Jump to content
Join us for draft day two conversation, click here! ×
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

Major League Ready

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    7,754

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    26

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Major League Ready

  1. Major League Ready
    I presume your conclusion is they are only concerned about the bottom line. If they were able to win without revenue sharing, why wouldn't they just pocket the extra money and keep on winning? I don't doubt that every franchise is focus on profitability just as players are focused on maximizing their salary. Winning generates more revenue so why would they not continue to operate as they had in order to maximize profitability? I think it's more likely they were at the end of one of the many cycles this team has gone through which has also been the norm for all of the other teams in the bottom half of revenue. The difference being a lot of the teams in the bottom half have very few winning years ever. I put together the chart below after the 2022 season. This shows overall win percentage and number of 90 win seasons for the bottom 10 teams compared to Oakland.
  2. Major League Ready
    Yes. I would imagine we read the same accounts of revenue during covid. I was not considering national broadcast revenue given they are not impacted by the issue with RSNs and the national money does not change. I thought the context was local TV revenue given the national revenues are not in jeopardy.
  3. Major League Ready
    A couple years ago I compiled the win/loss data back to the turn of the century for all of the teams in the bottom half of revenue. The A's had the most 90 win seasons and best overall record. Only the Guardians and Rays were anywhere close. They also had a better win percentage than half of the teams in the top half of revenue.
  4. Major League Ready
    With ticket revenue comes concessions and apparel sales. The MLB average for a family is of 4 is $266 or $66.50/person. I would assume that couples spend more per person. However, if we use $66.50/person, a team drawing 2.5M fans would generate $166M. So, if we view this a TV vs in person attendance, teams like the Red and Twins generate far less revenue from broadcasting rights.
  5. Major League Ready
    You apparently did not understand the premise of my post. The OP insists the 2023 team was successful because they spent at record levels. The facts are that five of the six highest paid players (Correa/Buxton/Polanco/Vazquez/Gallo) produced a total of 5 fWAR. The six most impactful pitchers were Gray/Lopez/Duran/Jax/Stewart/Ryan/Ober. Gray and Lopez were acquired through trades with relatively modest salaries. Duran and Ryan were acquired by trading away established players for prospects. Taylor at 1.5 WAR was not massively instrumental. He was important but he was also a relatively cheap acquisition. The point was certainly not that they don't need to replace Gray. The point was that they did not acquire Gray by spending big and more generally that the elevated spending had little to do with the success of the 2023 team. All of the avenues that made them successful last year are available this year.
  6. Major League Ready
    You are not accounting for advertising revenue. The streaming fees are a relatively small portion of the value of broadcasting rights. The broadcasting fee paid to a team is going to be a product of any streaming fees plus advertising revenue minus operating costs and profit. As for the fees, $120/year seems relatively modest. That's quite a bit less than the average family spends to attend one game. They could also sell packages that would not require fans to purchase rights to the entire season.
  7. Major League Ready
    Verlander was quite effective dialing it up a notch only when he really needed it.
  8. Major League Ready
    So your conclusion is they want to do their best to piss off a bunch of their customers and prospective customers? I think it's far more likely they want to engage their customers on a very frequent basis via professional sports.
  9. Major League Ready
    That would be great as a fan of the Minnesota Twins. Unfortunately, any such system would change team values by billions of dollars. It also would not maximize revenue to the league. A good team in Milwaukee is never going to generate anywhere near the revenue it does in NY / Boston, etc. The players wanted revenue sharing decreased and they fought hard to increase the luxury tax threshold so the players would also NEVER allow such a system without a prolonged strike. Any system even remotely close to what we want as a lower revenue market is never going to happen. The only way to combat the inequity is to follow practices that manage assets accordingly.
  10. Major League Ready
    This conclusion / position is hard to understand given the number of huge contracts this off-season. Teams are taking enormous risks. Are teams supposed to just give free agents whatever they ask for? How does that make the game better? I really don't get the downside for fans given they are ultimately the source of funding for these enormous deals. It's not like the players quit playing. They just don't get exactly what they want. What's the downside for fans.
  11. Major League Ready
    I think we are on a very similar thought path here. I really like the upside. This is something worth taking a chance. That gamble feels way better if the Twins believe Manoah is willing to put in the work. Lopez is the perfect guy to help Manoah if he is wants to be helped. I will be excited if this comes to fruition.
  12. Major League Ready
    No doubt some guys are so talented they can get by especially at 1B. However, I think it's reasonable to question a players desire to be great when they don't even try to stay in shape? I mean we are talking about professional athletes. So, unless we don't think athleticism is important, those players are not maximizing their capabilities. If we look at the NBA, NFL, and NHL, as well as many MLB players, their diet and workout regimens are quite sophisticated. I guess I just have a lot more confidence in a player who is working hard to be great like Lopez.
  13. Major League Ready
    A professional athlete that is not committed enough to stay in shape makes me seriously question their desire to be good/great. Lopez not only stays in shape but he is constantly working on his craft. If Toronto is willing to give up on him that makes me wonder even more if he is a headcase or just not driven enough to succeed at this level. However, there is so much upside that this is something they should definitely explore.
  14. Major League Ready
    Here is the problem with the premise of this article. The players which made this the highest payroll team in Twins history had little to do with the team’s success. Carlos Correa, Byron Buxton, Joey Gallo, Christian Vazquez all produced very poorly. Only one relatively high paid player produced and that was Max Kepler and most people here were calling for him to be traded. Jorge Polanco and MAT would fall somewhere in between. The players most responsible for the surge were Royce Lewis, Edouard Julien, Matt Wallner, Ryan Jeffers, Alex Kirilloff, and Donovan Solano. All of whom were among the lowest paid players. On the pitching side, Sonny Gray and Pablo Lopez were the most impactful. They were both acquired in trade with a modest salary. Among the RPs, it was a bunch of low cost RPs like Jax, Stewart, and even Cody Funderburk. Of course, Emilio Pagan who was hated was the most expensive of the lot. The premise that record spending led to success in 2023 is deeply flawed. Beyond this relatively obvious conclusion, if you wanted to make a case the Twins are cheap you should have provided the payroll rank compared to the revenue rank. There is also no mention of the fact they had a revenue anomaly last year in that they had $30M in BAM money. How are we to conclude their relative willingness to spend without knowing the relative amount of money coming in? I am disappointed payroll is going down too but to conclude spending drove success in 2023 lacks objectivity. Position Player WAR. The highest paid players are highlighted.
  15. Major League Ready
    I am warming up to that idea.
  16. Major League Ready
    Just think about what Chicago is asking for Cease who has 2 years of control vs Gilbert with 4 years of control. They are not going to get their ask IMO but Lee and Wallner does not seem even remotely close given the ask for other top SPs. Why would Seattle trade Gilbert unless it was an absurd overpay?
  17. Major League Ready
    bWAR values him higher than fWAR which was 1.5 last year and 1.8 the year before. What probability will another team put on him producing at 2021 levels? Make that deal if a team believes he can produce at that level. I completely agree he will bring back something decent but looking at it from another team's perspective, what would you give up? Is it a 50FV prospect? I really don't know what to expect. I hope it's good because I think the odds are high that he is traded unless the offers are really bad.
  18. Major League Ready
    I think we can say with absolute certainty that not a single person posting here thinks the Twins should or will trade away Polanco for nothing. However, Polanco is coming off back to back mediocre years. How would you quantify a good return? I honestly am not too sure what they can get.
  19. Major League Ready
    Good players get traded quite frequently. The team doing the trading away always believes they are making their team better now or in the future. Sometimes the return is great and sometimes it's not so good. Arraez was traded with a career 123 OPS+ at age 25. That turned out fine so far. The Marlins got squat for Yelich. They also traded 2 years of Marcell Ozuna after he produced an OPS+ of 149 the prior year. He was in his prime at age 27. His OPS+ the next two years he produced an OPS+ of 106 and 109. The Marlins got 6 years of Alcantara and Gallen in return. If it's such a bad idea to trade an established player, why do so many people here insist that we should be able to trade for them?
  20. Major League Ready
    I think there are 6 players that are essentially locks at this time. Duran / Jax / Stewart / Thielbar / Alcala and Funderburk. Who is going to beat them out based on spring training? I would take Staumont out of this category only because of the uncertainty that accompanies thoracic outlet surgery. Varland is the wildest of the wildcards. He is the next best option but he is also the next best option in the rotation at this point. Hopefully, the Twins pick up a good SP and Varland is in the role Ober played in 2023. I don’t think Sands, Winder or even Balazovic are longshots. Any of them would be fine holding down the last spot in the BP to start out the year. Spring training might actually be a competition for a couple spots. Canterino and SWR are high upside guys that they are going to want to nurture in the minors. SWR still needs development and I would think the team wants that done at the Milb level. Canterino does not have much left to prove at the Milb level but he also has not seen much game action in a long time. Letting him prepare for a couple months at AAA seems like the prudent route.
  21. Major League Ready
    Snell has had 2 great years in his career but he has been mediocre for 4 years straight until he had a huge 2023. I can't imagine Snell taking a 1 year deal after the year he put up in 2023. Plus, demand for pitching is very high. His agent is out there trying to convince teams he will be closer to the 2023 version. Because of that demand, I think someone is going to gamble on him. I doubt anyone is going to meet his current demands but one of the big revenue teams will take a chance and give him a 5 or 6 year contract.
  22. Major League Ready
    It could be worse. We could have signed Bumgarner or Strasburg.
  23. Major League Ready
    When he broke out in the minors, I remember an article that pointed toward a better approach as being a big part of his improvement. Then, I noticed when he was s struggling that his discipline had diminished. The good news is that can be fixed.
  24. Major League Ready
    It says within the body of this article that the projected salary is $127M so what's your point? You are all fired up because they spinning a scenario that they are spending aggressively. The Twins are spending roughly the same but somehow the dbacks are heroes and the Twins are cheap. You are not interested in a factual representation. You just want to bitch.
  25. Major League Ready
    Not a bad solution if Julien can play the OF but they did try him there in the minors as I recall. As bad as he was at 2B, you would have to believe they were not encouraged with what the witnessed with him in LF. IDK if Lewis is dead set against play in the OF but moving him to the OF is much better scenario. Lee is likely better than Lewis at 3B. Lewis is likely better than any of our other LF Options and Julien is likely the worst of our LF options defensively.
×
×
  • Create New...