Except that's not how it works. You can't just bank 85 wins from one season, sprinkle in some players you hope will be okay, expect young players to just continue getting better (cause progression for young ball players is not linear) and then say there's 90 or more wins the next season. Just doesn't work that way. 1. Got to truly evaluate the team and wonder if we got lucky to win that many games based on the talent we had. Did we expect to win 85 games after the amount we won the year before? 2. Have to remember while we are working to improve our team in the offseason, so are other teams. 3. Remember other teams might have under-performed their talent and don't just expect them to do it again. 4. Remember other teams might have young players also expecting to take the next step. 5. Remember other teams might have quality players coming back from injury. 6. Remember we had quality players who, before the season started, we KNEW we weren't going to have for a good chunk of time. 7. And probably many, MANY other things that could be mentioned if I had more time. In other words, our attempt to improve our team doesn't happen while every other team stands pat and does nothing. IMO, you have to forget last year's record completely. It means nothing. Have to first start with comparing your rotation to other teams' rotations, cause MOST (not all) of the time, true contenders have truly good/great rotations. Second, compare position players to the best team in your division and the other truly good/great teams in the AL. Third compare relief corp too. Four, compare depth in pitching staff and position players, both on the active roster and MLB ready in the minors. It's just not as easy as saying, well, we had 85 wins, grabbed some players, and all of our young guys are just going to keep improving. WAAAAY too many other things to consider.