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Twinfan603

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Everything posted by Twinfan603

  1. Twinfan603
    Just spitballing as we near the deadline, but the Padres are very motivated to move off Hosmer's salary after the Soto deal. He's still a decent bat and $40 mil over 3 seasons isn't THAT much. I'd call them up and offer them a Hosmer for Sano swap (to get his salary off the books), along with a 10-18 range prospect like Ryan Bergert, Brandon Valenzuela, or Victor Acosta. Am I crazy or might this be a decent move? Would the Padres agree to this given their need to cut significant salary?
  2. Twinfan603
    The board really has opened up for them. Need to draft Parada, Lee, or Collier.
  3. Twinfan603
    Shoot Pagan into the sun.
  4. Twinfan603
    If they aren't going to put Duffey on the 10-day IL with a phantom injury to give him one last shot, they need to cut bait now. His stuff looked like garbage yesterday and it just isn't worth it anymore, no matter how much the guys in the locker room like him.
  5. Twinfan603
    I'm not saying the position is easy itself, but I don't see how anyone can argue it's a tougher play than any of the other infield spots. If a guy can't play SS, 3B, or 2B, they simply won't ever be able to. And yet many (though not all) can learn to at least manage 1B. Again, this isn't to diminish the role, but the barriers to entry are much lower than the other positions. Sano learned it just fine. So has Arraez this year. Can you imagine trying to recast someone as a 3B on-the-fly?
  6. Twinfan603
    Seeing as this approach hasn't worked out before, it'd be a shame to see them do it again. Winning a bad AL Central and then getting smacked in the playoffs because you refused to even try to match up with the big boys is not a fruitful approach. With Martin having a seriously worrying year and a lot of the pitching prospects carrying legit injury concerns, in addition to positional overlap between a lot of the position player sides, the team needs to cash in at least a few prospects or be left holding the bag. Also, if they get down to 32 spots in the offseason, that may not be enough to protect everyone worthwhile and still have spots to bring in FAs. The FO has to be proactive about this.
  7. Twinfan603
    I included Camargo since he is the youngest of the Twins notable catching prospects and showed real growth this year, so I wanted to account for more improvement. Teams tend to take fliers on catchers, so I agree at least 1 of him or Isola will need o be protected. The 2019 draft class is a strong one and others could be considered, but these were the names that jumped out to me. The team can't protect 10 guys, so keeping an eye on eligible ones in the next couple months will be intriguing. If the FO is smart, they'll use some of them as trade-package enhancers to kill 2 birds with 1 stone.
  8. Twinfan603
    The 40-man roster is already crowded and there will be a lot of tough decisions in the offseason to trim it down. With that being said, I count as many as 8 potential prospects who'll need to be added or exposed to the Rule 5 Draft in December (following this resource: https://www.fangraphs.com/roster-resource/depth-charts/twins) -Spencer Steer (AAA) -Matt Wallner (AA) -Eduoard Julien (AA) -Jair Camargo (AA) -Matt Canterino (AA) -Simeon Woods-Richardson (AA) -Louie Varland (AA) -Sawyer Gibson-Long (A+) Now, Camargo, SGL, & even Varland might be seen as stretches, people who would probably not immediately get poached if left unprotected, but the other 5 most definitely need to be added. The question then, with trade season starting soon, is which of these guys can be cashed in trade-wise to land someone good and proactively trim the very crowded 40-man. Is Kirilloff/Martin, Steer, Canterino, and Varland enough for Montas or someone similar?
  9. Twinfan603
    I'm not saying to ship him out regardless, only if his inclusion can help land a high-quality SP with control beyond 2022, which the team desperately needs. Agree his ability to play 1B well does mean there is room for everyone, but 1B is also one of the easiest positions to fill given the availability of mashers who can't play defense out there.
  10. Twinfan603
    A good problem to have, for once. People may disagree with me strongly here, but I'd be all for using Kirilloff as major trade bait. Ain't gonna get Frankie or Castillo or any other big fish without some value, and with a crowded outfield with surplus value, a trade should start there. Let's just hope he keeps mashing AAA to get his stock up further, but long-term I prefer Larnach to AK, and even Celestino's emergence makes it easier to ship him out if the return is a good SP. I certainly wouldn't rush Royce back either, bone bruises can be nasty.
  11. Twinfan603
    Are the Twins cursed? Don't have any problems with Stashak, but he's going to be 29 at the start of next season and doesn't really have an established track record. Will be very surprised if he is not DFA'd in the offseason, just with the sheer number of people who'll need to go/stay on the 40-man.
  12. Twinfan603
    Wonder when CES will move up to AA. There's certainly a log jam ahead of him, but he clearly has nothing left to prove at A+. Think Steer should get the bump to AAA & CES to AA within the next couple weeks. On a downer note, I think we can finally close the book on Sabato and Javier. It's not gonna happen for either of them (and I don't have hope for Cavaco either, but he's young, so I'll give him more time). I just don't get how Sabato, who played well in the ACC, could come in and have a terrible year and a half playing A & A+ ball. Feels like every game he goes 0-4 with 2 Ks. Please no more lumbering "power" types in the first few rounds.
  13. Twinfan603
    It was definitely tough to give away Rodgers, and with Paddack out for the year and Pagan intent on pushing everyone's blood pressure through the roof, for 2022 this trade is a lose. I won't close the book on 2023 though, especially since it was unlikely the team was going to re-sign Rodgers. One more thing to note: the Mets had a somewhat similar deal in place, and axed it after seeing Paddack's medicals. That fact cannot be ignored, because Falvine knew his arm was sketchy and took a massive risk anyway. I don't honestly believe they fully intended 2022 to be a balls-to-the-wall year to compete, but didn't want to admit only pushing a few chips into the middle of the table because of the backlash.
  14. Twinfan603
    Vallimont should be the first to be taken off since he's a level below, doubt anyone would claim him. With the roster crunch they have, that might come within the next week or so. What strikes me overall is how many of the top 15 are already with the Twins. Most of those guys are going to lose their prospect status soon, so the midseason prospect rankings are going to look much, much different.
  15. Twinfan603
    Duran's got immense promise, but he won't be a starter long-term. Instead of running him in the bullpen this year though, the Twins should dangle him as one of the main pieces in a Montas/Manaea trade.
  16. Twinfan603
    If you want to get frustrated about the Pohlads being too cheap to sign impact free agents for $50+ million, that's totally fair, but trying to criticize the team for being cheap with non-tenders isn't. The team doesn't care about a million bucks--they just gave Cave almost that much and DFA'd him within like a week. This is about roster spots, and they badly needed a few to sign legit free agents. Coulombe is AAAA filler and Megill is a flier. If you want to be upset with cutting Minaya, so be it, but he's a journeyman with no options and not a ton of upside, despite pretty good production last year during the hopeless second half. Take the 3 roster spots and go acquire some free agent pitching and a shortstop. Even freeing up a single roster spot extra will be hard, as it will require cutting someone with some promise like Rooker, Thorpe, or Stashak.
  17. Twinfan603
    They clearly like him, and teams will often claim guys and then try to sneak them through waivers at a later point. This is exactly what the Rangers did to get Colina. With the flood of guys available now after the non-tender deadline, I'd bet Megill clears and can go to St. Paul without taking up a roster spot. edit: Actually now I see this is different from a DFA to clear a roster spot more traditionally. I'm still betting they try to get him to AAA without a 40-spot, somehow, if that's possible.
  18. Twinfan603
    We knew a few days ago that the FA market was hotter than expected despite a looming lockout, and more pitchers continue to come off the board. DeScalafani signed 3/36, Alex Wood signed ~2/20+, Matz is going to sign in the next couple days and the Twins aren't even in on him, and there are rumors Stroman might sign before Thanksgiving too (and the Twins are nowhere to be found in these rumors). The team has no shot at the upper echelon guys like Scherzer, Kershaw, and Gausman, and Robbie Ray seems likely to stay in Toronto. Things are already looking bleak as the market empties and the team has yet to even seriously be connected to any major FA pitcher. They better have one hell of a trade for a starter coming, otherwise this offseason is gonna be ugly in retrospect.
  19. Twinfan603
    You are flat-out wrong here. Berrios, by virtually every metric, has been one of the 15 best starting pitchers in baseball the past 5 years. He's durable as hell and shows no signs of falling off in the near future. Throwing out the $11 in arbitration he'd get this year, the 6/120 contract is quite team-friendly. $20 a year for a guy who's going to give you 180+ good innings every year and be a respectable choice to start Game 1 or 2 of a playoff series is an absolute steal. E-Rod just got nearly $16 a year--starting pitching is expensive. This FO is being way too cute with this stuff. If Buxton was a free agent this year he'd get multiple offers in excess of 6/150. Stop being cheap and pay the man: he wants to be here.
  20. Twinfan603
    This had to be done. Even with Colome's numbers evening out at the end of the year, he'll still go down (rightfully) as one of the worst Twins FA signings in history.
  21. Twinfan603
    Syndergaard has all but confirmed he will take the QO if the Mets extend it, so not really a chance to get him sadly.
  22. Twinfan603
    E-Rod is going to get way more to 2/24; if you're not offering at least 4/65 his agent is hanging up on you. Rodon is interesting, but like others have said, very risky. A 5-year deal is too much of a commitment to someone with his injury history. Overpaying is fine, but make it a 2/50 contract then to minimize long-term fallout. Don't like the idea of trading Sands one bit. He's legit, no matter what his ranking is, and giving away our own good pitching prospects is simply not a good idea no matter what the return is, given the team isn't in win-now mode. You want to send Kepler to Miami for 1 of those pitchers, that's fine by me though.
  23. Twinfan603
    I don't think Verlander will agree to come here after the Twins finished in last place. Gray & Manaea intrigue me, although the word is that Gray wants a 4-year deal, and he'll likely get that, so you'd need to add an extra guaranteed year or bump the salary to entice him. I strongly disagree about Dobnak being in the bullpen. I'm not saying you pencil him in for a rotation spot, but I just don't think his stuff plays up in the bullpen, and the new regime totally threw him off this year. I'm not sure if he has an option year remaining, but to me he profiles as a great #5 starter who can efficiently soak up 5-6 innings every 5th day without getting completely shellacked. He's not gonna be dominant, but he'll keep you in games for the most part. If he's out of options I might roll with a 6-man rotation just to give him a month under ideal conditions to evaluate his future here long-term.
  24. Twinfan603
    Being completely realistic, the Twins don't have the money to sign a good LF if they also need a SS, 2 SPs, and bullpen help, which everyone agrees are priorities. If they re-sign Buxton long-term (which they should), there's no reason to spend more than $5 mil on a LF when other options exist internally. If they sign Taylor, it should be to play SS for 2022 to bridge the gap to Royce. I am dubious that Taylor would be willing to sign with an 89-loss Twins team however. LF then has Larnach, Rooker, and Arraez mostly cycling through. Sure the defense would be bad, but it gives you time to evaluate Rooker & Larnach completely and keep Arraez's bat in the lineup on some days.
  25. Twinfan603
    God I hate the Yankees...
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