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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. I don't want any of these guys on the opening day roster next season. They're fine for minor league depth but none of them has really earned a spot.
  2. They shouldn't want exclusivity. That is the old, dead model and it isn't returning. Sell the broadcast rights cheaply, increase the audience size as large as you can and make as much money possible on advertising. They should want Twins games available on basic cable packages. They had a model that was 100% subscriptions and 0% ads. They need a new model that is 20% subscriptions and 80% ads.
  3. So $10M off streaming, plus whatever they're still making from cable/satellite.
  4. 100% revenue sharing of broadcasting. 0% revenue sharing for local ticket sales, concessions, etc. That's the model that encourages teams to put fans in the stands.
  5. They're making $4.5M in subscriptions. How much are they making selling ads to those subscribers? The real money is in selling the viewing audience to advertisers.
  6. Less than half of people subscribe to cable/dish. Among people 18-30 it's 30%. Those numbers are 2 years old, and cable is shedding millions of viewers each year. Many of the people who have cable subscriptions were unable to get Twins games because BSN was so bad at getting the games broadly distributed. Dish Network hasn't had games for years and Comcast was blacked out for the entire summer. The latest estimates had the Twins reaching 15% of their audience through BSN.
  7. Sports are still great at generating cash on TV. They command high ad rates because people are much less likely to skip the ads. Old model: People with money who don't watch baseball pay MLB a lot of money through cable subscriptions for games they don't watch. People with less money who want to watch baseball can't watch their favorite teams play on television. TV audience actually watching baseball shrinks every year. New model (hopefully): People who actually like watching baseball are able to watch the games of their favorite team without restriction. Number of people watching baseball games on TV increases by 2 to 4 times. Advertisers have a larger pool of people available to watch their advertising. The new model may not make as much money, but it will still make plenty of money. Easier access to games on TV might even grow the sport as more people follow their local teams.
  8. The new coach is going to be judged by how well they work with Royce Lewis.
  9. Every year at least a dozen starters worse than Paddack end up with a spot on an opening day roster.
  10. Edouard Julien OBP in AAA this season was .395. K% was 31%. He doesn't have a problem with OBP, it was his batting average that dropped. He has had to start swinging at pitches he used to just take and wait for something better. He didn't swing at those pitches before because he didn't hit them very well. This is not easy stuff to fix, it takes a complete change in approach. It is very hard in today's MLB to string hits together. League batting average is .243. Your chance of stringing 3 consecutive hits together in an inning is 1.4%. Guys should feel better about hitting a double or a HR than a groundout. If you're going to hit the ball, you want to hit it hard. That is what advances runners. BTW - the Twins were #2 in baseball in doubles. They actually had the best offense in their division and were 10th in OPS+. They were 2nd to last in Total Zone Fielding runs and 25th in DRS. Firing the hitting coaches isn't going to improve their defense.
  11. The entire Marlins coaching staff is available. John Mabry has a decent reputation as a hitting coach.
  12. Looks like the Athletics don't have a broadcast partner either. The Diamondbacks, Rockies and Padres were already handled by MLB. That's 15 teams MLB controls. Astros own their RSN with the Rockets. Blue Jays owned by Rogers Communications. Braves are the last Diamond Sports team. Cubs own Marquee Sports Network. Dodgers co-owners of Spectrum SportsNet LA. Giants co-own NBC Sports Bay Area. Mariners own ROOT Sports Northwest. Mets have a deal with SNY. Nationals and Orioles co-own Mid-Atlantic Sports Network. Pirates co-own SportsNet Pittsburgh. Red Sox co-own New England Sports Network. White Sox have a deal with NBC Sports Chicago. Phillies have a deal with NBC Sports Philadelphia. Yankees own YES.
  13. I am hoping the solution is MLB Network for cable/satellite and streaming on MLB.tv.
  14. They'll probably sign a bunch of pitchers who weren't DFA'd 3 times but only because they pitched the whole season in AAA. Arbitration salaries aren't guaranteed in December. If they sign someone better they can cut him. They can also say "we offer $1M, take it or leave it" and then pick him back up off waivers in May for a higher price.
  15. Interesting developments there. Diamond Sports is giving all their rights back to MLB except for the Braves. MLB can figure out a broadcast solution for the Twins, Reds, Tigers, Royals, Angels, Marlins, Brewers, Cardinals, Guardians, Rangers and Rays as a group.
  16. It's a little the fault of the pitchers. They're really bad at holding runners.
  17. Maki got an All-Star caliber season out of Griffin Jax and turned Woods-Richardson into an effective 4th starter. I'd give him a C.
  18. I think I would keep Tonkin. They couldn't find anyone better for $1.5M last offseason.
  19. More important question. Are the city connect jerseys returning? I think they may have been the real cause of the epic collapse.
  20. Correa went on the injured list after the game on July 12, the team was 53-41 (+12) Correa came back on 9/14, the team was 78-69 (+9). They were 3 games below .500 (25-28) without Carlos Correa for 2 months. Correa had a .960 OPS in September when he returned but the team was a total mess and even he couldn't carry them across the finish line.
  21. Looks like Alcala spent enough time on optional assignment to gain the extra year of team control.
  22. WAR overrates relief pitchers. Pitching 1 inning is much easier to do than pitching 5-6 as a starter. You never have to face a batter twice and you can lean on your best pitch the entire time. Carlos Correa is the team MVP. They cratered when he was gone.
  23. I think they could get an equally effective reliever who makes half as much in return for Paddack. That frees up enough cash to bring back Carlos Santana.
  24. Shoeless Joe Jackson was clearly good enough to get elected to the Hall of Fame. He's out because he threw the World Series and was banned from baseball.
  25. Not good. He reacts way too late to the ball when it is hit which limits his overall range.
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