That's fair. At the very least, Chicago and KC aren't trending down. They may hold steady, but Chicago's window is open now. There may be some fluctuation in wins, but they're clearly built to win now. I don't think any other team in the division can say that. Not today anyway.
Agreed on how many things went completely sideways for the Twins. That's part of what makes this conversation interesting in my view. The issue I do have is the carry over of the loss of Maeda and Berrios. As yet, they haven't been replaced production-wise. Where do those innings come from? Despite everything, they still managed to be not quite a .500 team after mid-May. As the roster currently sits though, in order to challenge Chicago, I think basically everything has to go as well as everything went poorly last year. I'd agree that they probably have the highest floor, and probably the largest range of potential wins in the division if not all of baseball.