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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. jorgenswest
    I think Correa was much more ready with the glove. If Lewis is going to play SS it is going to take longer. If they want his bat sooner they might shift him to RF. I would keep trying to develop Lewis as a SS.
  2. jorgenswest
    He is young. There isn't evidence in the data that he is ready to be successful in the majors yet. He is young enough to develop one of his pitches to the point where he gets more swing and misses. I would keep him on the 40 and plan to use an option him to AAA to start next year regardless of how he performs in a handful of starts.
  3. jorgenswest
    The comment was the third time through. Missing bats is a problem but not specific to the third time through. Missing bats and too much contact can be a problem in the first inning also so I am not sure how your reply is connected to my reply about the third time through.
  4. jorgenswest
    I had to go back and read my original reply. The only stated support for the bullpen career was today’s performance. I think it is foolish to think that a month or two of play is going to tell us anything about a player much less one start. I reacted to the original support. I agree with what your assessment of his career thus far. Had that been the original statement in support I would not have hit reply.
  5. jorgenswest
    i Stewart is young. His strike out rate is trending up. His ceiling is unknown to me.
  6. jorgenswest
    So a ground ball by the second basemen and a chopper to the thirdbasemen that would have been an out at third 99.9% of the time is your evidence that Stewart’s future is in the bullpen.
  7. jorgenswest
  8. jorgenswest
    Was he hit harder the third time through? The 8 and 9 hitters did not have hard contact to start that inning. An average defensive 1B would have stopped the 9 hitter’s single. Third time through Candelaria poked one by the second baseman. It was not barreled up. Inglesias hit a slow chopper to 3B and all Adrianza needs to do is step on 3B. He does lose composure and walk Goodrum. He is taken out and Kepler makes an bad throw on a fly ball in front of him. No runs should have been scored this inning. I saw... A ball an average 1B would make get by Austin. An inexplicably bad play by a 3B not getting an out. A pitcher in his first game losing composure for a batter. A fly ball that an average play from right fielder would not need 4 several to get to the catcher. I did not see batters pounding him the ball the third time through. Did we watch the same game?
  9. jorgenswest
    When changing the pitcher gives you a better chance to get out of the inning and changing the third baseman does not.
  10. jorgenswest
    I don’t think rule 5 or DFA is even a question. I think they had already made a decision to add him to the 40 before they made this decision. They shouldn’t even need to use an option because they can send him back down at a point where there are less than 20 days left in the AAA season.
  11. jorgenswest
    I sure hope they don’t use a short stint in the majors as means of making a decision. They see him pitch every day. His spin rate isn’t going to change when he puts on a major league uniform. His ability to command his fastball isn’t going to change. He isn’t going to lost his ground ball tendencies. I assume he is here because they had already decided that he was going to be put on the 40 this winter and it fit his spot in the rotation well. Maybe his debut is like that of Trevor May or maybe it will be like Andrew Albers. May came up at about the same time in 2014 and was hammered. He still was in their rotation early in 2015. Albers came up in August 2013 and was historically good in his first two starts. Even that Twin organization was smart enough to know that what they were seeing wasn’t what they had in each pitcher. It is a great opportunity for Stewart. The opportunity to get his feet wet is valuable. I hope he does well and gives fans something to hope on.
  12. jorgenswest
    At first I assumed Stewart was up for the year so they don’t burn an option. From reading it sounds like he can go down at some point as long as it is fewer than 20 days. Is that correct? I am encouraged that he received the call. I hope they don’t use an option.
  13. jorgenswest
    He was as high as #8 on their pipeline http://m.mlb.com/prospects/2015?list=oak He is 21 and has had some injuries and significant trouble with command. He is young enough to recover from both and approach his upside when drafted.
  14. jorgenswest
    I don’t disagree. I still have to wonder a little though thinking back to the Astro relievers last year tossing curve ball after curve ball in the playoffs. Could the Astros take his curve ball and develop that pitch into a plus major league pitch?
  15. jorgenswest
    I assume I am wrong about Duffey as most of my thoughts are stats and peripheral based but I think he can be an effective reliever. He was an effective reliever early last year and was used frequently.
  16. jorgenswest
    Field is younger than Austin and Astudillo. They are all within a year. He is also within a year of Cave.
  17. jorgenswest
    ‪Jake Cave on Brian Dozier in the Athletic‬ ‪“He obviously has a good amount of time, has made good money, but he never treated anybody differently,” Cave said. “That was cool to me, being a rookie. He talked to me any time I wanted to talk. He was awesome.”‬ So, Cave was sad to see Dozier go. Cave, though, is trying to continue using the things Dozier taught him on how to conduct himself as a professional baseball player. ‪https://theathletic.com/460105/2018/08/05/twins-sweep-royals-jake-cave-grand-slam-trade-dealine-robbie-grossman-disabled-list/‬
  18. jorgenswest
    It could be Astudillo.
  19. jorgenswest
    If Grossman is out the OF options are limited. Buxton, Granite and Wade on DL.
  20. jorgenswest
    I don’t think he hit well enough to make up for his inability to play other positions. Where did the Twins miss out on the other deals for middle infielders? Schoop is not a rental. Cabrera has played SS and 3B recently (though I think poorly) and will for the Phillies. Kinsler is a fit. He returned 25 and 26 year old AAA relievers. There might be two arguments that the Twins missed an opportunity. 1) They should have traded him to the Red Sox for the relievers. 2) They should have traded him two winters ago for Jose DeLeon. I really enjoyed the run last season. I am glad they kept him in 2017. I prefer their return over the relievers. Time to move on. The market for Dozier was never good.
  21. jorgenswest
    Inherited runners are also a factor in the difference between the ERA+ of starters and relievers.
  22. jorgenswest
    This is correct. The ERA+ of starters as a whole is almost always in that range. It would be folly to project based on WAR or ERA or FIP but the Two s have a bunch more data in order to project next year. If he projects similarly or better they absolutely should take him to arbitration. I am also intrigued by the opener. He might be a good fit for a pitcher to come in following an opener with his reported better success twice through the line up.
  23. jorgenswest
    I agree. I would like to see Curtiss, Busenitz and Duffey. Have they used Duffey as an opener like they did May? I wonder if he would fit in that role. As a starter his first two innings were his best.
  24. jorgenswest
    If the Twins have a 5 man starting rotation, Garver should be catching 3 of those starters. I think they moved to that 60% at the break. He doesn’t need more game work to continue his improvement. He will need to continue the hard work off the field. I think there is still a lot to learn from Wilson. I would keep him through the season.
  25. jorgenswest
    I am not sure the data supports holding up for a full season last year. Slash stats in a partial season are not useful. His strike out and walk rates in July of 2017 were pretty much in line or been better though his slash stats had fallen. This year those rates are much worse in AAA. I think it is pitch recognition at a level where the pitchers are throwing a lot of breaking balls and off speed pitches. He has had that trouble in AAA from the day he arrived in May long before the second half.
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