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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. Kluber, Carrasco, Sale, Price and Porcello. There is no way the offense can do enough damage to beat this quintet of Cy Young winners and near winners. Is there?
  2. Tough for me to evaluate also but that doesn’t matter. It better be something Falvey does well and he can’t accept an average manager. They need better.
  3. I don't know. There is so much I don't see in his role. It is critical that Falvey and Levine have made an accurate assessment. The Twins need a top 10 manager. Average isn't good enough.
  4. I would join you with the bullpen being on management. However, I don’t think the data supports an option problem. Duffey, Slegers, Busenitz, Curtis, Moya, Littell and Magill have been optioned one way or the other. Additionally I think Rogers and Hildenberger still have options. I think the problem is lack of talent relative to contending teams. That might stem from... - Inability to recognize and utilize talent of minor leaguers - inability to develop that talent - poor assessment of the talents of veteran free agents - poor use of the talent at the major league level Certainly any expectation that Kinley and Hughes would contribute to an effective bullpen of a contending team was unreasonable.
  5. A significant part of his value as a batter last year was his 13.5% walk rate. Walks don’t translate well to the majors particularly when he hasn’t shown power yet. I still expect to see his power to emerge as he improve in pitch recognition. With the increase in power I think his walk rate will go up. A bat like Chris Iannetta’s is valuable at the catcher position as long as the defense is close to average.
  6. Absolutely correct. He was called up for the first time because he was on the 40 and an option had already been exercised. I might add that the Twins dud error in managing his play in the minors. Short season leagues do not have enough days to count as a full year towards needing to be put on the 40. In 2010 he only played 52 games starting in the Dominican Summer League and ending in the Gulf Coast League. Since the DSL calendar starts before the GCL calendar it resulted in a few extra days (2?) than the number required to be considered short season. Poor management with that season resulted in needing to put him on the 40 a year early.
  7. That is an easy move. If they don’t want Motter now when they have no other options on the 40, when would he help. Whoever comes up has Motter’s spot on the 40. It might be Motter.
  8. Is there a way to be humorous without targeting the player?
  9. He had 77 days at the start of the season. I think he has passed that threshold.
  10. Great. The guy hasn’t played a game for the Twins yet and he is already taking crap from our wonderful fan base. He is an option because he is hitting well. He has started games at third base this year and last and he can play catcher. He has worked hard at low pay to turn himself from organizational filler to a chance to play in the majors.
  11. If Motter isn’t called up now I don’t know when he would ever get the call. If they go with someone else that needs a 40 man spot it ought to be his spot.
  12. Does he need the 10 days or is it different with an outright? He would need that 40 man spot. I guess if they don’t select Motter, Petit can take his 40 man spot.
  13. Astudillo might be that third catcher with some experience at 3B. Motter is on the 40. Gordon has the best future. Which of those three backs up Adrianza and Escobar? Is there anyone else on the current roster that can play SS or 3B?
  14. Needs to be an infielder. Motter is on the 40. Gordon hasn’t done that well in AAA.
  15. The only possible reason is that the front office doesn’t believe that Duffey and Busenitz will not perform well at the major league level. It that is the case, they had last year to make that assessment and it is a critical failure that they did not find better alternatives this winter. On the other hand if they believe either or both can be relievers on a competitive major league team it is a critical failure to keep them in AAA behind Belisle. There is no way I can know whether Duffey or Busenitz have the talent to be a good piece in a bullpen. I do know that the Twins bullpen has cost them more games than reasonable and that responsibility is on the shoulders of the front office and coaching staff.
  16. Do they believe in the AAA relievers? I think it is clear that they don’t believe they can help. Belisle does not set a high bar for them to pass. Partial season minor league stats aren’t very helpful in describing how a player will perform in the majors. They are even less helpful for relievers. Maybe the AAA relievers really aren’t going to be helpful. Either the management fails to recognize a reliever in AAA who can truly make a difference or they have failed to develop a reliever in the minors who can truly make a difference. Whichever the case the Belisle signing shines a light on a critical failure that has crippled this season in close games.
  17. I know it is still not predictive but Adrianza adds a better glove to similar production at the plate. Projecting forward it is important to realize that this is Adrianza’s prime and likely ceiling and Polanco is a few year away from his prime.
  18. I don’t generally pay attention to slash stats in season but Adrianza caught my attention above. Though not predictive for the future, his 101 RC+ and positive defensive metrics thus far are far better than I expected. I am not sure that they should expect better overall production from Polanco.
  19. My plan at catcher this year is play Garver four times a week. My hope is that he earns the job for next year with his performance the remainder of the season. It is way too early to make that call. Castro is not a solution as a starter next year but would be a good backup to Garver. If they can find a better veteran than Rupp or Wilson to pair with Garver this year it would help.
  20. Their hope is in the young former top prospects. They won’t truly contend for a championship without them approaching their upside. I wouldn’t give up on Buxton’s upside until he is 27. I think Sano cares a great deal. I also think he will always have trouble with weight and conditioning and hence injuries. They need to stay the course with Kepler. Their hope is in that trio in combination with the young starters Berrios and Romero being aces. They are the recipe for a championship. The odds are not good but trading off any of the bats for lower ceiling but reliable talent won’t be enough. Stay the course.
  21. It really comes down to how much the Twins believe in Garver as a starter this year and next. If they see him as a back up, go for Realmuto. If they see him as a starter, the one year guys would be a great addition to split time with him in his rookie year. There is so much to learn and so much more prep work at catcher. They should not count on Castro as a reliable solution as a starter next year.
  22. If you believe in his bat patience. If not, look elsewhere. It is way too early to judge his performance based on data. In another 40 plate appearance you might look at strike out and walk rates but even then you have to factor in adjusting to the level. Patience.
  23. I would think 4 games a week would be the right workload if he isn’t hampered by any nagging injuries. Seems like he has been close to the rate since Castro left though I think he was held back one game after taking a foul ball in the knee.
  24. Just looked through signings from last year. There are a few near 74 where teams saved about 125000- 150000 with the pick and were able to add that amount. There is one case where the Mariners paid well below slot and gained 450000 to add to their pool. Realistically would 500K be enough to make a difference? The difference between top 10 money and slot at 20 is far more than 500K. In fact it is far more than the 74 slot value.
  25. At what number would you have sold the pick? Is there a number?
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