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prouster

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Everything posted by prouster

  1. prouster
    So in this scenario they keep Miranda, who can maybe play one position, rather than Lewis, who can play at least three?
  2. prouster
    I didn’t watch the game, but looking at Jax’s stat line reminds me a little of Carlos Silva back in the day. I would be more than satisfied if Jax had a career like his (I’m sure Jax would be happy with it too). There’s no doubt Polanco is the leader of the team right now. He’s coming into his own as a veteran after some rough patches earlier in his career. The guy is a ball player. It’s in his blood.
  3. prouster
    Disagree. Preller started his tenure with a lot of splashy moves that blew up in his face, including a couple awful contracts that he can’t get rid of. Lately a longer plan has started to bear fruit—something many on this website don’t want to see happen with Falvey. Cashman has unlimited resources and can’t put together a decent pitching staff. No one expected SF to compete this year (kinda like the Twins in 2017). You got me with Tampa. Their strategy is the exact one some people here have been complaining about with the Berrios trade. They get rid of guys before they’re expensive and depend on pre-arb players to step up.
  4. prouster
    In response to a general theme in this thread and to no poster in particular: Yes, Falvey and Levine inherited a core of young position players. But none of those players were close to finished products. They had to rebuild Buxton and Sano basically from scratch. Kepler had yet to have a breakout season. Berrios had some big question marks despite his promise. Garver was still in the minors. Rogers was an unremarkable minor league starter. It was not inevitable that any of those guys would turn into legitimate Major Leaguers. The current FO’s player development system certainly played a role in getting the most out of the current core. Pitching has been a struggle, but I think there’s more than enough upside in the high minors to be optimistic going forward.
  5. prouster
    I agree in general. That said, I was on the Joe Musgrove train and felt pretty disappointed when he went to San Diego. I'm not sure if the Twins ever checked in on him, but he would have been a terrific addition. I'm hoping they do a lot more on the trade market this coming off-season. John Means in Baltimore would be a good trade candidate. I also think they should consider Glasnow, who is going to miss next season (or at least most of it) recovering from Tommy John surgery. The Rays might be willing to part with him in order to avoid paying him during a year of rehab. In any case, I think Nick gives a fair assessment of the situation in the article. While a pitching development program was a huge selling point for Falvey, I don't think we can wave away the botched free agent signings. That's part of his job, too. But overall I think he and Levine have done a good job, at least as good as any alternative would do. Except for Andrew Friedman, and, well, I don't think we'll be prying him away from the Dodgers any time soon.
  6. prouster
    If people get this mad when the Twins win a meaningless game in early August, I can’t imagine how angry they’ll be the next time they win the World Series
  7. prouster
    I don’t think fielding a triple-A team will keep casual fans engaged. At all. They aren’t just trying to “see what they have.” They’re a pro ball club trying to win games. It’s a lost season, but that doesn’t mean they shouldn’t try and compete.
  8. prouster
    Do you have any recent examples of guys going from college to MLB in their draft year? I can only think of Chris Sale, who isn’t that recent anymore. And how does your idea explain pitchers like Scherzer and DeGrom?
  9. prouster
    At this point Elijah Green is commonly thought to be the crown jewel of the 2022 draft class. The Twins would likely need to pick first in order to get him, unless something changes over the next year (highly likely). Other than Green I don’t know much about next year’s prospects. Thanks for this list.
  10. prouster
    Who is this Burns guy that apparently pitched today?
  11. prouster
    You’re talking about a guy the Twins have signed in free agency twice. He’s literally the worst example you could use.
  12. prouster
    Sorry. I guess I should check the threads! My bad.
  13. prouster
    It would sure complicate the question of who starts games next year.
  14. prouster
    Lol, I shouldn’t speak too soon. Heyman says they’re listening to offers on Maeda.
  15. prouster
    I’m curious how people think the rotation will shake out next year. Right now we’re looking at: 1. Maeda 2. ? 3. ? 4. ? 5. ? I’d assume Barnes and Ober might slot into a couple of those places. If I was calling the shots, I’d bring up Balazovic in September and toss him in the deep end next spring. I can see why others wouldn’t, though. So we might be looking at something like: Maeda Ober Barnes ? (Balazovic) ? Ryan, the other Tampa pitcher, Dobnak, Smeltzer, Winder, and Thorpe will probably be in the mix. By my estimation, they’ll need to bring in at least two established starting pitchers. Pineda is a good candidate. I’d like to see them package a couple of these prospects for another. Means in Baltimore would be a guy to check on. I’d also ask the Rays if they’d part with Glasnow. He has 2.5 years before free agency and is spending at least one of those on the IL.
  16. prouster
    No, but there are economic realities that all but a handful of teams must confront. I don’t know why you’d expect the Twins to suddenly start spending at the top of the league. (This is all I’ll say on the matter, because it comes up literally every week in this website. It’s tedious, and no one has anything new or constructive to add.)
  17. prouster
    This is just how player acquisition works (unless you’re the Dodgers or Yankees). I’m afraid you’re in for a lot more disappointment.
  18. prouster
    I like the trade. I’m grateful for the years that Berrios gave the Twins, and I wish him luck in Toronto. Woods-Richardson seems like he could become something like Berrios if he develops well. It’s impressive that he’s already at AA at such a young age. Martin is a terrific get. I wouldn’t worry about his position. He can play all over the diamond. Fangraphs gives him a Zobrist comp in their write up of him. Great trade.
  19. prouster
    Dan Hayes of the Athletic has reported that guaranteed money isn’t the issue. It’s the structuring of the incentives. Sure seems like a deal can come together, if not now then during the offseason. It’s not a foregone conclusion at all that Buxton will hit free agency in 2022.
  20. prouster
    Right. Over their careers there are some similarities, but at the moment it’s not close. If both players were to retire today, I don’t think there would be much disagreement that Buxton has had the better peak.
  21. prouster
    I agree with some of this, but I don't think there's any plausible way to bend the numbers so that Buxton and Hicks are similarly effective players. They have both battled injuries throughout their careers, they have a similar career OPS+, and they play center field. I think that's where the similarities end. Hicks has historically been quite a bit better getting on base, but Buxton has hit for extra bases at a much higher rate (Hicks = .399 career slugging, Buxton = .453; over the last three seasons Buxton has slugged .581 while Hicks has slugged .410). Career-wise, some of the batted ball data is similar, but over the last several years it has tilted heavily in Buxton's favor (see attached images). This reflects what analysts and scouts almost universally agree on: Buxton has elite talent, and over the last few seasons he has finally started to tap into that talent. This is not to mention Buxton's superior defensive and base running abilities. Lastly, I don't agree at all that Hicks has settled into a 120-ish OPS+ range. That's what he's put up the last few years, but that number is way, way down this year in part due to injuries. Hicks is 31. It's quite likely his best days are behind him. The bottom line is that Hicks has been worth approximately as much over the last three seasons as Buxton has been for a third or so of this season alone. Buxton is a superior player and it's not particularly close. I'm not arguing that Hicks is bad, but that Buxton is elite.
  22. prouster
    Hicks’ career OPS+ is 98. I can see how cherry-picking stats makes them seem like equal players, though.
  23. prouster
    Lol, I strongly disagree.
  24. prouster
    One thing these numbers absolutely don’t say is that Buxton and Hicks are equal caliber players.
  25. prouster
    Interesting. Maybe you could take to him about trading Berrios for a couple top 100 prospects close to the Majors?
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