. It was always going to be someone I disliked, yet inevitable. It didn't make a difference to me if they got DeSclafani in this deal or used the money to sign Aaron Civale or Carlos Carrasco. It was number 2 starter or bust, and they busted.
  8. I agree, however I'm also of the mind that if a guy gets called up early and struggles and it messes with him so bad that it tanks his career, then he's probably not a guy who will be able to come through under pressure anyway. I'd think early failure would push not deject the kinds of players this team needs to win post season games. But even if he's a good role player and nothing more, I'd not want to call him up if it takes that possibility off the table later. But honestly, I think most organizations can grasp the mental makeup of these young players at this point better than they can predict their counting stats. I think they'd have a fairly good idea from his personality what they're working with and how he'd handle a call up.
  9. Considering how delicate this team has been with preserving their non-roster relievers they hoarded this offseason (see trading for Michael Tonkin instead of calling up one of these journeymen vets), I suspect his 'readiness' will be secondary to roster preservation. There's only three healthy hitters on the 40-man who aren't at the MLB level. Larnach is gearing up in A ball, so he might be ahead of Rodriguez, but Severino has been terrible so he probably isn't. But if they need someone before Kepler and Lewis are ready, I'd bet Rodriguez is second in line.
  10. Yeah, that's the big issue, but I don't see how that's fixable at this point. The hitters have adjusted to this new age, nasty stuff, if you take three MPH off your fastball or reduce your spin rate on the breaking pitches they'll be hitting .400 with 50 HR.
  11. The Twins aren't the only team doing this. Looking at the top pitching prospects leaguewide, it looks like tons of the top guys threw fewer innings in 2023 than they did in 2022. I'm guessing the rash of injuries and the new pitch clock has gotten teams to think about slowing things down. Maybe even thinking about not wasting innings in the minors when they could later be used at the MLB level.
  12. They haven't pitched well, but Raya is the pitcher I'm most excited about at any level. Ohl was solid in Wichita last year too, I'd expect him to bounce back, even if his strikeout numbers aren't terribly exciting.
  13. Sure, but he clearly wasn't the main return, nor supposed to replace Sonny Gray. I just get frustrated with Mussolini also kicked a dog arguments. Clearly the front office messed up with their 5th/6th starter choice, but based on their track record with those kinds of pitchers, that was pretty much a given the moment they made that choice. There are considerably worse sins they committed so this DeSclafani stuff just seems like piling on for the sake of piling on.
  14. So many new rumors/theories going around about the Vikings draft. I've seen several new sites suggesting Justin Herbert might not be a completely bonkers idea. The Chargers would have to eat a lot of money, but with a new HC and GM, they'd be able to pass that off as part of a rebuild and the sins of the former regime. Still think it's unlikely, but Harbaugh is a wild card and he likes to do what he wants, critics be damned. I've also seen reports that the Vikings want to stay at 23. That doesn't seem to make sense on the surface if they want to trade up for a QB, but it got me thinking about how all the theories center around the Vikings trading up using a bunch of 1st round picks. Honestly though, as much as we fans love to play around with picks, AZ, LAC and NE would probably love to get #11 and Jordan Addison more than a late 1st rounder. Those teams are desperate for receivers. The Panthers made their move last year by including DJ Moore, and while he's currently a better WR, Addison has many more years of control and productivity. Pick 23 would be a prime spot for the Vikings to grab another young WR if that's a position they feel best about evaluating. And after two years, it's really the only position I feel at all comfortable about them evaluating. On the same train of thought, the Vikings brought in FIVE LBs in free agency. Many formations they'll only be putting two or three on the field at a time. Rarely will they have four out there as evidenced by the fact that the Vikings had three safeties on the field 94% of the time last year, probably will only do that for formations if/when Greenard is slotted into a DE spot. Ivan Pace has to have pretty decent trade value but I don't see him on the field nearly as much next year. I wonder if he could be a player that's substituted for a pick. Wouldn't be valued as a 1st obviously, but could be the compromise between a 1st and whatever pick the Vikings are more comfortable including.
  15. Third piece at best. I doubt DeSclafani by himself would be able to fetch Topa and his three years of control in trade, let alone a top 100 prospect.
  16. Logjam or no logjam, I'm pretty sure the idea (here, won't speak to ownership) of moving middle infielders wasn't to just dump excess quality players, it was to acquire a Sonny Gray replacement. I still don't care that Polanco is gone, I care that the rotation is significantly worse than last year.
  17. So trade JJ for a top draft pick because they're more reliable than late picks? Those are no less guesses than guessing at QB. And on top of that JJ isn't a guess, he is pretty much the biggest sure thing in the entire league. Trading JJ for a guess at C or DL and then you have to find another WR too. That doesn't come close to adding up for me.
  18. I disagree about JJ. The payroll shouldn't be a problem for the foreseeable future. Most of the bad contracts are gone and they'll be done paying for those sins after this year. Of all the free agents they signed this year, only Greenard has more than a minimal future burden. The ledger is about as clean as it's going to get. Getting a stud young QB and paying him rookie wages for four or five years will really open things up.
  19. One outing in AAA this year. And he went 3 2/3 innings?!? I guess the Twins original plan to stretch him out into a starter was legit? Just nine years early.
  20. https://www.nbcsports.com/nfl/profootballtalk/rumor-mill/news/kwesi-adofo-mensah-there-are-multiple-qbs-were-in-love-with-in-this-draft Crap, here we go: “So, as I talked about earlier, skill-set-wise, if you’re talking about the ability to overcome context — well, if the guy has less ability but we have assets to go get somebody who is not going to put him in that situation, those things add up, too." No, this is the one position you can't take the lesser talent to gamble on talent in other areas. You HAVE to get one of the guys you think can be amongst the best at the position. Getting an upgrade at DT or LB or whatever is NOT going to make up for having an average QB. Does he understand how good a defensive tackle has to be to drag a team to the Super Bowl? It seriously has to be like Aaron Donald. Who still had a HOF QB.
  21. Yeah, they could, but if they wait until 23, it's possible they could miss out on all six QBs. If five are off the board by the time the Broncos and Raiders have picked at 12 and 13 so there's only one left with ten picks to go before the Vikings draft, they'll probably end up having to trade trade up anyway or risk getting none of them. And then they don't get to choose their QB, they get what the other teams stick them with. I don't want them to be like the Twins in free agency. Don't get cute trying to keep as much equity as possible and just accepting what's left available, get the guy you really want.
  22. I'd like Daniels, but not sure if KOC would put his legs to as much use as they should. Still, he looks like a good enough passer that he'd still work in the offense. I'm seeing tons of reports that Maye is below McCarthy on lots of evaluators lists. Some people have him below Penix and Nix. I still think the Vikings have a deal in place, it's the only thing that makes sense with them trading for that extra 1st round pick so early, but it's really hard to get a read on who they really want.
  23. Thankfully, it usually goes well for the Twins this year.
  24. It was a good long con. Walk the catcher, don't get the ensuing double play, then get Betts, the faster runner on a force at 2nd, and finally nail Ohtani while he's distracted checking his Fanduel bets while he's rounding 3rd.
  25. So like 1% of the posters? 95% consensus is rare around here. Seems unnecessary to call out.
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