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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    “ It means trading Ryan (because he'll be very expensive over his final two years of arbitration eligibility” He’s actually not. His arbitration values are likely $7M next season and $14M in 2027 which is an absolute bargain for an All-Star pitcher.
  2. DJL44
    Down to 3.8% after the second loss to Colorado. 8th in the wild card standings.
  3. DJL44
    He was outrighted to the minors.
  4. DJL44
    Down to 5.6% after the loss to the Rockies
  5. DJL44
    You can't blame just Wallner and Lewis for the underperformance of this team. It's a lot deeper than that.
  6. DJL44
    Usually, when the players are consistently underperforming their capabilities, the manager gets fired.
  7. DJL44
    Good to know. I will be in section 318W with my family for Star Wars night on Saturday. Probably won't post here again until next weekend.
  8. DJL44
    Usually, when the team is underperforming their talent for the past 100 games, the manager gets fired.
  9. DJL44
    38 of those are Trevor Bauer threads
  10. DJL44
    You can take Yunior Severino off the list
  11. DJL44
    I think that's correct. I think it's also true about Christian Vazquez. Both will finish the season with the Twins because no contender was interested.
  12. DJL44
    Didn't I just read this article about Wentz?
  13. DJL44
    It makes you wonder about whether there are any more first basemen when a guy like Ryan Clifford is supposed to be the 8th best 1B prospect in the minor leagues. That said, he ranks higher than the subject of the article.
  14. DJL44
    All you need to know about the Twins offense is that they're trying to paper over both 2B and 1B with Kody Clemens.
  15. DJL44
    Wallner has been fighting through it lately, but there isn't anyone in St. Paul I'd prefer to have on the team. Should they bring back Jonah Bride?
  16. DJL44
    The Mets have one of the top 10 prospects at 1B and he's definitely blocked.
  17. DJL44
    Keaschall has 22 recorded games at 1B, which is about as many as he has at 3B, and each OF position. He's mostly played 2B (145 games).
  18. DJL44
    A team might also remember how good Paddack was in the bullpen and convert him back to relief.
  19. DJL44
    I'm probably on the same page as you, but I think there is value in being just okay next year if they do it with young talent instead of veteran retreads. That's how you build a contender for 2027. If they're a wild-card contender, but they're doing it with Festa and Matthews in the rotation, Prielipp and Raya in the bullpen, Gonzalez and Rodriguez in the outfield, Keaschall in the infield and a promising young catcher, that's more exciting. They can take the next step forward in 2027.
  20. DJL44
    If you're looking to AAA for offensive help, you'll be pretty disappointed. Jose Miranda has been terrible and shouldn't be in the discussion at all. Eddie Julien is the exact same player they sent down a few months ago because he wasn't as good as Kody Clemens. Aaron Sabato is sufficiently challenged by AAA pitching. The best player on the Saints at the moment is Jonah Bride. Mickey Gasper might be worth giving another shot, but he's currently getting a lot of time at catcher and he won't get that in MLB. Keaschall is a good idea when he returns. Until then it looks like a Clemens/France platoon. Willi Castro isn't a bad idea. He's good enough on the dirt and the Twins have more options in the OF.
  21. DJL44
    75 catchers out of ~150 picks * 8 seasons = 6.25% 2 catchers out of 26 players on the roster = 7.7% I'm going to guess that drafts are about 50% pitchers, 19% infielders, 19% outfielders and 8% catchers. Catcher is also a position that seems more likely to have an international free agent than other positions. I think it would be interesting if the Twins brought over the best catcher from Japan. That's an untapped market for catcher talent.
  22. DJL44
    You sell at the trade deadline and buy in the offseason. Get the best prospects available in July, trade for areas of need in December/January.
  23. DJL44
    <10% is baseball reference. Their 90% confidence interval is 73 to 86 wins and a median projection of 80-82. 2025 Major League Baseball Playoff Odds | Baseball-Reference.com It's a mediocre team with a below average offense, about to have someone else get injured (someone always gets injured) and miss part of the season.
  24. DJL44
    Raya missed his window. If he had put together this streak a month ago he would have been promoted instead of Travis Adams. Now it looks like Zebby will be back before Raya gets a shot.
  25. DJL44
    No, neither one would change my mind that this team is not built for the playoffs. The bats are not good enough. They're trying to patch over both 1B and 2B with Kody Clemens. That's already figured into their 9.6% chance at a playoff spot and 0.1% chance to win the World Series. I'm not someone who bets with less than 10% odds of success. That's ironic. The Tigers succeeded because they sold the veterans at the deadline and went with their younger talent. If the Twins make the playoffs, it will mean Correa and Lewis started playing like All-Stars, not because they hung onto Willi Castro, Brock Stewart and Chris Paddack.
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