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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. jorgenswest
    I don’t think it is on Molitor. They stopped catching him at Rochester four weeks before he was called up. If I am the major league manager I am not starting a guy at catcher who the minor league team stopped playing there.
  2. jorgenswest
    Listened to Derek Falvey this morning. I left more encouraged that he might be able to have a catcher role. I am still very puzzled why they would not use him at catcher at all in the four weeks before his first call up. He may have been needed at 3B but AAA is about developing players and they had a great need at catcher in the majors. I was certain then that they had made a determination that he couldn't be trusted even as a back up catcher on a roster. I am more hopeful after listening but I also know that Falvey isn't going to say on the air that his catching skills are well below average. Still puzzled. They need to invest time in developing any possible catching prospect that might be able to hit a little.
  3. jorgenswest
    I think he should be on the team next year based on the ability he has shown to hit left handed pitching over the last three years. However, his slash stats in a few month this year should have no weight with that decision. Small samples should be ignored for the purpose of projection. The only use would be to tell the story of the past.
  4. jorgenswest
    I wouldn’t pursue Logan Forsythe. I probably wouldn’t pursue any of the age 32+ free agent second baseman. Ideally they have the talent in their scouting department to identify the ~25-26 year old 2B that can be the next Dozier/Forsythe and acquire that player buying low.
  5. jorgenswest
    When the Twins called up Astudillo the first time he hadn’t played catcher in four weeks. He began the season as a starter but then moved to 3B with some LF. It was puzzling to me because the Twins had a real need at catcher with the loss of Castro and the Twins must not have seen Astudillo as a solution. They tried Sawyer until his injury, Rupp was a catch and release, Graterol was injured (now returned) and minor league journeyman Pacheco. Astudillo has started 8 games at catcher since returning to AAA over a month ago. He will get a chance with the Twins soon. With such an obvious need, I don’t get why he hasn’t played catcher more. He may be a poor defensive catcher but his ability to catch doesn’t improve while playing 3B. It can’t be that surprising that the Twins have this need. I look forward to seeing him catch. I hope the major league staff sees something in his catching talents that must have been missed in AAA.
  6. jorgenswest
    I don’t think August trading is different or more difficult today than it was years ago. If the Twins has a Verlander to trade, they would get back some good prospects. If Santana had returned and was pitching like the first half of 2017 they would get some good prospects. The Twins have already traded their most valuable trade pieces.
  7. jorgenswest
    Well thought out and intriguing. My first reaction is that I would prefer a model that might work with a 12 man pitching staff. This model works for September and maybe for the 25 with 2 piggyback slots. I am certain they are studying the opener model and thinking about whether the talents of some of their staff would fit that model. The remainder of the season is a great opportunity to try a different model. I prefer that look be something that they might also be able to use next April.
  8. jorgenswest
    Drafting a high school pitcher #4 is a risky decision. Of the 14 drafted only 5 had a good a career (Matlock, Fernandez, Wood, Morgan and Brett). Six ended with a negative WAR or no appearance in the majors. Dylan Bundy (2011), Kohl Stewart (2013) and Riley Pint (2016) remain and none are a sure thing for a significant career. Bundy has a chance and Pint has been awful in the minors. The 2013 first round doesn't look very good. Of the top 12 picks only 2 have positive WAR and after pick 3 (Gray) you need to go down to supplemental round pick 32 before finding a significant player in Aaron Judge.
  9. jorgenswest
    If he isn’t moved by September, I would play Adrianza every day possibly at SS. The other in house option they might consider is Rosario at 2B with Polanco at SS. Gordon hasn’t given them any reason to start his service time.
  10. jorgenswest
    How does that make the trade look better?
  11. jorgenswest
    At this point I don’t think they will need to use an option and he is worthy of remaining on the 40. These starts will have value in getting his feet wet. He lost command both games when an inning became stressful. He can overcome that. I don’t think these starts help the Twins learn anything new but I do think they have helped Stewart learn about himself. Gonsalves needs the same opportunity.
  12. jorgenswest
    I like it.
  13. jorgenswest
    Every game matters to me. No way do I want any player or coach on the team not giving everything to win everyday. Playing to win matters. It matters to those watching the game. It matters to the development of players. It matters way more than a handful of spots in a draft.
  14. jorgenswest
    The home run was awesome. I wasn’t expecting a home run but I was expecting Joe to come through. He is the Twin I want up in that situation.
  15. jorgenswest
    It is a team game and the Twins went 1-6 the first week of the season after their newly signed leader of the rotation was suspended. No way does he get a pass with a mediocre 4.00 ERA for half a season combined with a suspension that left the team without their opening day starter.
  16. jorgenswest
    I see two good years out of four. A half year is not OK particularly when you hurt your team and teammates by taking steroids. I will acknowledge his two years is probably better than the expected return for a mid 30s free agent pitcher.
  17. jorgenswest
    If he has value to the bench or lineup of a contending team, they should be able to find a trade partner. If he doesn’t have that value, they shouldn’t be interested in fostering him next year. A three man bench has a spot for an OF, middle infield and catcher. He can’t fill any of those roles as a 2B/3B. The fourth guy needs options to give them roster flexibility.
  18. jorgenswest
    Trade him for the best the market will offer and play Adrianza.
  19. jorgenswest
    My mistake bringing in my preference for Wade and Austin. I retract. It is only a distraction. I don’t believe there is nearly as much value in a month of September at bats versus his value next April much less an extra full year at the end. Could the difference be that I believe Buxton will be a very valuable player in that extra year and you believe the September at bats are critical to any possibility of future success? If that’s the case, we disagree. I don’t think the at bats are very valuable but I get your point.
  20. jorgenswest
    I prefer the value of the extra year and would send him to Florida. Wade and maybe even Austin can get time when Cave, Rosario or Kepler sit. Buxton isn’t playing every day and I don’t know if he is even playing back to back days. He isn’t going to be seeing the best pitching in AAA or September. Given that pitching the data will be less reliable even at 150 PAs.
  21. jorgenswest
    120-150 PAs In season I start looking at those rare stats around Memorial Day.
  22. jorgenswest
    They have stated they will be careful with May’s use. That is a tough mix with the need to get him in front of major league batters. They do have enough arms in the pen to manage his more limited use.
  23. jorgenswest
    They should not bring him up based on performance and health. If he is playing every other day he doesn’t even have time to establish playing well and he certainly hasn’t met that bar yet. These September at bats are not going to matter next spring.
  24. jorgenswest
    I think Correa was much more ready with the glove. If Lewis is going to play SS it is going to take longer. If they want his bat sooner they might shift him to RF. I would keep trying to develop Lewis as a SS.
  25. jorgenswest
    He is young. There isn't evidence in the data that he is ready to be successful in the majors yet. He is young enough to develop one of his pitches to the point where he gets more swing and misses. I would keep him on the 40 and plan to use an option him to AAA to start next year regardless of how he performs in a handful of starts.
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