Jump to content
Our free agent ranking is up to 100 names, and now you can filter by player position! Click here to check it out! ×
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

DJL44

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    11,008

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    74

 Content Type 

Profiles

Minnesota Twins News, Rumors & Analysis

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospect Rankings

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Minnesota Twins Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Minnesota Twins Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    I don't either, but they have the conundrum that if they are able to fully exploit this market they'll be paying into revenue sharing rather than receiving it. The CBA discourages the Twins from maximizing revenue through subsidies and draft picks. Do they want to earn a few million dollars more each season or get a free 2nd round draft pick and more international bonus money? I'm hopeful the trends in television contracts lead to sharing ALL broadcast and streaming dollars into the central pool (like the NFL) and ending (or limiting) revenue sharing of locally generated revenue like ticket sales and concessions. That incentivizes MLB to get the best media deal they can get for all teams and gives them more bargaining power. It would incentivize the Twins to put teams on the field that attract fan interest. If they want to attract fans by winning or by copying the Saints formula that is up to the Twins. BTW - this source shows a 0.58 correlation between payroll and winning The MLB Has a Competitive Balance Issue, and It’s Related to Money and Payroll Inequalities - The Georgetown Voice another good article MLB’s revenue sharing problem, and how to solve it - Bless You Boys
  2. DJL44
    Correa was great in the postseason, not sure how you could ask more from him. I agree that Buxton might have helped but they got to the playoffs without him. They needed more offense from 1B than an injured Kirilloff and more from LF than an overwhelmed Wallner.
  3. DJL44
    Last year's team was .500 in the postseason and they beat the heck out of Texas in September. They weren't that far off, one or two players away.
  4. DJL44
    I do like using Charlee Soto as trade bait just like they did with Chase Petty.
  5. DJL44
    Doesn't look like Quilici autograph pictures. Plus, why would someone have him sign a 1987 Twins hat? I'm guessing Herb Carneal on the hat. Herb Carneal Autographed Official Major League Baseball Inscribed HOF 1996 (tristarproductions.com)
  6. DJL44
    I look at Hall of Fame voting using the question - "Are they the best player from their era not inducted?" For both Kaat and Oliva the answer is No and has always been No. I'm fine if they want to honor them but there is a list of players who are better choices who are still left out. For Mauer, he's clearly NOT the best player on this ballot but he's probably in the top 10 which means there should be room for him to get a YES vote. IndianaTwin is correct that voters generally keep voting for someone who they voted for previously so they aren't likely to add Mauer and drop Helton, for example.
  7. DJL44
    Justin Morneau would be like 100th in line to be elected to the Hall of Fame among eligible first basemen. Kaat and Oliva took so long because there were (and still are) better players from their era to induct instead of them.
  8. DJL44
    That must be why they elected Bernie Williams, Don Mattingly, Alex Rodriguez, Andy Pettitte and Roger Clemens so quickly. The only bias I've seen in HoF voting seems to be an anti-Detroit bias. There are a lot of Tigers who deserve to go in who can't get any traction.
  9. DJL44
    Thurman Munson played for the Yankees and he didn't get elected. There is no pro-Yankee bias among recent players, in fact it may hurt players in the voting.
  10. DJL44
    Catchers are rarely elected on the first ballot. I believe only Ivan Rodriguez and Johnny Bench have been elected their first opportunity and Mauer is not as good as either of them. Yogi Berra didn't get elected his first ballot and neither did Carlton Fisk. The Hall of Fame has not inducted as many catchers as players at other positions. Mauer has a lot in common with Ted Simmons and it took Simmons nearly 30 years to get elected. Bill Freehan made 11 all-star teams and has a ring and he died without being elected. I feel like this quote was put into the article just to troll me. Relievers are pitchers and there are plenty of pitchers in the Hall of Fame. Most relievers who have been elected shouldn't be in the Hall of Fame because there are several starting pitchers better than them from the same era who haven't been elected. The only relievers who deserve induction based on the standards set for starting pitchers are Rivera, Wilhelm and perhaps Gossage. Eckersley deserves his honor because he was a damned good starting pitcher before he went to the bullpen. I'd much rather David Cone get honored than Billy Wagner because Cone was a much, much better pitcher. Relievers are the MOST overrepresented group in the Hall of Fame.
  11. DJL44
    Individual pitchers are pitching fewer innings, and it's showing up in less total WAR, but pitchers are accumulating more value on a per inning basis.
  12. DJL44
    The Twins are not and have never been close to losing money in any season, with the exception, perhaps, of 2020. If this business was losing money it wouldn't be increasing in value at a rate 2x faster than inflation. Nobody is asking the Twins to incur the highest luxury tax penalty like the Mets. I'm saying, don't starve the team of resources when you have a chance to win. That's what's happening in 2024. They're cutting back to protect (enhance?) profits when they could take a shot at the World Series.
  13. DJL44
    No, it means pitchers are getting more of the credit for run prevention and defense is getting less credit. MLB defenses have less to do now than ever before because balls in play are down so much. BTW - Nolan Ryan walked 6 batters per 9 innings in 1977. Speaking of defense, the defensive adjustment for Nola is pretty high. If you check his WAR on Fangraphs he's much more consistently good because they use xFIP and he gets 10% more WAR in his career. The Phillies have been a bad defensive team for several years.
  14. DJL44
    I guess we should. If there is outside confirmation by Forbes and Statista that the Twins are not producing revenue as expected by their market size then it leads to the conclusion that the Pohlads are bad at making money. That isn't unusual that the second generation doesn't perform as well as the generation that created the wealth in the first place. I don't know why fans (who are getting taxed to subsidize the team) should be punished because the Pohlads are bad businessmen. Announcing the payroll cuts at the beginning of the offseason before any tickets are sold is further evidence they're not very good at this. I guess we're all hosed until the Pohlads sell.
  15. DJL44
    If the Twins are going to compete on the cheap now they have to sell old and expensive for young and cheap. That means dealing Polanco for talent that hasn't been proven yet but has potential to improve the team.
  16. DJL44
    You are assuming they aren't actually generating that expected revenue based on market size. Why do you assume the Twins are mismanaging their financial position? Are the Pohlads bad at making money? The base assumption is that they are generating that kind of revenue and I'll continue to make that assumption until it is proven otherwise.
  17. DJL44
    I'm certainly up for spending less of my own money on the Twins and more on local charities. I would encourage others to divert their sports entertainment dollars to other more worthy pursuits.
  18. DJL44
    I also don't understand why they gave Buxton a big contract if they knew they never wanted to spend at the level of their market size. They decided to change the whole spending strategy overnight. This usually happens with a change in management. Someone mentioned the announcement as throwing "cold water" on the season ticket sales. The Twins are a mid-market team that gets special treatment as a revenue sharing recipient by MLB. They get extra draft picks and favorable compensation when signing and losing free agents. If the Twins start bringing in more revenue than the Cardinals, White Sox or Nationals they will lose this advantage. I'm not sure they want to maximize their revenue. I think they'd rather make sure they make at least $1 below the revenue sharing threshold. Tanking their local TV contract is a good way to keep that advantage. Announcing that they're cutting spending before any tickets are sold is another.
  19. DJL44
    I think it's far more likely that pitcher replacement level is higher than it has ever been in MLB history. Pitch velocity and spin are at all time maximums and every year sets a new record number of strikeouts. Every bullpen has multiple guys throwing in the upper 90s. Remember when pitchers like Livan Hernandez could carve out a career pitching to contact and throwing 89 MPH fastballs? That career no longer exists. Nola has a career K/9 of 10.0 and a K/BB of 4.26. That's elite in any era.
  20. DJL44
    Seven years spreads out the money so it keeps them below the luxury tax line. At $9M/WAR they're buying 19 WAR over 7 seasons. Over the previous 7 seasons he put up 30 WAR.
  21. DJL44
    I believe there are 4 spots open and Jordan Balazovic still has a roster spot despite being out of options.
  22. DJL44
    Aaron Nola is #1 in WAR among pitchers 30 and under (32.0) and 13th overall among active pitchers. He's 10 WAR ahead of the second-best pitcher 30 and under (Luis Castillo 22.3). If he's not "great" then great pitchers no longer exist in major league baseball.
  23. DJL44
    McGriff and Fernandez for Alomar and Carter happened. It happens rarely, but not never. Heck, Arraez for Lopez happened just last year.
  24. DJL44
    I would like to see if the Twins could convert Dakota Hudson to relief. He's a groundball pitcher with a sinking fastball (which they like in relievers) and he does a decent job avoiding the barrel of the bat. He has good fastball movement that might play up in relief if they can add a couple MPH. His slider is not good but more velocity could make it better. His curve gets batters to swing and miss but he doesn't use it very much. His numbers are solid the first time through the order (.667 OPS against) but horrible the 3rd time through (1.085 OPS against). He has an option remaining so the Twins can give him a major league contract and have him develop as a reliever in AAA. I think the Twins would retain his rights for 2025.
  25. DJL44
    I was thinking of Trent Grisham in San Diego. Gordon would replace Grisham for them at a lower salary. The Twins would get a better glove player at a higher cost.
×
×
  • Create New...