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twinstalker

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Everything posted by twinstalker

  1. twinstalker
    Why in the world would they decline Kepler's option? Because the whole league would love to have him at $10 million, and it's close to Christmas? I'm not saying the Twins won't screw up after picking up his option, but you've got to at least take the first obvious step.
  2. twinstalker
    Lots of comments (namely, who cares whether someone was once a Twin?), but I'll just lay this one out: If I had to endure Odorizzi for another season, at least and thank gawd there's a pitch clock.
  3. twinstalker
    I would say we're wasting AFL spots with some of these guys, but I don't know that there's anyone to replace them.
  4. twinstalker
    That would be quite a difference in pressure level, going from second fiddle in MN to top dog in Boston. I'd like to quantify changes in his sense of humor fall 2025 versus now.
  5. twinstalker
    How could a Jhoan Duran extension take place? With very little forethought, probably. I might be missing something, but the Twins have team control for four more years, and relievers who depend on velocity aren't generally the same pitcher after six years. I was surprised he made it through this year uninjured. I mean, it's not my money, so I don't care unless it takes away from the Twins signing someone helpful (when he's not). See where he's at after four years here, and it might make some sense. Duran was worse this year than last. It's possible it's a trend. Why not wait to see? His BB/9 nearly doubled, and his runs/9 almost doubled, and his FIP increased by 30%. I would certainly wait a year, probably two, before deciding to guarantee big salaries.
  6. twinstalker
    Does it? And was it a "run?" The Twins were two wins shy of the only three years they could ever be accused of a postseason run. Don't let 0-18 affect you the rest of your life.
  7. twinstalker
    I would like to see Lewis get the reps at SS, because if something happens to Correa, there is nobody to take his place full-time except Lewis. And if it's career-threatening for Correa, that leave Lee at 3B, Lewis at SS, and Julien at 2B.
  8. twinstalker
    So the Twins traded Casy Legumina for a cheaper Farmer coming off a good year. What do you expect to get for a slightly higher paid Farmer coming off a bad year?
  9. twinstalker
    I can't see the video, but I don't understand why people think the Twins can extend Royce Lewis. Part of signing with Scott Boras is agreeing to take yourself to free agency, and then signing the biggest contract possible. There is no team loyalty. Maybe it's worth a mil a year vs the highest bidder, but first the player puts himself in a position to have many bidders as possible then selects the most outlandish or gives the team he's on a slightly better deal. The goal, so stated by Boras long ago, was to drive up the salaries of all players by going through the free agency process with all his stars or potential stars. You can agree or disagree with whether that's a good thing, but it simply means Lewis is going to free agency. The only way the Twins could avoid that happening is by giving a guy who doesn't come close to deserving it one of the best contracts in the game, and that defeats the purpose of extending him. That's why I've basically said the Twins have Lewis for three more years if they want optimal return, four more for meh return, or five more for a draft pick if that still is a thing by then.
  10. twinstalker
    Twins farm system is the greatest. Imagine if they hadn't gotten lucky with the lottery and had Jacob Gonzalez instead of Walker Jenkins.
  11. twinstalker
    Do we really need knees? My uncle lost a finger in a farming accident, and the next year had his best crop ever.
  12. twinstalker
    I get it. It's minor league hitter of the year. You ignore predictive categories because it's not major league hitter of the future. However, I would draw the line at including someone who's been in AAA every year possible starting in 2017 (6 yrs) and in the majors each of the years 2017-2021, 2023 (6 yrs). Keep him in or throw him out, this is not a good system. It's buoyed by the gift of Jenkins. Lee will be a decent MLBer, and Emmanuel Rodriguez has the possibility of being good (and of being bad). That's it, unless you ignore all the predictors on the rest. Three players, maybe some utility guys like Keaschall and Schobel, and zero pitchers who have shown themselves as of yet who have good starter potential. Maybe a few will become relief, like Festa. I'd really have to look at any team prospect experts consider to have a worse group of prospects before I'd believe it. Most lists seem to be overrating Lee and guessing on Rodriguez, so if you guess high, the three guys can put you above 8-10 teams, I guess. It would be nice if our runner-up had made it out of A ball, given he turned 23 this summer. It wouldn't surprise me if the Twins added Severino, given I don't think they have to protect anyone good except, I think, EmRod (and Martin). Festa probably. That might be it for new system names. EmRod, Martin, and Festa are the only names I would be concerned about, unless I'm forgetting someone. They have guys like Canterino on the 60-day, so he'll be put back on the 40. There's also Moran and Gordon.
  13. twinstalker
    Bad year for starters, too. Lewis an easy choice among what otherwise would be a completely embarrassing group. Oof, this system is hurting. I bet if a Twins exec were being honest, they'd admit their best hope is the HS guy who hasn't pitched yet, which is sad.
  14. twinstalker
    Who cares about 0-20? 1-20 is just as bad. Only if that first number is at least a 2 does it matter at all. People worried about a winless streak are looking at the wrong winless streak.
  15. twinstalker
    Yeah, it's not terribly common for a minor league relievers to be among the better major league relievers (most are minor/major league starters). So having horrible relief in the minors (I mean, look at the meh numbers other than KF) is not all that important if you can get one good one, and the Twins might have.
  16. twinstalker
    Wherever the mass of injuries it requires leaves an opening. To be less glib, I don't think he's good enough to play shortstop except in an emergency. The only game he's played at 2B was in the Cape Cod League one summer. I would guess he'll participate in the FIL starting soon and work on all infield positions. But right now it would likely be 3B with SS as an emergency or "we don't care for this short of time" sort of thing. Lee will start to hit at AAA next year, probably. Any future MLB player, division 1 or 2, will/would hit in the bandbox that is St. Paul in his age 23 season if he's played well enough at AA and had part of a year at AAA already. But unless he's absolutely destroying it like Lewis/Wallner/Julien/Kirilloff, I don't think Lee is going to be a priority.
  17. twinstalker
    As I'm sure has been mentioned, Kirilloff was on the 40. Lee's never shown the bat of Kirilloff. Lee did fine at AA. Nothing about it said he'd be star material. In general he was better than your average AA player. You would promote someone whose bat is ready to excel in the majors, because facing the likes of Verlander and Valdez would be downright ugly for a guy whose bat isn't ready in even the middle of the season call up for a doubleheader game. Oof. We may need all three option years with him, who knows?
  18. twinstalker
    Just wondering who goes when Stewart, Alcala, and Paddack come off the 60-day IL.
  19. twinstalker
    EmRod won't be close to a top five prospect. First, these are guys who are generally new...you don't become top five in your fifth minor league season. To be top five, you have to destroy the minors. EmRod is very mixed in his results, he's moving up one level per year, and his strikeout rate is outrageous. Top five guys are the ones who are without a doubt special, even as many of them fail to pan out. Jenkins could be a guy who gets top five (he's already top twenty, I think). The problem is his competition. Not only will the four guys drafted ahead of him get the same consideration (though Skenes might not qualify for 2025), all the current guys already in line will be inching toward that. The Twins would have a role in this, too, I would think. Jenkins will be viewed as a better prospect if he's promoted aggressively and still hits. If he somehow gets to AA next year after breezing through A and A+, he's got a great chance. Just based on this year, it's not out of the realm of possibilities that Jenkins and EmRod end next year at AA. Twins won't have to protect Jenkins until after the 2027 season, I believe. EmRod I believe has to be protected this offseason.
  20. twinstalker
    The strikeout rate is the important stat. Well, that and the fact it's harder than hell to hit in the FSL and maybe more so in Fort Myers. I see he's at 6 Ks now, so something bad happened, but if he's K-ing under 12% of the time, that's still a great sign.
  21. twinstalker
    "Eddie Bane's incompetence in 1976 stood in stark contrast to Mark Fidrych's remarkable rookie season." Or "Mark Fidrych and Eddie Bane both made their major league debut at age 21." Or "On the mound Eddie Bane was constantly have conferences with his catcher and pitching coach, while Mark Fidrych was constantly have conferences with the baseball in his hand."
  22. twinstalker
    I don't mind the Twins pitching him a lot, because, hey, he's 28 and needs to build up innings. The way to do that is to pitch regularly and not be coddled into the playoffs. If he tires, shut him down. But I do not understand demoting him. Put him on the IL, then perhaps a rehab start, similar to Ryan. But if the Twins/Saints get 155-160 IP from him this year, including playoffs, that's more than we could have expected and a fine number as he heads into next season. The five-year average for the Super Two cutoff is 2 yrs, 124 days, and coincidentally, that's exactly what Ober would have been at had he spent the whole year in the majors (after last year: 1 yr, 124 days). And actually, of the 180-185 days of the MLB season, a player only needs 172 to get to a full year. Keeping him down as they did for 24 days to start this 184 day season would have reduced his service time to 2 yrs 112 days had he finished out the season. While that was very likely under the super two status this offseason, this recent demotion made sure of it.
  23. twinstalker
    Unless I forgot about MLB and MLBPA getting rid of super 2 for arbitration, it certain does matter. He came into the year with 1 year, 124 days. Super two this last time was a few days over that, but it varies. The demotions have cost Ober a bit of money, not to mention the salary difference between mlb and aaa.
  24. twinstalker
    Well, it sort of is. 140 vs 73. Guessing I'm not the first to point that out.
  25. twinstalker
    This article acts like it's over, that everything's been decided. Pitchers are going to start getting him out at some point, this year or next. That's extremely likely. Do we write another article about who's right or maybe instead let it play out to determine how good he is? The Twins have exactly five years left with Lewis after this (barring a trade or huge overpay...because Boras). The current moment is exciting to see and provides hope for the next few years. That should be where we're at, not who's right and who's wrong, as pitchers are getting their first looks at him, and the book is being written.
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