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jimmer

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Everything posted by jimmer

  1. jimmer
    mussina and schilling are nowhere near on their first ballots. They have each been on the ballot multiple years
  2. jimmer
    Jack Morris had a career ERA+ of 105. 105. Only 5% above league average. His FIP: 3.95 5.83K/9. 3.27BB/9 His WAR:55.8 Mussina and Schilling are way above him. WAY. For those that like wins and losses (or is it just wins, excluding losses) his win % is .577. Well below Schilling and Mussina. I know a lot of Twins fans love him for the one World Series with us, but he wasnt even a great playoff pitcher for his career. Schilling was easily a better regular season and post season pitcher.
  3. jimmer
    Walker's road OPS is better than Rice's lifetime overall OPS. And OPS+ factors in ballpark and take into account where a player ranked during his playing time. Walker sits at 141 OPS+ (15th overall for RFs), Rice OPS+ was 128. And Walker was a great defender and very good on the bases too.
  4. jimmer
    you remember Mussina spent his prime years in Baltimore, right? And it is not like his winning% was higher in NY than it was in Baltimore, cause it wasn't. Personally,I couldnt care at all about wins and losses. I am not the one that argued Glavines win totals should matter (or that anybodys win totals should matter,period), but if it does, then winning% should matter too when comparing pitchers. Certainly if total wins matter, total losses should also be looked at. Only 13 HOF starting pitchers have a better winning % than Mussina. And I am not sure anyone argued Mussina deserved to be a first ballot HOFer, just that Glavine didnt deserve to be and that Mussina was better. While Mussina MAY have gotten more run support in his career (and I am not sure that is true) he also pitched in the harder league (where DHs bat instead of pitchers), in the toughest division against superior lineups, and still had a better FIP, better ERA+, better WHIP, better K% and better BB%. And yeah, Blyleven should have been a slam dunk HOFer. Then again, I have always said that.
  5. jimmer
    Mussina has 82 WAR (that is a ton. That should get you in no matter what team you play on). Schilling 80 WAR. Glavine only 67 WAR (even though he played quite a bit longer than the other two) Mussina 3.57 FIP, Schilling 3.23 FIP, Glavine 3.95 FIP. Mussina ERA+ of 123, Schilling ERA+ of 127, Glavine ERA+ of 118. Mussina 7.11K, 1.98BB, Schilling 8.60K, 1.96BB, Glavine 5.32K, 3.06BB. For those who care about wins and losses, Mussina had a .638 winning %. Glavine was at .600 and Schilling at .597. But Glavine gets in first ballot. A win accumulator who stuck around a long time to get to 300 wins. Fortunate to be on great teams with great teamates in the rotation, 'Big Three'
  6. jimmer
    It bothers me that a guy like Larry Walker can't get it but they'll let in Vlad (likely), Rice and other players who are clearly inferior. And the fact that Schilling and Mussina are still waiting while lesser pitchers like Glavine get in first ballot (due to a narrative created by the media) is pretty disgusting too.
  7. jimmer
    At work, this site pops up as an unsafe site. And when I access it on my phone, weird stuff pops up if I am on for any decent amount of time.
  8. jimmer
    that and assuming he will continue to be a 40 home run guy seems wishful thinking at best.
  9. jimmer
    Some sites ranks guys higher when they are closer to the majors (like MLB.COM). Baseball America (along with many sites) haven't even released their pre-2017 listings yet (I think it's good to wait to quote sites rankings after they take into account what the players did in 2016), but post 2016 season, Fangraphs has him #6 Dodgers prospect and Alvarez #1.
  10. jimmer
    After the 2015 season, I pointed out in here that I had thought Gibson had gotten worse compared to how he did in 2014 and I highly recommended trading him while he still might have some value and we could get some sucker to take him off our hands. I had him and Rosario as the players who would disappoint the most based on some people's expectations. And then 2016 happened and now we are stuck with him (until/unless the FO does a Plouffe on him next offseason).
  11. jimmer
    A much better idea to see him leave after two seasons and get nothing. And Dozier isn't close to what Killebrew was. Dozier is 30 early into next season and has had one season with a wRC+ over 120. Killebrew was 23 when he had his first season with a wRC+ over 120 and then he had 13 more in a row. All 14 of those seasons, Harmon had a higher wRC+ than Dozier just did in his career year. In fact, Harmon's career wRC+ is 10 points higher than Dozier's was during his career season.
  12. jimmer
    Between Kendrick, Ethier, Guerrero and Crawford, I think the Dodgers shed around 50M after 2017 season. Then another 23M after the 2018 season when AGone is gone.
  13. jimmer
    Are we pretending Gibson has actual value in a trade to a team like the Dodgers (or any team, really)?
  14. jimmer
    for the 30 or so games he plays for however many innings he throws, true. the best throw maybe 15-16% of a teams innings in a season.
  15. jimmer
    There isn't a player in MLB I would take over Trout. Most valuable player in the game. Pitchers still need the catcher to help manage the game plan, the defense to field the ball and the offense to score runs for him. No one player carries a team, regardless of position, regardless of the traditional thinking we've been taught.
  16. jimmer
    Sherlock returns tonight. Season 4 on PBS
  17. jimmer
    If De Leon and Alvarez were on the table and we don't do the trade because of haggling over other pieces, it's a major fail by our new FO.
  18. jimmer
    I'm sorry but, IMO, De Leon and Stewart for Dozier is fair.
  19. jimmer
    I hope everyone who is advocating keeping Dozier if the Dodgers don't overspend for him won't be the same people who complain when we get less for him next offseason or nothing for him when he leaves after two seasons. Two years of Dozier, even at the salary he will be getting, isn't worth 3 top Dodgers prospects. Dodgers shouldn't give up De Leon and Bellinger for him and I highly doubt they will.
  20. jimmer
    Yeah, I don't know why it would be considered meaningless and I haven't heard/read that, but I have no doubt some have said/thought that. But this probably should stop being a discussion about non-traditional stats.
  21. jimmer
    No, you're right. the more predictive stat would be xFIP as opposed to ERA (the worst predictor of future ERA) and FIP. That is, of course, if what you're trying to do is predict future ERA, for whatever reason. Only SIERA has a better correlation to future ERA.
  22. jimmer
    except that when doing that, many just figure ERA tells us what the pitcher did, and they judge him on that.
  23. jimmer
    People always talk about under-performing or out-performing his FIP. One day, we're going to stop thinking FIP needs to match up with ERA eventually as if ERA is the superior stat all along. Considering ERA is heavily influenced by a team's defense and scorers judgment, it's never going to be the stat that truly judges how a pitcher did.
  24. jimmer
    and his FIP as a starter in 2015 was 3.35. AT the time he was demoted, easily the best of all the starters. He was on his way to being a possible 4 WAR starting pitcher when he was demoted. In only 16 starts he got 1.8.
  25. jimmer
    He's still laughing about the contract Ryan gave him after one outlier season.
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