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Dman

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Everything posted by Dman

  1. Dman
    As a fan it would be hard to make through 9 years of literally no hope baseball. The Twins had about a 5 year spell of that and when your team it is out of it after the first month or two it becomes hard to care at all. 9 years of that would erode the fanbase for sure. Still that one glorious season where it all goes your way and your team gets to be the best team in baseball. There is no greater feeling as a fan than the bragging rights of a world series title. I guess this article just proves how hope is such a powerful force. Just being "in" it goes a long way with sports fans. I guess if it is hope that feeds your passion then just winning seasons and being in the hunt would be better. If cold hard titles and bragging rights are what you cheer for then yeah, you take the bad years and then the title. I would like to see the Twins win one more Series so I would take those bad years to get a title but I am also a fan of the team so would be fine either way. I am just going to watch and complain and cheer and hope no matter what.
  2. Dman
    Nice to see a good debut from Festa looks like the lighter workload has him back in better form. We are going to need close to ready arms next year and he and Varland look like the only one's ready right now. Hopefully Raya and Nowlin make the jump next year and those High A arms should be in AA next year so hopefully a few more ready by 2025. I really like how Andrew Stevenson looks at the plate. He seems too good to be at AAA to me, but probably not good enough to hold down a starting job at the MLB level. Still he would be a good 4th outfielder. I wonder if he moves to KC or Colorado or something next year to see if he can make the 40 man for a team with less talent in center. The Kernals have a 5 game lead in the second half but Peoria has a much easier schedule. It is a fair bit of ground to make up but the Kernals need some more wins to win their league in both halves.
  3. Dman
    Good to see Helman back and popping HR's. That injury was a huge bummer but at least he is back looking like pretty much the same hitter. I have to say I had kind of given up on Willi Joe Gary but here he is doing better than Tanner Schobel at AA. I don't understand what changed but he is hitting for good power and all his other tools are plus so if he finds that hit tool on a consistent basis that would be quite the break for the Twins. Still a long way to go but it is nice to say something positive about the young man for once. He hasn't had much press to this point. Andrew Morris with another really good outing and that pen for Cedar Rapids is a rock. Very close game but they managed the win with a very well pitched game.
  4. Dman
    from what I saw that was a pitching clinic by Cleveland's pitchers. Everything was on the edges up, down, inside outside with a few down the middle for first pitch strikes. Cleveland's system must do a really good job of helping their pitchers develop that pin point control of the edges. Based on MLB gameday even though a fair number of Cleveland's pitchers pitches seemed just outside the box it looked like the zone was expanded all around the edges last night but kudo's to the Cleveland pitchers who kept things close enough and made it really hard on our hitters last night. Still the Twins had some chances to rally at least early and it just didn't happen. Was hoping Correa would K instead of hit into yet another double play helping the pitcher out once again. Cleveland was the better team last night and it showed. We need to get the win this afternoon and then try to keep Texas on their heels.
  5. Dman
    Hate to keep repeating myself but Miller is really having a breakout month. If his bat is this good moving forward he is going to be one heck of a good player.
  6. Dman
    Have to say when I checked and the Twins were down 4-0 I kind of gave up right there. Cleveland pitching is usually so good it would be hard to come back from that deficit alone and with Maeda doing so poorly and a taxed bullpen the odds of a comeback seemed very low to me. After that it seemed like my every hope came true. When Lewis was up to bat I was hoping HR and it happened. When Polanco was up I was thinking a home run here would give the team breathing room and it happened. When Funderburk came out I was thinking I hope he pitches like he did at AAA and he had a great first outing. I was hoping Winder could replicate his outing from last time out and he did. Hard to believe that after that rough start most everything went the Twins way. It was a great way to start the series as it should give the team positive vibes as they try to get through this tough part of the schedule. They need to keep their foot on the gas so that they put the division away.
  7. Dman
    I had the Twins being lucky to win one game against Texas. Winning the series was not on my radar. This late in the season that was a huge series win. Still 9 tough games to go but this was a great start to a difficult two week schedule. Lewis was clutch that Grand Slam got the Twins back in the game and they were dialed in when they needed runs they managed to get them. I will take a win over a loss any day. They are going to face some tough pitching in Cleveland coming to town. I hope the bats are ready and the arms can hold up.
  8. Dman
    There is a decent chance that Paddack's arm doesn't hold up or doesn't do well to start the season like Maeda. Varland can step in there and you need some depth for injuries. Also Louie has had trouble getting guys out at AAA this year. He hasn't been as consistent as years past. Not sure they can "rely" on him through a full season yet. He will get chances but he has to perform on a consistent basis to stay on the MLB level.
  9. Dman
    Yeah if he goes for that the Twins would have a tough time finding a better arm for less money. If that isn't enough I would go with a third year option of 15 to 20M with a 5M buyout. That way if they don't want him after the second year there is an easy out and it turns the 15M to 17.5 for those two years. This would all be contingent on his current numbers holding up to the end of the season as of right now his numbers say he is a top of the rotation pitcher. Anything under 20M for a top of the rotation arm is a bargain. Hard to say if he would go for that or not but it would be a place to start. Odds are unless he "really" likes the Twins he shops the FA market though.
  10. Dman
    Yeah McCusker is interesting. He looks a bit like Winokur in that he is so tall. Watched his last at bat On MiLB.tv and was going to write that he didn't seem have a good eye at the plate and that might be why the K rate is so high and then down to his last strike he hit his second home run of the game. He has managed around a .900 OPS where ever he has been but the 35% or above K rate does lead one to believe he has trouble recognizing pitches. Fix that and he would be an awesome MLB player kind of Judge like but eye at the plate generally is not easy to fix.
  11. Dman
    First let me say I really admire Kenta and the fact he bet on himself with an incentive laden contract. He knew teams felt the arm was an issue and he was willing to share the risk if something went wrong. I like who he is as a teammate. He seems thoughtful and reserved and I admire those traits. I would like to see him remain a Twin. If he continues to pitch like he has been to end the year and or even slides just a little but doesn't tank I think with the numbers he has It would 15M to 20M per year to sign him. His 32%K rate with a 1.17 WHIP and as mentioned in the article sub 3.00 ERA since he wasn't quite built all the way back up puts him in pretty elite company. I get that he doesn't have great velocity and is old which comes with risk but given what teams have been willing to invest in pitchers like Rich Hill, Verlander, Sherzer etc. odds are he gets at least a two year deal and I wouldn't be surprised if he managed 2 years with a 3rd year option and fairly high buyout. Maybe he would go for a QO on a one year deal? Seems unlikely as this might be his last big pay day and he would want to maximize years and dollars. The question I have is does he like it in Minnesota? He seems like someone that might like the West Coast better. When he had his chance to choose it was LA. I don't know if he even wants to stay with Minnesota so that might play into it as well. If he continues to pitch well the Twins would be wise to bring him back but if they can't they should at least QO him. He might not bring back a sup first rounder but would bring back something if he left. If they can keep him they know who they are getting and that he fits in the club house. As stated in the article Gray is gone and Paddack is no sure thing. Ober and Ryan look OK if they can avoid injury. Varland has been up and down all year there isn't much behind Louie as Headrick hasn't been as good after the half way mark. If they can get Kenta to come back they should do it.
  12. Dman
    I think we will know more about how this all shakes out in two weeks. None of the three teams have shown any real consistency but with the Twins losing so many winnable games they have put themselves in a tough spot if either Detroit or Cleveland go on any kind of run they could pass the Twins. Was thinking of the irony if Detroit would catch the Twins at the end kind of like the Twins did to the Tigers when they were six or seven games back with a month to go. Karma could come back to hurt them if that happened.
  13. Dman
    For playoffs I don't disagree but I am starting to question if they will make it given how poorly the pen has been doing recently. They could get swept by Texas then they play Cleveland whose rotation is just as good and pen better than ours and we have a tough time with the Guardians in General and those are our next 12 games or so. If they don't find some wins there things are going to get tough right quick. Also I don't know if the Tigers are for real but if they keep plugging away they play the Yankee's who don't look that good right now a bunch and then they have a pretty easy schedule the rest of the way just like the Twins. If they reel us in things look tough again. If this team doesn't get its act together soon they won't make the playoffs.
  14. Dman
    My point is they all have been bad and just because you acquire someone doesn't mean they will be better just like last year. Yep always a chance things work out great or better than expected but when Duran and Jax who have just blown up games recently aren't getting it done what difference does it really make if you added one more arm that may help for one inning? it isn't going to move the needle unless most of the rest of the pen does the job and they haven't been.
  15. Dman
    You don't see many 5 hit nights ever so congrats to Garlick on a dialed in night. Stevenson continues to be a catalyst for that team and the Saint's bats are hard to hold down in general. Miller with a .789 OPS for August so far. He has never had an .800 OPS month I don't believe so that would be a huge accomplishment for a 20 year old at High A and a great way to finish off his year. I was surprised to see Festa pitch so well. He looked more like himself after they gave him some rest down the stretch. Would be nice to see him finish strong as he looks like the only arm other than Varland that might be able to help the Twins next year. Also nice to see De Andrade collect a few more hits. It looks like he will move up a level next year for sure given how well he has done at A ball this year. He and Olivar had been the best bats on that team most of the season until some recent draft reinforcement's. Personally I think Olivar could have moved up mid season but with the catcher backlog at High A there just wasn't room for him to catch there and that team is pretty loaded at every position right now.
  16. Dman
    The way the pen has been playing out I don't think another arm at the deadline was going to make a difference. Like all year one arm has a bad night almost every night and it dooms the team. It can be Jax, Pagan, Duran, Balazovich, etc. it doesn't seem to matter but someone has an off night and there goes the ball game. Given what I have seen so far they either need to figure out why the pen arms can't execute or find ways to better mix and match pitches to be less predicable. There are way too many "holes" in this pen for even one or two arms at the deadline to make a difference.
  17. Dman
    The Muscles could use more outfield help so moving Jenkins there should help the team out. Also nice to get him a little experience in A ball so he has leg up for next year. Martin is really playing well. Have to say I am surprised by the power he is showing so far this year. That bodes well for getting to MLB. Keaschall with a very good game and really upped hi OPS. Would be nice if he ends up a fast mover.
  18. Dman
    I don't understand how Wichita keeps winning. They only have three top 30 prospect's and the top 30 prospect's they have haven't been good ( Schobel, Raya, Festa). It is a Motley collection of over achiever's at this point and seems unlikely to last. And yet they are in first place in the second half. Still a month left of games in the second half so far from a guarantee they stay in first place, but to this point they have given themselves a chance. I'll be watching.
  19. Dman
    So many good things to choose from but I am going to focus on Miller and his chance to have an .800 OPS in the month of August. Just needs to keep getting a few extra base hits a week and keep that average and OBP up and he can do it. If starts doing it consistently he will be back in the top 10 of the top 30 list. Harry had a really tough start but A ball has been good to him. Going .500 for the week isn't easy to do. Another week like that and I bet they move him to High A for the playoffs. K rate has been brutal for a lot of my favorite hitters. Hopefully they can settle back in and take some walks. Ohl sure knows how to pitch. I am going to have to watch some of his games to see just how he does it since I don't think he has any plus pitches.
  20. Dman
    I was back on the Dobnak bandwagon as well. I really thought he was back on track. Needs to find another pitch or another something but for now another season of lost hope.
  21. Dman
    Kudos to Keuchel on a well pitched game. I never would have thought it possible to see him throw a perfect game through 6 innings given his pitch to contact repertoire. Class act for the fans to give him a standing ovation as he left. That had to feel good after getting killed his last time out. Have to say he is full of surprises. If he keep the team in games I hope they keep throwing him out there.
  22. Dman
    I like him more than most but as others have noted with not much power you really have to show you can hit and have a high OBP. Also as others have noted he is in a hitters league and still only OPSing .800. To make it at the MLB level he would need to be around that number and those marks usually drop 100 to 200 points when moved to the majors where every pitcher you face is good to elite. There are things to like about his profile. His K rate is low and walk rate almost double digits. He can steal bases and I believe is a good defender. He isn't young for the level and with the Twins already having their fair share of utility guys he needs to really stand out and he doesn't. I think he is very good player but until he can get into that .900 OPS range he kind of is just another guy.
  23. Dman
    They must not want to remove any of the young arms off the 40 man and with the trade deadline having passed they cannot trade anyone to make room. I assume it takes another long term injury for him to be added. He might be better than Moran and Sands and Winder but until he gets his chance we just won't know. Sands, Moran and Ortega all have good AAA numbers just like Kody so hard to know how well his stuff will translate but on the flip side he has been as good they have been and he is the only one who hasn't gotten a chance at the MLB level.
  24. Dman
    I do agree that those college bats are likely to move quickly to the majors as they both look like generational bats at this point. As you said Skenes can probably play in MLB right now but likely slow played to some degree to add innings and make sure he is ready for a starters load. Still, you also have to keep in mind that 2022 had a lot of high drafted high school players in Jones, Holliday, Green, Johnson, Collier and Williams. Also Next year will have other players up for top 5. Not saying Jenkins can't be one of the best 5 just that it is really hard to do as those spots are given to elite talents so performance is key to get into and stay in the top 5. You never know when a relatively unknown international player is going to breakout and move up ala Chourio or Salas. It takes a lot to be top 5 but again I will agree unless super young, guys that are in those spots generally don't stay long as they are valuable assets at the MLB level as well.
  25. Dman
    Yeah I agree. I think it would take something big for the Twins to move Severino. He has been a .900 OPS hitter (if you only count high A in 2021) the last three years at three different levels. He has the hard hit rate the Twins love and to top it off he hits well from both sides of the plate. It is the power bat the Twins crave and his only wart but it is a fairly big one is his K rate has also been around 30% most of his career. It is a Wallner type profile except Severino does hit lefties well which is also something the Twins need. I agree he would be nice at 1st base but can also play 2nd and 3rd maybe not quite at an average level but he can play those positions. He also would be a good DH and bench bat to have when not starting. I think he ends up taking on Polanco's role with the team. as their skill sets match pretty well and Severino is younger and cheaper.
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