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Major League Ready

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Everything posted by Major League Ready

  1. Major League Ready
    I was not downplaying Castro's contribution at all. Just the opposite. I think he was valuable in the role he played. Therefore, no need to carve out a role. he already has a valuable role.
  2. Major League Ready
    I would be ecstatic if he showed the type of dominance that proved he was ready by June.
  3. Major League Ready
    The articles suggest that the payroll production is purely a product of the TV deal. Is the writer uninformed or did he just elect to omit the $30M revenue the Twins received from BAM last year? The total for their six inexpensive veterans ($3.5M) is listed but the fact that our top 5 players will receive $100M next year is not detailed. Nor is the logical conclusion that we would have $125M+ invested in six players next year had we signed one of the top free agents. Articles like this should come with a disclaimer letting the reader know they have a biased point of view and the facts will be presented accordingly.
  4. Major League Ready
    These are two quite different issues IMO. Of course, we all want them to spend as much as possible. I was simply pointing out that there is a tendency here to only acknowledge the elements that suggest they are not spending enough. This group knows they got $30M in BAM money. Yet, only a couple people acknowledged this very simple fact throughout all of these discussions. I really do appreciate fanaticism for our team right up to the point where people become irrational to the point of ignoring something this simple. Where previous spending is concerned, they did exactly what people are asking for. The spent aggressively. I would also point out that they understood they had several contracts coming off after 2023 and therefore could afford Correa, Lopez, and Vazquez. Gray, Mahle, Maeda, Gallo, Taylor, Pagan, and Solano were all coming off and Polanco/Kepler were options for additional reductions. Those signings were needed and I am sure none of us would have preferred they avoided them because it might make things tight a couple years later.
  5. Major League Ready
    There were some unusual circumstances last year but there is one nobody seems to want to acknowledge. They got $30M in BAM money. Yet, unless I missed it, there has not been a single mention of this fact in any of the TD articles written on the topic. If we expect them to push payroll up when they have an increase in revenue we should also expect it to go down if revenue goes down.. That said, I still think they have a little wiggle room for another addition.
  6. Major League Ready
    You summed this one up in a hurry. Of course, a HR is much more valuable than a double. I am rather dumfounded by the argument that it's not. You know I default to wRC+ but the fact that OPS+ implies a HR is 2X as valuable as a double is not a major weakness with OPS+.
  7. Major League Ready
    IDK exactly what prevented a streaming deal but the need to end blackouts and the cord cutting trend was likely not the problem. It does not take a sophisticated business mind or anything more than a modest awareness of the issues with viewership. It's just not complicated. What is complicated is complicated is orchestrating a long-term deal to meet the legal rights and interests of all the parties. I am sure the league has some long-term interests that they don't want to jeopardize. It looks to me like the Twins could not sign a deal with Bally and a streaming deal that met their long-term agenda. Obviously, IDK this but that's what reading between the lines would suggest. If they were so incompetent as to have not assessed all of their options and started negotiations a year or more ago, yes, that would be a puzzling level of incompetence. It's just really hard to believe it didn't happen because they did not understand the need.
  8. Major League Ready
    There isn't going to be any more information unless someone breaks the confidentially agreement. However, if the "slightly less money" is correct, Soler might still be a possibility.
  9. Major League Ready
    He is not a good candidate for a platoon player to replace LH hitters. It's true that his career splits are slightly better from the right side but what is not mentioned is that his OPS was still well below average from the right side in 2021-22 and he only had 23 ABs from the right side in 2020. His career OPS from the left side is.690. It's not any better against RHP but his 2023 was much better at .801 while only .636 from against LHP. Farmer and Santana should be the INF platoon players. Hopefully Martin forces his way up or they give us a nice surprise by signing Jorge Soler.
  10. Major League Ready
    For all we know they plan to piggyback Varland and Paddack. If one clearly emerges, they could take the starter role with the other going to the pen or they could keep them together if they dominate in a piggyback role.
  11. Major League Ready
    No we didn't develop him but who cares. Getting a SP like Ryan for a rental is an incredible boost to the team for basically free.
  12. Major League Ready
    Right there with ya. I would love to sit in an see the process they go through. What is it they see that can be unlocked or refined.
  13. Major League Ready
    A one year snapshot, especially given the TV situation, does not provide an accurate view of spending. Where are these other teams coming from and how was their paroll allocated. Over the last 5 years, the Twins have spent $596M, the Royals $412M, and the Dbacks 382. The Dbacks and Royals were due to finals spend. The Dbacks were not in the same situation as the twins. The twins had already made long-term investments. The Dbacks top 10 players made $52M in 2023. The Twins top 10 made $118M. The Royals do not have the largest payroll in the central. They are at $111M including the $10M in dead money to Dozier and the Twins are at $116M. (See Spotrac) The Cardinals average 80-100M more in revenue which is the only measurable that matters until players start accepting market size as compensation. The Padres had an owner that knew his time on earth was very limited. I think we can call that an anomaly and it was hardly an example of success. What did they do with that payroll this year after his death? They cut $100M.
  14. Major League Ready
    I suspect like every other business greed is a motivating factor. If they felt additional investment would make them more money, they would invest. That's what billionaires do. With few exceptions all of the other teams in the same revenue range operate the same way, If you fell you are more skilled at assessing these opportunities than all of these billion owners and the analysts that work for them, good for you. There is a $500K job waiting for you if you don't already have one.
  15. Major League Ready
    There are lots of holes in your argument. 1) You are measuring his INF throws vs OF throws. OFers get more on some throws from forward momentum. The foot work in that set-up promotes more velocity. 2) We are talking about a couple MPH even if he could not generate more velocity in the OF which is improbable. 3) His speed would have a much bigger impact on defense than 1 or 2MPH on a throw. 4) His arm would be no less of a liability a 3B. 5) The overall value of putting Lee at 3B and Lewis in the OF where he would replace an inferior player.
  16. Major League Ready
    Then he also does not have the arm to play 3B.
  17. Major League Ready
    We don't have to agree for you to explain your position. Tampa can't possibly underpay players. The free agency system negates that potential. They elect not to invest heavily in free agents. Their investments they have made in free agents like Morton and Eflin have been wise and their success makes it very difficult to argue they don't know what they are doing or that they don't put a good product on the field. They understand the underlinable fact that they have to produce far more per dollar spent than most of the league and they manage assets accordingly. BTW .... if there were no subsidies, owners would not elect to make less. They would pay players less unless you believe that players would not play for two-thirds of what they make. Given you don't have to go back far to get to a point where they made one-third of what they do today, I don't think that's a reasonable conclusion.
  18. Major League Ready
    I would feel a lot more confident if I knew what they would get out of Correa and Buxton. That got very little out of the two guys that could/should carry this team. It really hurts this team if we don't get far more out of our 33m man. Buxton produced virtually nothing. This is a different team if Buxton plays to his ability. Those two players are capable of 8-10 more WAR than they produced last year. They are the key to reaching the ceiling. The other position player that we need more from is Kirilloff.
  19. Major League Ready
    How is Tampa underpaying players?
  20. Major League Ready
    If Lewis were to go to the outfield it would negate the need to push any of the other prospects. Lee will probably be ready soon enough and the IF would be set. Wallner and Lewis would be the starting corner OFers. It becomes really interesting when these other OF prospects start knocking at the door.
  21. Major League Ready
    They produced less revenue because of greed? You are going to need to elaborate on this one.
  22. Major League Ready
    Thanks for injecting some factual basis for comparison into the conversation rather than assuming the revenue disparity is purely a product of incompetence.
  23. Major League Ready
    Depth makes for an overall strength but there will probably be teams with a better top 2 or 3. However, Varland and Canterino could end up as BP weapons and that would make for one heck of a BP when added to all the others.
  24. Major League Ready
    I know this sound weird but they could go 12/18/15 for a total of 45 for Soler. That's only $130M this year. We would have an increase of $33M next year between Lopez / Paddack and Soler. Offset by Kepler / Vazquez / Farmer / DeSclafani and Thielbar coming off for a total of $33.5M coming off. In other words, payroll would go up equal to arbitration increases. Paddack and Castro come off after 2025 which would absorb a lot of the next round of arbitration increases. Of course, the downside is that we would have very little room to add in free agency until Lopez and Correa come off. The other potential tactic for future salary management will be to trade a couple of the more expensive arbitration players if we have backfill with players like Lee / E-rod / Gonzalez / Severino / Canterino / Prielipp / Festa etc. (The Rays SOP) That scenario has a decent chance of coming to fruition. I could see players like Wallner / Julien / Kirilloff / Ryan / Ober being traded for value and salary relief while being replaced by equal or better players. This approach would also make Soler more tradable in his final year when we hope to have E-rod / Jenkins and/or Gonzalez in the OF.
  25. Major League Ready
    The money coming off is a consideration for sure but is it a good idea to proceed with a strategy that would require that Kepler / Vazquez / Farmer / DeSclafani and Thielbar be replaced by prospects / league minimum players? I have said that it can be managed but signing long-term contracts at this point could really bite us. As much as I want pitching, at the rate free agent pitching fails, or even trade (Mahle) I would be more inclined to take that leap with a position player given our financial position.
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