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chpettit19

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Everything posted by chpettit19

  1. chpettit19
    If a few extra rest days in the middle of the month would help, and the team is maintaining a 5+ game lead in the division, sure, give him a couple extra days off here and there, but I'd want nothing to do with an IL stint or anything like that. A day a week off? Sure. Multiple days a week off? No. He needs to stay healthy, but he also needs to keep his timing. See what the standings look like after this Cleveland/Texas run and rest everyone a little extra through the end of the year. But make sure your top guys are still getting plenty of work as you head into the playoffs so their timing is as good as it can be at the plate.
  2. chpettit19
    While I agree both were atrocious base running blunders, Kepler's ball would've been a lineout with a runner on 2nd. That ball only landed because they were playing no doubles defense. With how close they were playing with guys on 2nd in extras that's not a hit. And definitely not one Solano scores on. No idea what Solano was doing on that play, though. Just a really weird, and awful, decision on his part.
  3. chpettit19
    Dang, @Riverbrian bringing the A game on this one! Well done. I think @stringer bell has the timelines pretty well mapped out for September, but I will disagree with Paddack making the postseason roster. I think his spot will go to a position player instead. And I'd like to see Floro replaced by a lefty. That could be matchup specific, though, and change round to round. My problem is I don't trust any of the lefty options available. Most of the left handed hitters we're likely to face early in the postseason are simply great hitters and aren't super susceptible to platoon splits so maybe it isn't as huge of a deal. But I do like at least 2 lefties in my postseason pen to help with mix and matching late. The September roster moves, and lineup/pitching usage will be interesting to follow. Hopefully we can get to the point where they're all more or less healthy in the middle of the month and see what decisions this FO makes when they're forced to make tough decisions. I doubt it happens, but it'd be nice to see who they think their best 28 are. As for the playoffs, I just hope they don't get matchup/platoon happy. After the 2020 postseason they said they learned they needed to do things a little differently in the postseason than they did in the regular season. Let's hope they remembered that lesson and we get to see it in October.
  4. chpettit19
    The bare bones basics are that you need to be on the 40-man or 60-day IL by 11:59 PM Eastern time on August 31 to be postseason eligible.
  5. chpettit19
    Correct. At least that's my understanding. Someone can correct me if I'm wrong. Have to be on the 40-man or 60-day IL before the clock strikes 12 AM on September 1 to be playoff eligible. May be some funny injury replacement things in there, but that's the general gist of things.
  6. chpettit19
    I don't need him on the 26-man before September, but I think they should consider putting him on the 40-man in the next couple days to get him playoff eligible to give themselves another possible bench weapon in October. I don't know where they're at with their plans to keep certain guys after this season, but I have to assume he's taking a 40-man spot this offseason so there should be a pretty straight forward path to just getting him on there now. I'm quite positive we won't be seeing Buxton, Castro, or Kirilloff on the September 1 roster so I'd think you could get Martin on the 40-man before September 1, and get him on the 26-man to start September before replacing him with the first IL return guy. I don't expect any of this to happen, but it's what I'd do.
  7. chpettit19
    I think a big question is how many pitchers are they going to carry in September and October. I think it's easier to get Martin, Buxton, and Kirilloff on the playoff roster together than it is to get them on the September roster together as I assume the pitching staff will be whittled way down in October so there those 3 replace Gallo, Luplow, and a RP. Maybe that still works if they're not planning on adding an arm to the September roster when they get their 2 extra spots, though? I would, but they've also simply refused to pitch Sands and Winder types for entire weeks so maybe it isn't necessary if they're just going to waste another roster spot on a guy they never use.
  8. chpettit19
    When was he physically unable to run? My understanding is that it's always been about the amount of running his body could handle. Maybe I'm just understanding the messaging differently than you and some others? My understanding has always been that they wanted to maximize his ABs (pretty sure those exact words have been said by Falvey, Rocco, and Buxton) while keeping him in the lineup as much as possible for the entire season. That's always been the messaging I've been aware of since those are almost direct quotes from Buxton himself. Now "the entire season" is going to be less than 30 games before he's back (plus the playoffs). I think that changes things, but I recognize that others have interpreted the messaging differently, and have different opinions on his health in general.
  9. chpettit19
    Boras client Carlos Gonzalez signed a 7 year, $80 million deal when he was still pre-arb with the Rockies. Sticking with the Carlos theme, Gomez was a Boras client who also signed away free agent years before he hit the market. Jered Weaver. Elvis Andrus. Stephen Strasburg. Jose Altuve. Xander Bogaerts. All Boras clients who signed before they hit the open market. Like you said, it's all about what Lewis wants. I highly doubt Boras would advise Lewis to sign after this year, but within the next 2 or 3? Not out of the realm of possibility at all.
  10. chpettit19
    They can figure out general high and low ends, but those high and low ends can be 10 million apart. Now if they have no plans to sign anyone else to deals that last through his arb years that doesn't really matter. But I'd hope that is an option they keep on the table for the right situation. In that case that 10 million is a pretty substantial gap.
  11. chpettit19
    Lewis is definitely the all-around star type player that teams look at doing this with, but his injuries make me think the Twins would come in at a number much lower than he'd want. It's hard to find that balance between team security and player getting close to their worth with a guy who's missed this much time. Hard to tell what the market will be doing in the future and if those 10 year deals for 29 year olds will finally die, but, as of now, guys hitting the market between 29 and 31 are still getting massive deals. So this idea that "he's locked up until he's 29 so there's not really a reason to do it" is a little misleading. If he's a superstar he'll get signed until he's 40 for a crazy amount. Manny Machado just restructured his deal at the age of 29 to be an 11 year 350 mil deal. Trea Turner at 29/30 just signed an 11 year 300 mil deal. Bogaerts at 29/30 got 11 years 280. At 33 Miggy got 8/248. At 30 Kris Bryant got 7/182. There is absolutely still value in buying up a couple FA years for a guy going into his early 30s. I think the interesting part is that the Correa/Buxton deals come off the books around when Lewis and these other young guys hit free agency. If he does stay healthy and become the star we all hope he will there'll be some money coming off the books at that time for him to gobble up.
  12. chpettit19
    I don't disagree that him as a DH only is not what they're paying him for. But a buyout isn't something that's going to happen. Far more likely he just retires if his body continues to fail him. They're not eating that deal.
  13. chpettit19
    Hey, thanks for popping into Twins Territory and engaging us on Twins Daily. I love hearing from other fan bases. Seager is having an absolutely incredible year. Must be fun to watch everyday. I'm going to have to respectfully disagree that he had the best year of his career last year. He had the lowest BA of his career (by a whole lot), lowest OBP of his career (also by quite a bit), and 2nd lowest slugging of his career, which lead to his lowest OPS since 2018. He did play the 2nd most games of his career which helped him hit the most HRs of his career, but it was absolutely not the best season of his career. Was his 3rd lowest OPS+ (118) and well below his career OPS+ (134). It wasn't a bad year in general, but it was definitely a down year for him in nearly every category. That being said, I think most people around here would be quite happy to see a Twins Rangers matchup in the second round of the playoffs! Cuz that would mean we finally won some playoff games...
  14. chpettit19
    But doesn't he move for balls he doesn't catch? Balls hit to right field or left lead to him accelerating quickly, stopping suddenly, etc. right? But I'm not even arguing offense is less work on any given day than defense. Simply arguing that offense alone is less work than offense and defense 100% of the time. Yes, running the bases can be a lot of wear and tear on his body. But running the bases then turning around and going to CF is even more wear and tear. It wasn't offense only or defense only debate. It was offense only or offense and defense. Him going 5 for 5 is X amount of wear and tear. But him going 5 for 5 and also playing defense is X amount plus Y amount. That is more. That's the entire argument I'm making. Just playing offense is less than playing offense and defense. That's why there's a difference between being capable of DHing and being capable of playing CF.
  15. chpettit19
    Oh, I've never argued the plan worked. Never really even said it was the best option. Just defended the idea that there's a real and very clear difference between being a DH and being a CF.
  16. chpettit19
    Again, it's not about him having different physical limitations right now it's about how long of a stretch you're trying to get him through. His body is likely in no better shape now than it was at any other point in the season. They are just worried about different things. They have a different goal now. Their plan failed. No doubt about it. He didn't perform well enough as a DH to have made him a useful player. But the goal when they were limiting him to DH was to maximize his ABs over the entire season while having him available for the stretch run and the playoffs. They've said this from the beginning. The team, Buxton, Correa, the trainers, everybody said it. They thought he'd be able to handle just DHing and keep his body from falling apart over 162 games. They were wrong. Plan went "horribly wrong" to steal the title of the article. Now they only care about 30ish games(will be less than that by the time he'd come back). It was a marathon, now it's a sprint. You have different strategies for a marathon than you do for a sprint.
  17. chpettit19
    I'd bet if he did he'd get the next day off. Byron has had 5 hits in a game 1 time in his MLB career, and 4 hits in a game 2 other times. There's a bit of a difference between him possibly having that game and knowing he's going to play 8 innings of defense (plus have to do all the running for that amazing offensive game), no? I mean the very simple equation to "why can he DH but not play CF" is Hitting<Hitting+Defense.
  18. chpettit19
    I can run 1 mile, but I can't run 2. Should I just not run at all or run my 1 mile?
  19. chpettit19
    Without knowing what the physical problems really are with his knees/hip (also not being a dr doesn't help me) it's hard to have a great opinion on what they "should" do with him the rest this year. I was just responding to the idea that if he wasn't able to do it at the start of the year he can't be ready now. They're 2 different scenarios with different criteria, to me. If treatment (surgery or whatever else they would do) and rest between now and next April means he'd have a real shot at being at least a 50% CFer next year I'd shut him down for the rest of this year. If he could play the rest of this year and then have that treatment and rest and the chances of him being at least a 50% CFer next year don't really change then I'd play him this year. If there's just no real hope that he's ever going to be at least a 50% CFer moving forward I'd play him this year. I don't expect the team to give us real info on his knees/hip. I don't need any real info on that. But that's the stuff I'd expect them to be looking at in terms of making these decisions. And I'd think Buxton himself is going to be asking those questions. What are the percent chances he can ever be the player he wants to be, and how does what he does the rest of this season change those chances? Get those answers and I'd think the decision is relatively obvious.
  20. chpettit19
    I tried to find a middle ground by only pointing out the innings thing and not even getting into the "worst closer in baseball" comment.
  21. chpettit19
    Twins starters have thrown the 3rd most innings in all of baseball. But don't let the facts get in the way of a good rant.
  22. chpettit19
    The Mets let Matt Harvey show his "sheer guile, willpower, and competitiveness" in 2015 and it cost them a World Series game in a series ending loss. Maeda threw 92 pitches in 5 innings while allowing 3 runs in 116 degree "feels like" heat yesterday. Taking him out is really something we feel the need to complain about?
  23. chpettit19
    I assume you're talking about MAT in the 9th. He was asked to bunt. He made 2 pathetic attempts to bunt pitches well out of the zone. Not really a strong example for your complaint here since Rocco literally did call for the bunt, but their "best bunter" failed at the task.
  24. chpettit19
    But the feels like temp was only 116 in the stadium yesterday and Maeda had only labored through 92 pitches while giving up 3 runs in 5 innings (and apparently changing his jersey 3 times). Clearly no reasonable explanation for taking him out!
  25. chpettit19
    At the beginning, yes. But eventually they start doing more and more activity to get themselves ready to play. AKA "ramping up."
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