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Major League Ready

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Everything posted by Major League Ready

  1. Major League Ready
    If Polanco was not on the team, do you think they would allocate $10M toward a player like him or would that money more likely be spent on pitching?
  2. Major League Ready
    This MBA won't tell you any such thing. Spending is dictated by revenue. You find a way to do it that can be supported by the given level of revenue. Then, you find a way to raise revenue, What any MBA with experience will tell you is to never draw conclusions until you have all the information. The off-season is far from over. The Twins had not done much to this point last year either. Also, your Dback reference makes little sense given their projected payroll is around $130M which is about the same as what the Twins are expecting to spend. If they spend $100M, then you have a valid complaint.
  3. Major League Ready
    Just a nitpick but Cavaco was not a top 10 pick. He was 13th but your point remains valid given there were a couple great options staring at them as they chose Cavaco.
  4. Major League Ready
    I remember it well. I was watching on-line and as the Twins pick approached, I was hoping Bryson Stot or Corbin Carroll would be available. They were at the top of the best available according to most baseball reporters. I hated the Cavaco pick and grew to hate it more as Carroll rose to a top 3 prospect. This was their greatest 1st round pick blunder. You don't take a shot at someone like Cavaco with Carroll and Stot available.
  5. Major League Ready
    You apparently ignore what's going on with a lot of teams. Businesses have budgets. Several other teams are also making moves based on finances. Fans seem to have no problems understanding players make decision based on dollars. Do you not understand this is a business or do you not understand how businesses operate?
  6. Major League Ready
    And they got criticized for being honest about their intentions.
  7. Major League Ready
    The landscape changes if they trade Kepler. Kirilloff goes to LF. Hoskins fits great in that scenario.
  8. Major League Ready
    I don’t see the budget dropping by $40M+ going forward. TV revenue is not going away completely. If it drops $20M that’s only a $10M change in revenue. What has not been considered in these threads is that Lopez will get a $13M.5 bump next year and we have a couple players that are or will become arbitration eligible. So, we can trade Polanco and Kepler to free up funds this year but if they redistribute the dollars this year, they are going to be in a corner next year. Farmer will go away but Vazquez will be impossible to move unless he bounces back this year. This points to them going after cost controlled pitching. They could also go after someone like Hoskins and hope to win with a big offense like the rangers did last year or come up with pitching internally or a comeback candidate.
  9. Major League Ready
    As you know, every team including the Dodgers make these types of signings. Some teams like the rays have hit on more than other teams but they all do it so why would anyone assume it's a product of confidence as opposed to what it is ... looking for something for nothing. Why wouldn't we want our team to get something for nothing. I know you know this. Just chiming in on the logic you have already provided.
  10. Major League Ready
    We have 4 young position players drafted in the early rounds in Lewis / Wallner / Jeffers / Kirilloff with Lee not far off. The article is focused on late round players but that does not mean we don't have early round players succeeding. Canterino might also be included if he can stay healthy and Raya also looks promising.
  11. Major League Ready
    Julien is not the type of hitter that is going to drive that ball on the black. He might prolong the AB but he also is not going to draw as many walks. His OBP would suggest he knows what he is doing. Now, could he get better at anticipating what pitchers are trying to do with him and make solid contact on those pitches on the corner? Sure, that's what you hope from all players as they mature. Wallner and Lewis are in this same boat. I also think the challenge system or automated strike zone are not so far away. He is going to be a better player when it arrives at the ML level.
  12. Major League Ready
    I totally agree that there is a lot of nuances that are difficult to address in this medium. He did have the highest OBP on the team so that tells you a little something about the relative effectiveness of his approach.
  13. Major League Ready
    I hope you are right about Miranda. He had a real impact for a few months. No point in moving him now with his value so low but that could change by the deadline.
  14. Major League Ready
    Lee and Jenkins are not the type of players I want to trade for 3 years of Duran. I liked it much better when we traded 2 months of an above average infielder for 6+ years of Duran.
  15. Major League Ready
    IDK if this was sarcastic but a corner OFer that is well above average defensively is not as valuable as a well above average hitter. This is very clear in free agency or in how teams move prospects that can hit around defensively. They find a defensive spot for guys that can hit. Up the middle defenders are a different story,
  16. Major League Ready
    The approach you are taking to value is an interesting twist to how we would normally value assets. That said, I think the twins are counting on getting far more value from Paddack than Festa or Raya who you have 7 places ahead of him. This could make sense if it's a long-term look instead of this year but that get's back to a more traditional value proposition.
  17. Major League Ready
    Solano's career wRC+ is 97 against LHP and RH pitching. They have several LH hitters with significant splits. So, I think if they pick-up a RH bench bat it will be someone that is stronger against LHP especially the way Rocco likes to play matchups. This need would be even greater if they trade farmer.
  18. Major League Ready
    Solano won't cost enough for money to be an issue. Upside, age, existing options, and defensive deficiency are all reasons why they should not invest a roster spot in Solano.
  19. Major League Ready
    I believe the key to this puzzle is if Polanco or Polanco plus prospects can facilitate a trade for a pitcher they want. The FO has demonstrated their MO is to trade from depth and they have a lot of young guys that can fill Polanco’s role. We should expect them to pursue that avenue first. They just can’t do it yet because the trade market for pitching is still in limbo waiting for Snell, Montgomery and Imanaga to sign.
  20. Major League Ready
    Taylor is a good option. A big part of this is the medical report on Buxton. Do they have sufficient cause to believe he will be back in CF. If so, Bader hits LHP much better than MAT so Buxton / Bader are the better platoon. You are also only considering last year and you are doing so using one measure of WAR. fWAR has them as them at 1.0 and 1.7 respectively. Of course, this is a cumulative stat and MAT played 31 more games. This was Bader's worst year of his career and this was Taylor's best year since 2017. I would put a little more weight on the previous year but I would also consider career numbers and age with MAT being 4 years older.
  21. Major League Ready
    You don't if you are confident he can repeat that .750. What if it's more like the two previous years? (.624 & .651). This strategy would be betting Castro hits at 2023 levels. That would be great but I would not rely on this assumption. Martin could be called up if Castro reverts to career norms so at least there would be a potential fall-back position.
  22. Major League Ready
    We just don’t see this the same way. Obviously, SPs are only Left-handed 25-30% of the time but Rocco loves to plays match-ups. So, your 40-45 game scenario does not account for opportunities against LH relievers. That opportunity presents itself in three-quarters of the other games. Rocco could be very aggressive inserting someone like Bader knowing he will play great D until his next AB. If that AB is against a RHP, Rocco can pinch hit and play Castro or Gordon in CF. I also don’t see Gordon or Castro as being close to Bader defensively. He is going to be a plus defensively whenever he is in the game. You are also not placing any value to having this type of player on the bench as a pinch runner and defensive replacement. He could be used to get Buxton out of the game when the score is not close and pinch run late in games that are close. The best case scenario is Buxton plays 80+ games in CF and someone like Bader plays CF against LHP and Buxton is the DH. I just don’t see the value of a bench / platoon player as limited to games started by LHP in this case. He is good enough defensively that someone might pay him like an everyday player but that remains to be seen. BTW …. Farmer has almost identical splits and Bader has more defensive impact than Farmer.
  23. Major League Ready
    I agree he is not the answer if we are looking for someone to start 100 games. Neither is Castro or Gordon. I can see rolling with Martin if the available dollars are all allocated to pitching. There are not any great defensive CFers with a 120 wRC+ available. However, Bader could be a great role player and I think his contract will end up reflecting that role. Bader has a career .823 OPS against LHP. That's a good fit to platoon for this team and he is a terrific defender and base runner. Play him as much as possible against LHP. Use him as a pinch runner and late inning defensive sub. Bader had his worst offensive year last year and produced 1 fWAR in 98 games. MAT had his best offensive year in the past 5 years and had 1.7 fWAR in 129 games. The advantage of Bader is his splits against LH pitching. I realize you are not advocating MAT but everyone was quite happy with him last year. I guess it depends on if you think Bader is washed up at 29 or will he bounce back. Was he hurt? Is that why he only player 98 games. IDK what to make of him but there could be some serious upside in a player that would fit really well on this team given his ability to spell Buxton and to play against LHP.
  24. Major League Ready
    My guess is their desire to extend him will be influenced by how our pitching prospects fair this year. I suppose a lot of teams are in the same position but it seems like we have a whole bunch of guys right now who may or may not be MLB SPs. Varland / SWR / Canterino / Festa / Raya / Prelipp / Lewis / Culpepper / Mathews / Ohl / Hall. I did not mention Soto assuming he is 3-4 years out. I hope the prospects do so well they don't feel compelled to extend Paddack.
  25. Major League Ready
    I don't see much of a gain because we don't have corner OF depth. Wallner can play right but a lesser player fills a corner OF spot if Kepler plays center. The result is mediocre defense in CF and a mediocre corner OF bat taking Kepler's spot. There has to be a better solution.
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