DJL44
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Everything posted by DJL44
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113 steals, 33 caught stealing for the season. That’s about 14 extra bases worth of added value or 5 runs above 0 SB and 0 CS.
- 28 replies
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- luke keaschall
- byron buxton
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How many extra outs did they run for into? An out cancels out 3 steals.
- 28 replies
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- luke keaschall
- byron buxton
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Those are basically the only players who should be stealing bases regularly. Wallner and Clemens can pick their opportunities. Everyone else is sorta bad at it. SB by notable Twins minor leaguers Player name SB CS SB% Kyle Debarge 66 8 89% Kyler Fedko 38 8 83% Yasser Mercedes 36 3 92% Angel Del Rosario 32 8 80% Kalai Rosario 32 7 82% Dameury Pena 28 5 85% Payton Eeles 27 8 77% Brandon Winokur 26 4 87% Kaelen Culpepper 25 4 86% Walker Jenkins 17 4 81% Emmanuel Rodriguez 10 3 77% And on the other end of the scale Gabriel Gonzalez 8 3 73% Hendry Mendez 4 3 57% Billy Amick 1 2 33% Now I am understanding converting Mendez to 1B.
- 28 replies
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- luke keaschall
- byron buxton
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I am still not sure if they will protect Klein this offseason. He's on the bubble.
- 25 replies
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- connor prielipp
- dasan hill
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Everyone has a plan to get their work in, and it might not be ideal for winning that game. Players are promoted to a level where they are challenged, not left at a lower level to win games.
- 25 replies
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- connor prielipp
- dasan hill
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Nobody is really trying to win in the minor leagues. Player development is the first priority.
- 25 replies
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- connor prielipp
- dasan hill
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I would like to see Twins Daily actively campaigning to get Byron Buxton some MVP votes. I don’t think he is the overall MVP but I also think Raleigh and Judge will clean up all the #1 and #2 votes. Buxton has an MVP bonus in his contract and I would rather see the money in his pocket than in the pocket of one of Carl Pohlad’s grandchildren.
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One walk in September
- 45 replies
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- off-field quotes
- on-field struggles
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Royce Lewis seems to have developed an allergy to walks. Just 1 walk vs 21 strikeouts in September.
- 24 replies
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- taj bradley
- kody clemens
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Who Will Be The Minnesota Twins' Closer in 2026?
DJL44 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Spreading the saves around is the penny-pincher's approach because saves still mean money in arbitration. My guess is they sign a cheap free agent and give them the infrequently used closer role with the hope of trading them at the deadline.- 64 replies
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- cole sands
- taj bradley
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In case anyone wants to look at the SABR numbers, here's Twins ranked by RBat + RBaser + RDP. That's batting plus baserunning, plus double-play avoidance. Buxton 30 Keaschall 10 Bader 6 Wallner 4 (a very mediocre number) Castro 3 Martin 2 Pereda 1 Jeffers 0 Fitzgerald 0 Clemens -1 McCusker -2 Larnach -3 Outman -3 Correa -4 Lewis -4 Roden -4 Miranda -4 Bride -5 France -6 Julien -7 Gasper -7 Keirsey -11 (in just 86 plate appearances!) Lee -12 Vazquez -12
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Comparing a rate stat to a counting stat is usually a terrible idea. What you're really pointing out is how linear weights are necessary to fully measure offensive performance. In other words, sabermetrics. If we want to look at sabermetrics - Wallner has an RBat of 6, which isn't great, but it's 3rd on the 2025 Twins after Keaschall (8) and Buxton (22). He's had a down year, which everyone agrees with. That's not the problem with the Twins offense. The big problem is fourteen other players with a negative contribution on offense including Keirsey (-12), Vazquez (-11) and Lee (-11). If you look at just RBI it will tell you that Brooks Lee was the 2nd best batter on the Twins when he's actually one of the worst. Scoring more runs than you allow wins games, not RBI. The Athletics are 6th in the AL in RBI.
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The commenter referred to OPS, not OPS+. The fact that Bonds is only 6th on the list actually shows what a terrible job RBI is doing. Bonds has the best offensive production of any player in the history of baseball by a significant margin and he's ranked 6th. Ted Williams ranks 16th in RBI but he's a top 10 hitter. Willie Mays is also a top 10 hitter but he's 12th in RBI. Rickey Henderson doesn't show up on the RBI list until #216 and he's one of the top 20 offensive performers all-time. RBI is hot garbage.
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Wallner's only plus defensive asset is his 96 MPH throwing arm. That becomes mostly useless at 1B. He has below-average range but plays home games in one of the smallest RF in the majors. RF area rankings 30) NY Yankees 24.2 29) Philadelphia 25.5 28) Pittsburgh 25.5 27) Tampa 25.7 (Tropicana - Steinbrenner Field is more like Yankee Stadium) 26) Cincinnati 26.0 25) Baltimore 26.3 24) Seattle 26.4 23) Minnesota 26.6 22) Cleveland 26.6 21) Houston 26.6 Looks like Tampa would be a good fit for Wallner. The AL East has 3 of the 6 smallest RF.
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The most remarkable thing about Genesis Cabrera's career is he has somehow accumulated enough service time to qualify for free agency.
- 24 replies
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- taj bradley
- kody clemens
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So much self-contradiction here. If winning teams aren't built around .204 hitters, then why would another team look to Wallner to improve their offense? Large market teams almost always have an old, expensive, fading star to play at DH. Contenders get All-Stars like Soto and Judge to play in RF. Wallner's best fit is probably on a team like the Twins - low budget and lacking offense. Maybe you could get Tampa, Colorado or the Royals interested.

