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dxpavelka

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Everything posted by dxpavelka

  1. dxpavelka
    advanced analytics are an excellent means of predicting the past
  2. dxpavelka
    Don't know why folks are so surprised. We scored fewer than 700 runs last year and did nothing to improve the offense. The fact that the offense is not improved is not shocking. Solano STILL stuck on FIVE rbi. On a positive note, Garlick being send across the river.
  3. dxpavelka
    Berrios solid. Woods-Richardson, not so much. who'dathunkit
  4. dxpavelka
    We've likewise yearned for a 4th (or maybe even 3rd OF) since dumping Rosario. Sometimes foolish to move a vet without somebody playing him completely off the roster.
  5. dxpavelka
    A spark looks like a guy who plays with heart and brings stuff to the table that stats and metrics can't measure. We haven't had that since we moved on from Eddie Rosario & Nelson Curz.
  6. dxpavelka
    Couldn't agree more. Hate to keep harping on the same points over and over again but Eddie Rosario is a perfect example. We moved on from him for nothing to save $8 Million, in part because we had "an overabundance of corner OF talent." First of off, I'm old enough to remember a time when fans of this team would scream and holler about "cheap ownership" getting rid of a proven performer to save $8 Million. Actually we'd have whined about substantially lower savings. And, yes, I know. He's absolutely sucked since he left. All he's managed to do is win a World Series and make a second playoff appearance. Know what else he's done? Outperform most of the collection of stiffs we've put in LF for the last two and a half years prior to Larnach showing a pulse this year. The play in 2021 SHOULD have been to keep him and let somebody play him off the roster. Moves like that are why we've spent the last two years WATCHING the playoffs. Polanco's a great example of the same situation playing itself out in the coming years. Do we move on from him this off season and declare the one of Lewis or Brooks Lee play that spot going forward or do we keep him AND bring up one of the kids and give both playing time until the kid(s?) play him off the roster? Your move Mr. FalVine.
  7. dxpavelka
    Seems like less than a month ago I was getting roasted on this site for mentioning the fact that we're nearly two years in to the Berrios trade and thus far have ZERO return to show for it. Never an egg timer when you need one.
  8. dxpavelka
    85 wins and a deep post-season run is in play as well.
  9. dxpavelka
    The Twins biggest competition in this division is the Twins. Starting pitching, hitting and bullpen all need to work in harmony. They don't. End of story.
  10. dxpavelka
    Can't make soup out of WPA.
  11. dxpavelka
    FIVE
  12. dxpavelka
    Say what you want but 5 RBIs in 106 plate appearances describes a lack of production. Yes, opportunity may factor in but to call it something other than a lack of production is foolhardy.
  13. dxpavelka
    Advanced metrics are an excellent way of predicting the past. FIVE RBI is actual production. Or lack thereof.
  14. dxpavelka
    Kepler's got the equivalent of a full season in CF over the course of his career and has been solid if not spectacular there. Seems we have a plethora of corner options. Move him over if need be.
  15. dxpavelka
    I know, right? Hard to imagine where we'd be without Solano's 5 RBI.
  16. dxpavelka
    I always love the fact that these types of articles always overlook the fact that signing with the Twins in no way shape or form means any given player would do or would have done the same thing here that they did elsewhere. Sure we all want to believe that, probably mostly so we can believe that we are smarter than the actual folks that make the decisions but those thoughts are just not grounded in reality.
  17. dxpavelka
    Less a matter of most of those guys "struggling" and more a matter of most of them not being all that good at baseball.
  18. dxpavelka
    Rear view assumes it's behind you, hasn't passed you and is gaining fast.
  19. dxpavelka
    YOU OR I could be better than a 60 plate appearance season. And as far as Sano's second to last season, Gallo's number were pretty much the same, except Gallo's average was 25 points lower and he struck out 30 more times.
  20. dxpavelka
    Lot season between now and that outcome. More likely that he regresses to the mean and ends up a lot closer to Sano's last couple full season average of 32 home runs or if you'd like to translate 2020 over a full season the 35 home runs that would have been. Any improvement over even average Sano will end up being nominal.
  21. dxpavelka
    We had Dave Kingman. We use to call him Miguel Sano. We now call him Joey Gallo.
  22. dxpavelka
    Mid June is right in the rear view mirror.
  23. dxpavelka
    Advanced analytics are an excellent way of predicting the past.
  24. dxpavelka
    Have to assume that some of the improvement in our pitching, especially the starting pitching, can be attributed to him but also can't ignore an OPS barely over .500 when the rest of the lineup is scuffling and the other guy is pushing .900
  25. dxpavelka
    The Dyson trade wasn't a win but it wasn't really a loss either. Gave up Jaylin Davis. Pretty sure our fortunes were not negatively impacted by losing him. Fun fact about the Garcia trade: He won more games as a Twin that year than he did as a Yankee. Seems nobody but me wants to call out the Berrios trade. Yeah, I know, I know. His numbers in Toronto this year and last don't scream "a guy we should have kept." But saying he would have done here what he did there is just lazy. And he WAS rock solid for Toronto down the stretch that first year. I said when we made that deal that with any luck we'd need to trade for a similar guy a year hence. And sure enough a year later, the Mahle deal.
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