Jump to content
Our free agent ranking is up to 100 names, and now you can filter by player position! Click here to check it out! ×
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

jorgenswest

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    8,284

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    9

 Content Type 

Profiles

Minnesota Twins News, Rumors & Analysis

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospect Rankings

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Minnesota Twins Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Minnesota Twins Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. jorgenswest
    It might help to start the season with a full bullpen rather than stashing a rule 5 guy and burying a dead arm high salary starter with nothing to offer. Is it a surprise that the real options get overused? Every roster spot matters. That is on the front office.
  2. jorgenswest
    If really like the move if a left handed DH/1B is added. Austin is spring training insurance and late DFA when other teams are also facing a roster crunch. He will be hard to roster. The Twins have an inexpensive upgrade for Austin’s roster slot. This does not fill one of the holes on the roster. Now they need to upgrade Grossman’s spot.
  3. jorgenswest
    I don’t think Austin is an option against right handed pitching. His strike out rates against righties through the minors and majors does not project well. I think he will be very good against lefties. Ideally the Twins would have found someone to take the that half of the platoon. Cron is better against right handed pitching but it would be nice to have a left handed bat that could play 1B while sitting him a few times a week. He isn’t someone you want in the middle of the line up against right handed pitching. Cron is likely an upgrade over Austin. If this move means the Twins stop looking for a bat to replace Mauer, I am disappointed.
  4. jorgenswest
    Dietrich and Harrison are poor fits for utility. Neither can replace Adrianza. They don’t play SS. Sign them to start at 2B or 3B if you feel they are the best option. Neither can take one of the 3 guaranteed spots on the bench without the ability to play SS unless they are the fourth OF. That fourth bench spot needs to go to a player with options that can be shuttled out when a 13th pitcher is needed. Should they acquire Dietrich as the starting 2B or fourth OF?
  5. jorgenswest
    Someone will offer an A prospect in the package. If anyone is advocating for Syndegaard they really need to be willing to part with an elite prospect plus others in the package. If the Twins enter this negotiation with untouchables it will be a short phone call. I would be willing to deal Lewis or Kiriloff. I would be willing to deal anyone on the 40 man roster other than Berrios who has an extra year of control. Kirilloff is close. He might be the guy the Mets would want to headline the deal. If they see him as low level and want an elite prospect ready to go in April, the Twins might not be a good fit. I don’t see them targeting a guy like Rosario who is already in arbitration and has the same amount of control as Syndegaard.
  6. jorgenswest
    Sano’s arm strength should allow him to play a little deeper. Playing deeper will help his effective range though visually his range wouldn’t look different. He is a below average but capable 3B. He plays well enough at 3B that the Twins have the flexibility to look for a player at either corner.
  7. jorgenswest
    I don’t think there is causation here. It is very rare to go through a season without a starting left handed pitcher. Since the Red Sox won the series in 2004 there I think there have been 8 teams (less than 2%) including last year’s Indians. When there is better than a 98% chance that a team will have used a lefty starter it shouldn’t be surprising that it is very infrequent that a team wins the World Series without a left handed starter. The Twins should target the best pitcher regardless of left handed or right handed. I do find your other argument about Grienke’s velocity compelling and the Twins really need to do their homework projecting his next three years.
  8. jorgenswest
    You are right. It will take an elite prospect. I am in if it is Kirilloff. Suggestions of a package of second and third tier prospects is equivalent to not being interested in this deal.
  9. jorgenswest
    I agree. Aggressively approach taking them both. Taking Grienke’s full contract will ease the return on prospects. It will mean spending virtually all of the space in the budget. I still do it. Spend the bulk of the rest on one reliever. Go inexpensive on a one year 2B contract to a player looking to have a turn around year. Non tender Grossman to save a little. The Twins may never have this much flexibility in their budget. How many other teams are in a position to make this deal? Go for it. Add two real difference makers.
  10. jorgenswest
    Anyone ready to move Kiroloff or Lewis? If I am the DBacks I am not interested if one of those is not part of the deal. Maybe taking on Grienke’s full contract will help.
  11. jorgenswest
    I don’t think it is a never nor is it an always, A rebuilding team can always find space. A contending team needs to find a player and role that fits the roster. In today’s game team’s utilize options to shuttle relievers. You don’t get options with a rule 5 player. If the Twins target a middle infielder that can compete with Adrianza for that bench spot it could be a fit. The back of the bullpen has to be flexible.
  12. jorgenswest
    The cost is roster flexibility. Even if you do roster that player it would be years before you get a return. Ryan Pressly was taken in 2013 and was used in low leverage situations. The Twins in turn had to carry 13 pitchers much of the year. He was sent to AAA in 2014 and pitched less than 30 major league innings in both 2014-2015. In 2016-2017 he was at the back of the bullpen just above replacement level. Finally a pay off in 2018 and the Twins do get good prospects. Likely best case is the guy we take this year pays off in 2024. The much greater likelihood is that the rule 5 addition will be stuck on the roster and increase the need for a 13th pitcher. This will really limit the opportunity for an extra bench bat like Astudillo. I would rather bet on Astudillo and roster those last spots in the pen to guys with options that can shuttled back and forth rather so that the staff can stay at 12 most of the year. How many contenders are going to trade roster flexibility to stash a rule 5 guy in 2019? How many did it last year? If it was foolish not to take a rule 5 player wouldn’t every team take one?
  13. jorgenswest
    I hope the open spots will not result in them taking a player in rule 5. A pitcher nearly guarantees an extra man in the bullpen and a bat like Astudillo in AAA. The only pick might be a middle infielder on the bench who competes with Adrianza for the roster spot.
  14. jorgenswest
    I think Jay is the most likely to get taken. He can be rostered as a LOOGY as well as the usual rule 5 mop up role. It is hard to see where Arraez will fit as a bench player. Teams will still need a back up at SS in addition to him on the bench. He doesn’t offer much as a pinch runner. He doesn’t offer power yet. A team could try to stash him for a year and then put him back in the minors for 2020. I wonder about Navarreto. Is there a parallel to Stuart Turner? Teams can easily roster a good defensive catcher that can’t hit as a back up. They would then return Navarreto to the minors for 2020.
  15. jorgenswest
    The Twins can spend the money elsewhere in free agency. They can try to find a bargain in that middle tier player. The 35 million amounts to a little less than the Twins spent on Nolasco, Hughes and Santana in 2016. They could spend it that way. They did get three good years out of the 14 they committed. I prefer Greinke. I would rather they enter the negotiations ready to take on the full deal. That is going to knock out some of the competition. The Twins have the budget flexibility. The Twins will not be pushing the luxury tax as some teams would in he next three years. The negotiations should then turn to which prospect the Twins will get in return for taking on the full contract. At no point am I asking for the DBacks help with the contract. All that does is bring in other teams. Give me a prospect.If Grienke returns 50 cents on the dollar that is better than what the Twins got from Hughes, Nolasco and Santana. The last time the Twins took a big risk on a 35 year old pitcher worked out OK.
  16. jorgenswest
    Can Arraez play SS? If not, he will be hard to roster. I haven’t seen him play. I know he has also played SS, 3B and LF but they may not be close to major league level. Gordon and Wade would be easy for teams to roster.
  17. jorgenswest
    i think Jay is easier to roster as a rule 5. He pitches left handed and has a favorable platoon split. He could have a role as a LOOGY to go with the mop up role that most rule 5 relievers are given. I would protect him over the other two relievers. I am not sure any of the three need to be protected.
  18. jorgenswest
    Add the three bats and Jay. Do not participate in rule 5. Arraez and Gordon should be locks. The middle infield is too thin and they both are so young. They would be easy adds for other teams. They will need to clear spaces later when they add at least two bats and three pitchers in free agency. Wait until then to designate players like Granite or Duffey.
  19. jorgenswest
    Was Dombrowski there when they drafted Betts, Bradley, Bogaerts, Devers or Benintendi? The Red Sox did a fantastic job of draft and development. The Twins need to work on that development part. Hopefully the new Twins staff can develop the young talent on the Twins.
  20. jorgenswest
    Fun read... The Twins really do have an opportunity to take on salary at the expense of another team’s budget crunch. Let’s hope they turn it to their advantage.
  21. jorgenswest
    The Rays needed space on the 40. Hu was going to be available. Alex Tapia the other player In the trade never made it out of A ball. Jepsen gave them valuable innings as they competed for a play off spot in 2015.
  22. jorgenswest
    I think too many teams will be in a Gonzales given his versatility. I am also concerned that one fantastic year distorts his value. He has 4 other years in his prime centered around 730 OPS and one great year. I would expect around 730 this year and decline from there. He will also decline defensively. His bat won’t play well on a corner as he ages. The Astros have the space to extend him. Why didn’t they? If think he will get three or more years and I don’t want to pay for that decline. I would love to have his 2019 season though.
  23. jorgenswest
    Why not take on the whole contract? The Twins are in better position to do this than most other teams. The Twins can start by expecting a prospect exchange in their favor to take on the whole contract.
  24. jorgenswest
    Falvey has his coaching staff. Falvey has a lot of flexibility with the budget. This is his team now and real progress must be evident this year.
  25. jorgenswest
    I am not counting on Reed rebounding. They need to bring in three relievers to match with May and Rogers. If Reed gives them a sixth guy they can count on no one will be overused.
×
×
  • Create New...