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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    The differences in WAR are philosophical. Everyone mostly agrees on offensive value. Replacement value can be calculated in different ways. Pitching value can start from runs allowed (bWAR) or from xFIP (fWAR). Defensive value has several systems to choose from. I'm actually surprised the players didn't suggest their own WAR system, considering it determines their pay.
  2. DJL44
  3. DJL44
    FTFY
  4. DJL44
    He's 26 and has a nagging shoulder injury. I think it's time to pivot.
  5. DJL44
    I think Winder could be quite successful in the bullpen. I think he was forced into starting because they didn't have enough starters to cover the innings they needed to cover.
  6. DJL44
    Kershaw and Verlander aren't "lights out" in the playoffs and they're two of the best pitchers of this generation.
  7. DJL44
    If Megill gets bumped to AAA to start the season that will be a good sign.
  8. DJL44
    Fangraphs expert estimates 10 years $300M. Crowdsource is 8 years $256M 2023 Top 50 Free Agents | FanGraphs Baseball The Twins should be in on the 8 year contract but not on the 10 year contract. I don't want the 2 years $54M for years 9 and 10.
  9. DJL44
    Don't be surprised if you see free agent prices rise dramatically this offseason. There are a lot of teams with money to spend and lots of certainty due to the signed CBA. The Edwin Diaz contract (5 years, $102M for a reliever) is just the start.
  10. DJL44
    Is this the Charley Walters strategy?
  11. DJL44
    If you go to Baseball Reference and look up the team you will see an RField of 21 - which means they saved 21 runs above an average defense.
  12. DJL44
    This is the third or fourth defensive metric where Polanco rated poorly. He had an awful season in the field.
  13. DJL44
    So, DH only? He's too good of a defender for that.
  14. DJL44
    The Cardinals look like a great fit for Murphy.
  15. DJL44
    It would be kind of boring to say that every year.
  16. DJL44
    Finish in 3rd place
  17. DJL44
    Sold. 3 years $27M for a starting caliber catcher is well worth it.
  18. DJL44
    I'm not sure if the Twins want a primary catcher. I think they would rather share the job 50/50. I'm on record as wanting them to sign Christian Vazquez as the other half. The no-hitter last night reinforced that.
  19. DJL44
    I'm going to bet Jeffers plays out his entire career before we get an automated strike zone in MLB.
  20. DJL44
    League average batting average is .243. So, you're fine with them as long as they're a league average hitter which is well above average for a catcher.
  21. DJL44
    People here are fixated on stolen base percentage when you really need to consider stolen bases allowed per inning. Jeffers allowed 31 stolen bases in 496 innings. That's one stolen base every other game which is consistent with the league median rate for stolen bases per game - 0.53. MLB Stats - MLB Team Stolen Bases per Game | TeamRankings.com Jeffers had an 18% caught stealing percentage. League average CS% is 25%. If Jeffers had been league average at catching runners he would have allowed 29 stolen bases. So the difference between Jeffers and an average major league catcher is two extra stolen bases every 500 innings. He's not throwing out as quite many runners because of his stance which is designed to allow him to frame pitches at the bottom of the strike zone. He doesn't have to get many calls with his framing to make it worth giving up 2 extra steals every 500 innings.
  22. DJL44
    Actually other than a weak arm Piazza was a pretty good catcher.
  23. DJL44
    I agree with this. The Twins have money to spend in the budget and are low on prospect capital. They need to spend some money acquiring talent this winter.
  24. DJL44
    The problem with upgrading offensively at catcher is they only play 80-100 games behind the plate. That's about the same as the offensive upgrade you get from the 80 games Buxton plays every season.
  25. DJL44
    I saw him hit a home run, therefore his slugging percentage must be wrong.
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