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mnfireman

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Everything posted by mnfireman

  1. mnfireman
    2 seasons of roughly 30% above MLB average offense, league average defense, then flipped for his replacement, the back-up C/DH and salary savings to sign Correa. Not too bad, I would say.
  2. mnfireman
    Gordon and Garlick provide enough RH OF bats, no need for him. Edit: My bad, Gordon bats LH......
  3. mnfireman
    Player's generally want the option to opt out of a contract to pursue either a bigger, longer contract or higher AAV. Correa's value is at its peak because of his age (28) and position (SS). In 4 or 5 years he will be "old" by MLB standards and ready for a positions change, both of which mean less $$$. He could have played out his contract in MN and not cost himself anything, unless he got hurt in year 3. He would be 30 years old and inline for another big payday, lets say 7 years, $245 MM. That would equate out to 10 years, $350.3 MM including the 3 year, $105.3 signed last year. I don't think he gets that much this year competing against Judge, Bogaerts, Swanson, Turner, Verlander, deGrom, etc...
  4. mnfireman
    Why don't the Twins just sign Drury and Haniger in hopes they provide 3.0 WAR each. They could then trade Kepler, Arraez, Gordon and Polanco for a SP and a starting C. Might have to make it a 3 team trade as I don't know if Oakland has any starting pitching ready to be a #2 or #3 immediately, but Murphy would be nice. This trade then makes room for Larnach, Kirilloff, Miranda, and Lewis immediately and opens spots for Martin and Lee if they are ready by August or September. Of course would still need to sign a short term SS or play Urshela there until Lewis is ready in late May or June. There is some sarcasm implied here, but probably not as much as should be. Martinez may experience a late career resurgence and turn into Nelson Cruz, but this team doesn't need bat only players who are on the backside of their careers.
  5. mnfireman
    No. Failing in SD was one thing, but it continued in Milwaukee. It actually got worse in Milwaukee.
  6. mnfireman
    A TD user, rwilfong86, stated several times after Lopez began struggling that he (Lopez) had personal issues going on at home, something with one of his children. Do not underestimate how much something like this could affect his performance, especially after being traded to a different team and being separated from family.
  7. mnfireman
    So a .291/.366/.467 130 OPS+ slash line is disappointing? 5.4 bWAR & 4.4 fWAR is disappointing? Among qualified SS (21) his AVG was 3rd, his OBP was 2nd, and his SLG was 2nd. He didn't grade out very high according to defensive metrics, and we can all read into those what we want.
  8. mnfireman
    Fulmer - maybe Rogers - no May - no Pagan pitched as well (???) as any of the 3 listed above and gets no love, his secondary/rate numbers are the best of the 3. He will get about $3.5M in arbitration, but he is from another organization (outsider). I am NOT saying Pagan is the answer, but his late season numbers (after accepting coaching??), salary and rate numbers say he is as good or better of an option than the 3 former Twins suggested.
  9. mnfireman
    Unless the competition can't stay on the field.
  10. mnfireman
    Miranda is not going back to AAA, he showed he can hit MLB pitching. Gordon played better in the OF than the IF (surprising since he was drafted as a SS), but is a good enough option at either to be a Super UT type. Wallner was hyped as an offense first OF/DH who was not highly regarded until this year (behind 2 other lefty hitting corner OF/DH types). Celestino has had parts of two seasons to show who he is, and hasn't impressed in either. On either side of the ball (he was touted as above average in the OF).
  11. mnfireman
    In the games I was able to watch he looked unsure on which plays to make and which to let go on hits to his right, he didn't leave the base on bad throws on several occasions, leading to errors and extra bases and I saw him have issues with throws in the dirt. The first two issues can probably be addressed with coaching, but Arraez didn't show very soft hands as a 2B or 3B, so the third issue will probably continue.
  12. mnfireman
    Twins - 19 of 30 teams in earn runs, 19 of 30 in ERA. MLB average runs allowed 632, Twins 639. MLB average ERA 3.96, Twins ERA 3.98. Don't know where you got your info.
  13. mnfireman
    I think it will be interesting to see how SDI rankings will be affected by the elimination of the shift starting next year, or does SDI already take that into account? I will admit to being surprised by Arraez's ranking, he looked very below average to me in the 2 dozen or so games I was able to watch.
  14. mnfireman
    Buxton on one leg is still faster than 92% of MLB...... I believe earlier in the season his sprint speed was higher (closer to or right at 30ft/sec) and there were only a couple players higher.
  15. mnfireman
    Bogaerts and Correa. Turner is represented by CAA.
  16. mnfireman
    The Dodgers have enough money coming off the books to chase quite a few top FA's; Price $16M (Red Sox paid the $16M), Kimbrel $16M, T. Anderson $8M, T. Turner $21M, and Kershaw $17M. J. Turner and Muncy will probably be bought out, saving $25.5M. I don't think it will happen, but they could also not offer Bellinger arbitration, saving at least $17M. Looks like room to re-sign Kershaw and T. Turner, and sign Correa, Judge and Rodon. Not fair!!
  17. mnfireman
    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2022/10/offseason-outlook-minnesota-twins-12.html
  18. mnfireman
    My favorite argument
  19. mnfireman
    Technically all of the teams starters outperformed Berrios this season. bWAR: Berrios -0.5 Gray 2.3; Ryan2.2; Smeltzer 0.9; Varland 0.4; Paddack 0.2; Mahle 0.1 (2.1 w/ CIN); Ober 0.9; Archer 0.0; Winder -0.1 & Bundy -0.3. Berrios did have 172 IP and took the mound 32 times, so there's that. The Twins may have gotten Berrios' best years, and that says a lot because he is only 28.
  20. mnfireman
    Berrios is not an ace, as shown in Toronto this season. I would also include Duran on this list, as several "ace" type pitchers initially began their careers working a season or two out of the BP. If 3 of 5 on this list become solid #2 or #3 starters then this team will be set up for success for the foreseeable future.
  21. mnfireman
    The "best" trade candidates would be Arraez and Gordon, if the organization feels Lewis, Martin and Julien are close to being ready.
  22. mnfireman
    Unfortunately heart doesn't win games, divisions or titles; talent does. Cruz has been below league average since being traded and Rosario has been dreadfully below average.
  23. mnfireman
    I was thinking the same thing. And after Lewis comes back he can become another Super UT player as he plays SS, 3B, 2B and C.
  24. mnfireman
    The NBA and NHL champion could play 28 playoff games, or 34% of their regular season schedule. The MLB champion could play 24 playoff games, or 15% of their regular season schedule. I could live with MLB cutting 2 weeks off the schedule, 148 games, with the added wild card round. MLB still only has 6 play off teams per league/conference, whereas NBA & NHL have 8 and the NFL 7.
  25. mnfireman
    Sounds to me like somebody is transposing his feelings onto everyone, kind of along the lines of he who argues loudest and longest wins the argument. All sports play six month seasons to determine the champion, and routinely it is not the "best" team from the regular season.
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